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Rai Way S.p.A (0R40) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Rai Way S.p.A €5.83, price €4.27, upside +36.5%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · Home Italy · ISIN IT0005054967

RW Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Rai Way S.p.A

0R40 · LSE

Undervalued, solidFair Value upside is positive and quality is strong.

✓Fair value €5.83 · Undervalued (+36.5%)
✓Quality 77/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +4.9 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 29.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!7.7% dividend yield · Payout strained
✓Wide moat 93/100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€5.91 €1.97 Fair Value €5.83 Dec 2017 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.97 – €5.91 · fair‑value band €4.08 – €7.57 · the €4.27 price screens below the €5.83 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Rai Way S.p.A. operates as a digital infrastructure operator and service provider in Italy. The company offers broadcasting services, such as local broadcasting, and mobility and network services; and connectivity services.

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Rai Way S.p.A. operates as a digital infrastructure operator and service provider in Italy. The company offers broadcasting services, such as local broadcasting, and mobility and network services; and connectivity services. It also provides content delivery network services, including distribution of live and on-demand video content via protocols; Storage availability for VoD content within catalogue; transcoding service to adapt live and vod content to any device and format; protection of origin from requests for content coming from CDN caches; secure storage of live streams in the CDN's storage; and dashboard to monitor CDN services and traffic. In addition, the company offers colocation, virtual private cloud, cloud object storage, and certifications; tower hosting for TV, FM and DAB+, MNO operators, FWA, and public authorities; and on-demand integrated solutions. The company was founded in 1924 and is based in Rome, Italy. Rai Way S.p.A. operates as a subsidiary of Rai Radiotelevisione italiana SpA.

Stock analysis

Rai Way S.p.A (0R40) currently trades at €4.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.83, implying the stock looks roughly 26.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €5.83 per share, and 12 of the 25 models we run sit above the €4.27 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at €1.82, and 13 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €4.08 (bear) to €7.57 (bull), the price of €4.27 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Rai Way S.p.A reported revenue of €283M in FY2025 versus €228M in FY2021, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was €88.6M in FY2025, compounding +7.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €1.7B · P/E ratio 0.2 · P/S ratio 0.06 · EPS (TTM) €0.2510 · Dividend yield 7.7% · Net margin 31.3% · Return on equity 57.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 25.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 55 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 37%, 0R40 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €4.08 Fair Value €5.83 Bull €7.57
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €3.60 €4.88 €6.47 81
Growth DCF €3.66 €4.82 €6.20 80
Owner Earnings €3.70 €5.02 €6.66 77
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €3.60 €4.88 €6.47 81
Owner Earnings €3.70 €5.02 €6.66 77
5Y Revenue Exit €2.67 €3.74 €5.02 73
5Y EBITDA Exit €4.63 €7.23 €10.13 75
5Y P/E Exit €4.23 €6.51 €8.78 71
10Y Revenue Exit €2.98 €3.95 €5.11 68
10Y EBITDA Exit €4.15 €6.11 €8.52 68
10Y P/E Exit €3.92 €5.66 €7.61 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €2.22 €5.31 €6.86 65
PEG = 1.0 €0.9300 €1.33 €1.73 57
EPV €2.75 €3.13 €3.45 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €2.56 €4.08 €5.62 68
DDM Multi-Stage €2.56 €3.61 €4.60 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €5.37 €7.17 €8.96 63
P/S Multiple €2.73 €3.64 €4.55 58
P/B Multiple €1.85 €2.47 €3.09 55
EV/EBIT €5.71 €7.63 €9.54 66
EV/EBITDA €6.15 €8.20 €10.26 67
EV/Revenue €2.16 €3.10 €4.03 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.3500 €0.4700 €0.7100 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €3.66 €4.82 €6.20 80
Rev-Margin DCF €2.67 €3.80 €5.04 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income €1.51 €1.82 €2.87 74
ROIC Compounder €2.83 €3.31 €3.76 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €4.08 €5.83 €7.57 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 77/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 78
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+14.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6.4% vs 8.6%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.40% → 46%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.2% a year for the price and +1.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+3.7%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.7%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.0%

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Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rai Way S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0R40

Frequently asked questions

Is Rai Way S.p.A (0R40) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €5.83 versus a price of €4.27, about +37% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0R40?
Our model-based fair value for Rai Way S.p.A is €5.83 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €4.27.
What is the quality score of 0R40?
Rai Way S.p.A has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Rai Way S.p.A (0R40)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €5.83 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario €4.08, optimistic scenario €7.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Rai Way S.p.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €5.83, about +37% upside versus a price of €4.27 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €4.08, optimistic scenario €7.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Rai Way S.p.A (0R40)?
Rai Way S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €286M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Rai Way S.p.A pay a dividend?
Rai Way S.p.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.73% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Rai Way S.p.A (0R40)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Rai Way S.p.A would have to grow free cash flow by -0.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0R40 use?
Our models discount Rai Way S.p.A at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.42, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Rai Way S.p.A that is -0.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Rai Way S.p.A (0R40) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Rai Way S.p.A grew +4.9 % a year. The price currently implies -0.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Rai Way S.p.A (0R40) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Rai Way S.p.A (-0.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Rai Way S.p.A (0R40)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.18 %: that much free cash flow Rai Way S.p.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Rai Way S.p.A (0R40)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Rai Way S.p.A it is €5.83 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €4.27. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Rai Way S.p.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0R40 trades below its calculated fair value: price €4.27, fair value €5.83, a gap of about +37% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0R40?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€4.27); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€5.83). For Rai Way S.p.A the two are €1.56 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Rai Way S.p.A worth?
The market values Rai Way S.p.A at about €1.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €4.27; our models calculate a fair value of €5.83 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0R40?
Our models span a range for Rai Way S.p.A: cautious scenario €4.08, base €5.83, optimistic €7.57 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €4.27). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0R40 from its 52-week high?
Rai Way S.p.A trades at €4.27, about 27% below its 52-week high of €5.83 and at the low of €4.27 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €5.83 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Rai Way S.p.A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Rai Way S.p.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €4.27, calculated fair value €5.83 (+37%), Quality Score 77/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0R40 calculated?
We run Rai Way S.p.A through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €5.83, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Rai Way S.p.A currently trades 27 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Rai Way S.p.A (0R40)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €4.27. Our model-based fair value is €5.83, about +37% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Rai Way S.p.A right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (77/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. A fairly wide model range (€4.08 to €7.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Rai Way S.p.A (0R40) come from?
Earnings per share at Rai Way S.p.A grew +10.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.8 %, EBIT margin +5.4 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Rai Way S.p.A

How large is the market capitalisation of Rai Way S.p.A (0R40)?
The market capitalisation of Rai Way S.p.A is €1.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Rai Way S.p.A (0R40)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Rai Way S.p.A is 0.2 (as of Aug 5, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Rai Way S.p.A (0R40)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Rai Way S.p.A is 0.06 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Rai Way S.p.A (0R40)?
Earnings per share at Rai Way S.p.A are €0.2510 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Rai Way S.p.A (0R40)?
The dividend yield of Rai Way S.p.A is 7.7% (payout 131%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Rai Way S.p.A (0R40)?
The net margin of Rai Way S.p.A is 31.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Rai Way S.p.A (0R40)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Rai Way S.p.A is 57.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Rai Way S.p.A (0R40)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Rai Way S.p.A is 25.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Rai Way S.p.A (0R40)?
The operating margin of Rai Way S.p.A is 45.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Rai Way S.p.A (0R40)?
Revenue at Rai Way S.p.A is growing +2.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Rai Way S.p.A (0R40)?
Earnings per share at Rai Way S.p.A are growing −4.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Rai Way S.p.A (0R40) carry?
The net debt of Rai Way S.p.A is €137M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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