Metso Oyj (0MGI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Metso Oyj €6.38, price €16.98, upside -62.4%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Metso Oyj for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €5.64 – €18.81 · fair‑value band €3.46 – €8.25 · the €16.98 price screens above the €6.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Metso Oyj provides technologies, end-to-end solutions, and services for the aggregates, minerals processing, and metals refining industries in Europe, North and Central America, South America, the Asia Pacific, Greater China, Africa, the Middle East, and India. It operates in two segments, Aggregates and Minerals.
Show more
Metso Oyj provides technologies, end-to-end solutions, and services for the aggregates, minerals processing, and metals refining industries in Europe, North and Central America, South America, the Asia Pacific, Greater China, Africa, the Middle East, and India. It operates in two segments, Aggregates and Minerals. The company provides various equipment, parts, and services for contractors, aggregates quarries, manufacturing sand, slag recycling, and construction and demolition waste recycling; mobile equipment; and stationary equipment, such as crushers, screens, crushing and screening plants, conveyors, chutes, feeders, and air classifiers. It also offers loading and hauling, crushing, conveying, screening, grinding, floatation, magnetic separation, filtration, material and slurry handling, thickening and clarifying, hydrometallurgy, in-pit crush and convey, tailing management, digital twins, and automation services. In addition, the company provides spare and wear parts, including haul truck liners, crusher spares and wears, conveyor parts, screen/feeder spares, screening media, mill liners and spares, floatation and filtration parts, stacker reclaimers parts, apron feeder parts, slurry pumps parts, thickener parts, and wear lining products. Further, it offers life cycle, maintenance and repairs, modernizations and upgrades, process optimization, and training services. The company was formerly known as Metso Outotec Oyj. Metso Oyj was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Espoo, Finland.
Stock analysis
Metso Oyj (0MGI) currently trades at €16.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €6.38, 62.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €14.05 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the €16.98 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €3.03, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €3.46 (bear) to €8.25 (bull), the price of €16.98 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Metso Oyj reported revenue of €3.3B in FY2020 versus €1.1B in FY2016, a compound +33.1%/yr. Reported net income was €138M in FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap €7.6B · P/S ratio 1.45 · Net margin 4.2% · Return on equity 17.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Operating margin 13.2% · Revenue (TTM) €5.3B · Revenue growth (YoY) +3.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −62%, 0MGI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €3.46Fair Value €6.38Bull €8.25
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+174.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.6%
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−6.4% (2016) → 7.2% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 145 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−62.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)17.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)8.1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)13.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.55× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Metso Oyj Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0MGI
Frequently asked questions
Is Metso Oyj (0MGI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €6.38 versus a price of €16.98, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0MGI?
Our model-based fair value for Metso Oyj is €6.38 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €16.98.
What is the quality score of 0MGI?
Metso Oyj has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Metso Oyj (0MGI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €6.38 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario €3.46, optimistic scenario €8.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Metso Oyj stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €6.38, about −62% upside versus a price of €16.98 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €3.46, optimistic scenario €8.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Metso Oyj (0MGI)?
Metso Oyj reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €5.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Metso Oyj (0MGI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Metso Oyj it is €6.38 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €16.98. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Metso Oyj stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 0MGI trades above its calculated fair value: price €16.98, fair value €6.38, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0MGI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€16.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€6.38). For Metso Oyj the two are €10.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Metso Oyj worth?
The market values Metso Oyj at about €7.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €16.98; our models calculate a fair value of €6.38 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0MGI?
Our models span a range for Metso Oyj: cautious scenario €3.46, base €6.38, optimistic €8.25 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €16.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Metso Oyj (0MGI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Metso Oyj (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 17.6%, debt of 0.55 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0MGI from its 52-week high?
Metso Oyj trades at €16.98, about 10% below its 52-week high of €18.81 and 52% above the low of €11.17 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €6.38 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Metso Oyj?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Metso Oyj stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €16.98, calculated fair value €6.38 (−62%), Quality Score 40/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0MGI calculated?
We run Metso Oyj through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €6.38, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Metso Oyj itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Metso Oyj (0MGI)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €16.98. Our model-based fair value is €6.38, about −62% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Metso Oyj right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€8.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€3.46 to €8.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Metso Oyj
How large is the market capitalisation of Metso Oyj (0MGI)?
The market capitalisation of Metso Oyj is €7.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Metso Oyj (0MGI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Metso Oyj is 1.45 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Metso Oyj (0MGI)?
The net margin of Metso Oyj is 4.2% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Metso Oyj (0MGI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Metso Oyj is 17.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Metso Oyj (0MGI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Metso Oyj is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Metso Oyj (0MGI)?
The operating margin of Metso Oyj is 13.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Metso Oyj (0MGI)?
Revenue at Metso Oyj is growing +3.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +42.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Metso Oyj (0MGI)?
Earnings per share at Metso Oyj are growing +7.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
Free · no account needed
Watch Metso Oyj in the live analysis
One click puts Metso Oyj on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
