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Bonava AB (0RHA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Bonava AB SEK 10.93, price SEK 8.68, upside +26.0%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · GB · Home Sweden · ISIN SE0008091581

BA Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Bonava AB

0RHA · LSE

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value kr 10.93 · Undervalued (+26.0%)
!Quality 46/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +3.4 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -1.3% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2021 5.2%
✓Low debt
!Narrow moat 31/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

kr 47.74 kr 6.38 Fair Value kr 10.93 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 6.38 – kr 47.74 · fair‑value band kr 8.21 – kr 13.66 · the kr 8.68 price screens below the kr 10.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Bonava AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a residential developer in Germany, Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. The company constructs, develops, and sells multi-family and single-family homes, as well as semi-detached houses. It serves consumers and institutional investors.

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Bonava AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a residential developer in Germany, Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. The company constructs, develops, and sells multi-family and single-family homes, as well as semi-detached houses. It serves consumers and institutional investors. The company was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Bonava AB (0RHA) currently trades at kr 8.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 10.93, implying the stock looks roughly 20.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 13.71 per share, and 5 of the 9 models we run sit above the kr 8.68 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at kr 3.13, and 4 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: kr 8.21 (bear) to kr 13.66 (bull), the price of kr 8.68 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Bonava AB reported revenue of 15.5B SEK in FY2021 versus 14.5B SEK in FY2017, a compound +1.7%/yr. Reported net income was 808M SEK in FY2021, compounding −12.9%/yr from FY2017.

Key figures

Market cap 8.7B SEK (≈ $866M) · P/S ratio 1.25 · Dividend yield 4.3% · Net margin 5.2% · Return on equity −1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3% · Operating margin 6.3% · Revenue (TTM) 6.9B SEK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at 26%, 0RHA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 8.21 Fair Value kr 10.93 Bull kr 13.66
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income kr 6.93 kr 7.51 kr 8.37 73
Gordon GGM kr 2.91 kr 3.13 kr 3.47 67
EV/EBITDA kr 15.62 kr 21.27 kr 26.92 67
All 9 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 2.91 kr 3.13 kr 3.47 67
DDM Multi-Stage kr 2.91 kr 3.46 kr 4.18 65
Multiples
P/S Multiple kr 10.28 kr 13.71 kr 17.13 58
P/B Multiple kr 10.28 kr 13.71 kr 17.13 55
EV/EBIT kr 17.71 kr 24.05 kr 30.40 66
EV/EBITDA kr 15.62 kr 21.27 kr 26.92 67
EV/Revenue kr 9.17 kr 13.67 kr 18.17 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 4.15 kr 5.56 kr 8.30 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 6.93 kr 7.51 kr 8.37 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 19/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.4% (2017) → 7.5% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Residential Construction · 61 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside +48.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 1.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −1.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −17.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.29× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.11× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Residential Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
D.R. Horton, Inc DHI $139.40 $240.55 +73%
PulteGroup, Inc PHM $118.50 $189.71 +60%
Lennar Corporation LEN $82.15 $126.89 +54%
NVR, Inc NVR $6,235 $8,123 +30%
Toll Brothers, Inc TOL $136.51 $233.88 +71%
Installed Building Products, Inc IBP $193.94 $213.33 +10%
Champion Homes, Inc SKY $87.72 $96.49 +10%
Cavco Industries, Inc CVCO $557.28 $613.01 +10%
Meritage Homes Corporation MTH $64.98 $105.56 +62%
M/I Homes, Inc MHO $135.79 $182.05 +34%

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Bonava AB · Fair Value
kr 10.93 +21%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bonava AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0RHA

Frequently asked questions

Is Bonava AB (0RHA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 10.93 versus a price of kr 8.68, about +26% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0RHA?
Our model-based fair value for Bonava AB is kr 10.93 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 8.68.
What is the quality score of 0RHA?
Bonava AB has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bonava AB (0RHA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 10.93 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 8.21, optimistic scenario kr 13.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bonava AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 10.93, about +26% upside versus a price of kr 8.68 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 8.21, optimistic scenario kr 13.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bonava AB (0RHA)?
Bonava AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.9B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Bonava AB pay a dividend?
Bonava AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.31% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bonava AB (0RHA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bonava AB it is kr 10.93 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 8.68. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bonava AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0RHA trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 8.68, fair value kr 10.93, a gap of about +26% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0RHA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 8.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 10.93). For Bonava AB the two are kr 2.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bonava AB worth?
The market values Bonava AB at about 8.7B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 8.68; our models calculate a fair value of kr 10.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0RHA?
Our models span a range for Bonava AB: cautious scenario kr 8.21, base kr 10.93, optimistic kr 13.66 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 8.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bonava AB (0RHA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bonava AB (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −1.3%, debt of 0.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0RHA from its 52-week high?
Bonava AB trades at kr 8.68, about 36% below its 52-week high of kr 13.50 and 6% above the low of kr 8.18 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 10.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bonava AB?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value D.R. Horton, Inc, PulteGroup, Inc, Lennar Corporation, NVR, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bonava AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 8.68, calculated fair value kr 10.93 (+26%), Quality Score 46/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0RHA calculated?
We run Bonava AB through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 10.93, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Bonava AB currently trades 21 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bonava AB (0RHA)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 8.68. Our model-based fair value is kr 10.93, about +26% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bonava AB right now?
Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Bonava AB

How large is the market capitalisation of Bonava AB (0RHA)?
The market capitalisation of Bonava AB is 8.7B SEK (≈ $866M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bonava AB (0RHA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bonava AB is 1.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Bonava AB (0RHA)?
The dividend yield of Bonava AB is 4.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bonava AB (0RHA)?
The net margin of Bonava AB is 5.2% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bonava AB (0RHA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bonava AB is −1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bonava AB (0RHA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bonava AB is 6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bonava AB (0RHA)?
The operating margin of Bonava AB is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bonava AB (0RHA)?
Revenue at Bonava AB is growing −17.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bonava AB (0RHA)?
Earnings per share at Bonava AB are growing +44.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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