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Varia US Properties AG (0RKW) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Varia US Properties AG £17.79, price £12.48, upside +42.6%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Varia US Properties AG
0RKW · LSESpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.
✓Fair value £17.79 · Undervalued (+42.6%)
!Quality 34/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -25.9% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £12.35 – £56.93 · fair‑value band £13.28 – £26.55 · the £12.48 price screens below the £17.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Varia US Properties AG, a real estate investment company, acquires, holds, and sells properties in the United States. The company's portfolio comprises low-moderate income and workforce multifamily housing properties. Varia US Properties AG was founded in 2015 and is based in Zug, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Varia US Properties AG (0RKW) currently trades at £12.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £17.79, implying the stock looks roughly 29.9% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 5 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.
Scenario range: £13.28 (bear) to £26.55 (bull), the price of £12.48 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Varia US Properties AG reported revenue of $120M in FY2025 versus $121M in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$33.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap £126M · P/E ratio 0.0 · P/S ratio 1.16 · EPS (TTM) £22.27 · Net margin −27.7% · Return on equity −8.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5% · Operating margin 36.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 43%, 0RKW screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £13.28
Fair Value £17.79
Bull £26.55
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (£16.84 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham)
£13.55
£18.15
£27.09
54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
£13.55
£18.15
£27.09
54
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
34/100
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Profitability
4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
9/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.1%
’16
’17
’18
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’20
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
17.2% (2016) → 10.8% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 530 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Real Estate sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Real Estate
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 232,000 VND | 25,731 VND | −89% |
| CBRE Group CBRE | $134.55 | $91.06 | −32% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$42.92 | HK$17.16 | −60% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$24.32 | HK$13.39 | −45% |
| Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX | €23.99 | €23.94 | +0% |
| Vonovia SE VNA | €16.82 | €36.55 | +117% |
| Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL | $308.07 | $540.65 | +75% |
| Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 | HK$30.54 | HK$27.42 | −10% |
| CoStar Group CSGP | $26.95 | $6.19 | −77% |
| China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 | HK$37.00 | HK$56.36 | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Varia US Properties AG (0RKW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £17.79 versus a price of £12.48, about +43% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0RKW?
Our model-based fair value for Varia US Properties AG is £17.79 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £12.48.
What is the quality score of 0RKW?
Varia US Properties AG has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Varia US Properties AG (0RKW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £17.79 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario £13.28, optimistic scenario £26.55. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Varia US Properties AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £17.79, about +43% upside versus a price of £12.48 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £13.28, optimistic scenario £26.55. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Varia US Properties AG (0RKW)?
Varia US Properties AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $110M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Varia US Properties AG (0RKW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Varia US Properties AG it is £17.79 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of £12.48. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Varia US Properties AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0RKW trades below its calculated fair value: price £12.48, fair value £17.79, a gap of about +43% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0RKW?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£12.48); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£17.79). For Varia US Properties AG the two are £5.32 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Varia US Properties AG worth?
The market values Varia US Properties AG at about £126M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is £12.48; our models calculate a fair value of £17.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0RKW?
Our models span a range for Varia US Properties AG: cautious scenario £13.28, base £17.79, optimistic £26.55 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price £12.48). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0RKW?
Varia US Properties AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £17.79 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 1.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Varia US Properties AG (0RKW)?
Balance-sheet figures for Varia US Properties AG (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −8.6%, debt of 1.84 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0RKW from its 52-week high?
Varia US Properties AG trades at £12.48, about 42% below its 52-week high of £21.40 and 1% above the low of £12.35 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £17.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Varia US Properties AG?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Varia US Properties AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price £12.48, calculated fair value £17.79 (+43%), Quality Score 34/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0RKW calculated?
We run Varia US Properties AG through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £17.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Varia US Properties AG currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Varia US Properties AG (0RKW)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was £12.48. Our model-based fair value is £17.79, about +43% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Varia US Properties AG right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (£13.28). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (£13.28 to £26.55) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Varia US Properties AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Varia US Properties AG (0RKW)?
The market capitalisation of Varia US Properties AG is £126M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Varia US Properties AG (0RKW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Varia US Properties AG is 1.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Varia US Properties AG (0RKW)?
Earnings per share at Varia US Properties AG are £22.27 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Varia US Properties AG (0RKW)?
The net margin of Varia US Properties AG is −27.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Varia US Properties AG (0RKW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Varia US Properties AG is −8.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Varia US Properties AG (0RKW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Varia US Properties AG is 4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Varia US Properties AG (0RKW)?
The operating margin of Varia US Properties AG is 36.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Varia US Properties AG (0RKW)?
Revenue at Varia US Properties AG is growing −12.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Varia US Properties AG (0RKW)?
Earnings per share at Varia US Properties AG are growing +534% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Varia US Properties AG (0RKW) generate?
The free cash flow of Varia US Properties AG is −$9.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Varia US Properties AG (0RKW) carry?
The net debt of Varia US Properties AG is $561M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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