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A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (0O77) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S DKK 2,422, price DKK 24,085, upside -90.0%, quality 73 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · Home Denmark · ISIN DK0010244508

AP Thin data Sep 29, 2026

A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S

0O77 · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value kr 2,422 · Strongly overvalued (−90.0%)
✓Quality 73/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +8.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
·0.3% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
!Narrow moat 31/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 24,085 kr 7,314 Fair Value kr 2,422 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 7,314 – kr 24,085 · fair‑value band kr 1,816 – kr 3,027 · the kr 24,085 price screens above the kr 2,422 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated logistics company in Denmark and internationally. The company operates through Ocean, Logistics & Services, and Terminals segments.

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A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated logistics company in Denmark and internationally. The company operates through Ocean, Logistics & Services, and Terminals segments. The company offers ocean, inland, less-than-container load, and air and ground freight solutions; warehousing, distribution, and depot services; cold chain solutions, cold chain management, pharmaceutical cold chain management, and cold storage solutions; and customs clearance, e-commerce logistics, and lead logistics services. It also provides ocean transport, specialized airlift, and vessel chartering services; project planning, orchestration, and site support; specialized cargo handling, cargo storage, and survey services. In addition, the company offers value-added services, such as labelling, relabeling, tagging or retagging, kitting and product customization, garments on hangers, re-packing, quality controls, reporting, shaving/topping off pallets, reverse logistics, and goods disposal services. It serves FMCG, fashion and lifestyle, retail, chemicals, automotive, technology, pharma and healthcare, and perishables industries. The company was founded in 1904 and is based in Copenhagen, Denmark.

Stock analysis

A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (0O77) currently trades at kr 24,085, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 2,422, 90.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 16,553 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 24,085 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 906.94, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: kr 1,816 (bear) to kr 3,027 (bull), the price of kr 24,085 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S reported revenue of 39.7B DKK in FY2020 versus 27.3B DKK in FY2016, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was 2.9B DKK in FY2020.

Key figures

Market cap 412B DKK (≈ $62.0B) · P/S ratio 7.68 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 7.2% · Return on equity 3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4% · Operating margin 1.6% · Revenue (TTM) 53.6B DKK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 106% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 57% fair-value upside, at −90%, 0O77 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (kr 906.94 to kr 33,610). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear kr 1,816 Fair Value kr 2,422 Bull kr 3,027
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 22,289 kr 33,610 kr 50,401 76
Growth DCF kr 22,787 kr 33,011 kr 47,366 75
EPV kr 1,788 kr 2,086 kr 2,347 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 22,289 kr 33,610 kr 50,401 76
5Y Revenue Exit kr 9,241 kr 11,186 kr 13,279 71
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 11,181 kr 14,739 kr 18,571 73
5Y P/E Exit kr 9,398 kr 11,474 kr 13,426 69
10Y Revenue Exit kr 13,766 kr 16,553 kr 19,619 65
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 15,057 kr 18,992 kr 23,579 67
10Y P/E Exit kr 13,930 kr 16,751 kr 19,728 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 1,134 kr 3,159 kr 4,153 62
Lynch FV kr 634.86 kr 906.94 kr 1,179 58
PEG = 1.0 kr 634.86 kr 906.94 kr 1,179 55
EPV kr 1,788 kr 2,086 kr 2,347 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 3,678 kr 7,646 kr 12,130 63
DDM Multi-Stage kr 3,678 kr 5,803 kr 8,025 63
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 2,626 kr 3,501 kr 4,376 63
P/S Multiple kr 2,126 kr 2,834 kr 3,543 58
P/B Multiple kr 2,126 kr 2,834 kr 3,543 55
EV/EBIT kr 3,073 kr 4,097 kr 5,121 66
EV/EBITDA kr 5,751 kr 7,668 kr 9,586 67
EV/Revenue kr 2,193 kr 3,133 kr 4,073 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 873.07 kr 1,170 kr 1,746 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 22,787 kr 33,011 kr 47,366 75
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 1,530 kr 1,683 kr 1,992 73
ROIC Compounder kr 1,798 kr 2,241 kr 2,789 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 2,093 kr 2,989 kr 3,886 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 91

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.9% (2016) → 10.4% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0O77 screens overvalued: fair value 90% below the price. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 225 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −85.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3.2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.20× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.14× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.19× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 13.4× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,738 ₹1,041 −40%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥16.37 ¥40.37 +147%
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG €141.20 €88.00 −38%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.36 ¥6.41 +20%
SITC International Holdings 1308 HK$48.54 HK$64.78 +33%
HMM Co 011200 21,500 KRW 33,795 KRW +57%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 115.50 TWD 191.50 TWD +66%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.40 ¥5.58 +64%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥9.75 ¥15.59 +60%
China Merchants Port Holdings 0144 HK$16.89 HK$24.25 +44%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0O77

Frequently asked questions

Is A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (0O77) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 2,422 versus a price of kr 24,085, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0O77?
Our model-based fair value for A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S is kr 2,422 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 24,085.
What is the quality score of 0O77?
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (0O77)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 2,422 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 1,816, optimistic scenario kr 3,027. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 2,422, about −90% upside versus a price of kr 24,085 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 1,816, optimistic scenario kr 3,027. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (0O77)?
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 53.6B DKK (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S pay a dividend?
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.31% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (0O77)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S it is kr 2,422 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of kr 24,085. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 0O77 trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 24,085, fair value kr 2,422, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0O77?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 24,085); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 2,422). For A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S the two are kr 21,663 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S worth?
The market values A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S at about 412B DKK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is kr 24,085; our models calculate a fair value of kr 2,422 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0O77?
Our models span a range for A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S: cautious scenario kr 1,816, base kr 2,422, optimistic kr 3,027 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price kr 24,085). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (0O77)?
Balance-sheet figures for A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 3.2%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0O77 from its 52-week high?
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S trades at kr 24,085, at its 52-week high of kr 24,085 and 106% above the low of kr 11,674 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 2,422 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price kr 24,085, calculated fair value kr 2,422 (−90%), Quality Score 73/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0O77 calculated?
We run A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 2,422, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (0O77)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 24,085. Our model-based fair value is kr 2,422, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S right now?
A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 3,027). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S

How large is the market capitalisation of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (0O77)?
The market capitalisation of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S is 412B DKK (≈ $62.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (0O77)?
The price-to-sales ratio of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S is 7.68 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (0O77)?
The dividend yield of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S is 0.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (0O77)?
The net margin of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S is 7.2% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (0O77)?
The return on equity (ROE) of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (0O77)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (0O77)?
The operating margin of A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (0O77)?
Revenue at A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S is growing −2.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (0O77)?
Earnings per share at A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S are growing −94.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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