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DFDS A/S (0RB3) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of DFDS A/S DKK 49.50, price DKK 164, upside -69.9%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · GB · ISIN DK0060655629

DA Thin data Sep 24, 2026

DFDS A/S

0RB3 · LSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value kr 49.50 · Strongly overvalued (−69.9%)
!Quality 41/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −0.8 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -0.9% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2020 3.1%
!Moderate debt
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 375.56 kr 80.00 Fair Value kr 49.50 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 80.00 – kr 375.56 · fair‑value band kr 37.13 – kr 61.88 · the kr 164.30 price screens above the kr 49.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

DFDS A/S provides freight and passenger transport services in Europe, Türkiye, North Africa, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Ferry Division and Logistics Division.

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DFDS A/S provides freight and passenger transport services in Europe, Türkiye, North Africa, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Ferry Division and Logistics Division. The company engages in the operation of network of ferry routes, including freight-only routes, combined freight and passenger routes, and ferries; owns and operates port terminals and rails; offers freight services to forwarders, hauliers, and manufacturers of heavy goods; and provides passenger services, such as overnight and day crossings. It also offers transport solutions comprising full and part-load transport; contract logistics, which includes warehousing and transport of frozen meat and fish; customs; and control towers for manufacturers of industrial goods and consumables, as well as retailers. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Copenhagen, Denmark.

Stock analysis

DFDS A/S (0RB3) currently trades at kr 164.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 49.50, 69.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 212.51 per share, and 7 of the 21 models we run sit above the kr 164.30 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 31.91, and 14 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: kr 37.13 (bear) to kr 61.88 (bull), the price of kr 164.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

DFDS A/S reported revenue of 14.0B DKK in FY2020 versus 13.8B DKK in FY2016, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was 433M DKK in FY2020, compounding −27.3%/yr from FY2016.

Key figures

Market cap 18.5B DKK (≈ $2.8B) · P/S ratio 0.60 · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 3.1% · Return on equity −2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.6% · Operating margin 0.2% · Revenue (TTM) 30.8B DKK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 95% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 57% fair-value upside, at −70%, 0RB3 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 37.13 Fair Value kr 49.50 Bull kr 61.88
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 296.48 kr 431.07 kr 672.59 76
Growth DCF kr 312.05 kr 441.72 kr 656.49 74
Residual Income kr 69.69 kr 70.25 kr 72.81 73
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 296.48 kr 431.07 kr 672.59 76
5Y Revenue Exit kr 108.38 kr 142.53 kr 191.20 70
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 217.64 kr 331.63 kr 482.71 71
5Y P/E Exit kr 106.53 kr 139.33 kr 179.81 69
10Y Revenue Exit kr 180.61 kr 212.51 kr 242.16 65
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 246.96 kr 326.80 kr 409.39 67
10Y P/E Exit kr 181.02 kr 210.58 kr 235.63 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 26.11 kr 31.91 kr 35.90 65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 35.75 kr 38.96 kr 43.82 67
DDM Multi-Stage kr 35.75 kr 44.17 kr 55.67 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 60.48 kr 80.64 kr 100.79 63
P/S Multiple kr 48.96 kr 65.28 kr 81.60 58
P/B Multiple kr 48.96 kr 65.28 kr 81.60 55
EV/EBIT kr 12.38 kr 40.30 kr 68.23 60
EV/EBITDA kr 205.10 kr 297.27 kr 389.44 67
EV/Revenue n/a kr 14.02 kr 39.65 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 46.61 kr 62.45 kr 93.21 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 312.05 kr 441.72 kr 656.49 74
Rev-Margin DCF kr 108.38 kr 151.44 kr 209.29 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 69.69 kr 70.25 kr 72.81 73
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 42.70 kr 61.01 kr 79.31 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 38
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 98
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.8% (2016) → 5.3% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0RB3 screens overvalued: fair value 70% below the price. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 225 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −60.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −0.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.89× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.27× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,738 ₹1,041 −40%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥16.37 ¥40.37 +147%
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG €141.20 €88.00 −38%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.36 ¥6.41 +20%
SITC International Holdings 1308 HK$48.54 HK$64.78 +33%
HMM Co 011200 21,500 KRW 33,795 KRW +57%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 115.50 TWD 191.50 TWD +66%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.40 ¥5.58 +64%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥9.75 ¥15.59 +60%
China Merchants Port Holdings 0144 HK$16.89 HK$24.25 +44%

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DFDS A/S · Fair Value
kr 49.50 −70%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DFDS A/S Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0RB3

Frequently asked questions

Is DFDS A/S (0RB3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 49.50 versus a price of kr 164.30, about −70% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0RB3?
Our model-based fair value for DFDS A/S is kr 49.50 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 164.30.
What is the quality score of 0RB3?
DFDS A/S has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for DFDS A/S (0RB3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 49.50 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 37.13, optimistic scenario kr 61.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the DFDS A/S stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 49.50, about −70% upside versus a price of kr 164.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 37.13, optimistic scenario kr 61.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of DFDS A/S (0RB3)?
DFDS A/S reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 30.8B DKK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does DFDS A/S pay a dividend?
DFDS A/S currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.48% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of DFDS A/S (0RB3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For DFDS A/S it is kr 49.50 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 164.30. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is DFDS A/S stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0RB3 trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 164.30, fair value kr 49.50, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0RB3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 164.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 49.50). For DFDS A/S the two are kr 114.80 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is DFDS A/S worth?
The market values DFDS A/S at about 18.5B DKK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 164.30; our models calculate a fair value of kr 49.50 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0RB3?
Our models span a range for DFDS A/S: cautious scenario kr 37.13, base kr 49.50, optimistic kr 61.88 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 164.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of DFDS A/S (0RB3)?
Balance-sheet figures for DFDS A/S (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.0%, debt of 0.89 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0RB3 from its 52-week high?
DFDS A/S trades at kr 164.30, about 5% below its 52-week high of kr 173.20 and 95% above the low of kr 84.30 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 49.50 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to DFDS A/S?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is DFDS A/S stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 164.30, calculated fair value kr 49.50 (−70%), Quality Score 41/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0RB3 calculated?
We run DFDS A/S through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 49.50, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. DFDS A/S itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of DFDS A/S (0RB3)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 164.30. Our model-based fair value is kr 49.50, about −70% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with DFDS A/S right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 61.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of DFDS A/S

How large is the market capitalisation of DFDS A/S (0RB3)?
The market capitalisation of DFDS A/S is 18.5B DKK (≈ $2.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of DFDS A/S (0RB3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of DFDS A/S is 0.60 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of DFDS A/S (0RB3)?
The dividend yield of DFDS A/S is 2.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of DFDS A/S (0RB3)?
The net margin of DFDS A/S is 3.1% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of DFDS A/S (0RB3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of DFDS A/S is −2.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of DFDS A/S (0RB3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of DFDS A/S is 8.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of DFDS A/S (0RB3)?
The operating margin of DFDS A/S is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at DFDS A/S (0RB3)?
Revenue at DFDS A/S is growing −2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at DFDS A/S (0RB3)?
Earnings per share at DFDS A/S are growing −50.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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