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Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Aedas Homes, S.A €25.63, price €23.03, upside +11.3%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Aedas Homes, S.A
0RV8 · LSEUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value €25.63 · Undervalued (+11.3%)
!Quality 55/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −1.9 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 10.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €7.77 – €26.69 · fair‑value band €20.54 – €30.71 · the €23.03 price screens below the €25.63 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Aedas Homes, S.A. engages in the development of residential properties in Spain. The company focuses on multi and single-family homes; provides real estate services; audiovisual distribution; and decoration and interior design services, as well as develop turnkey build-to-rent properties. It serves individuals and institutional investors.
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Aedas Homes, S.A. engages in the development of residential properties in Spain. The company focuses on multi and single-family homes; provides real estate services; audiovisual distribution; and decoration and interior design services, as well as develop turnkey build-to-rent properties. It serves individuals and institutional investors. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain. As of December 11, 2025, Aedas Homes, S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Neinor Homes, S.A.
Stock analysis
Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8) currently trades at €23.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €25.63, implying the stock looks roughly 10.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €32.35 per share, and 14 of the 16 models we run sit above the €23.03 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €13.64, and 2 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €20.54 (bear) to €30.71 (bull), the price of €23.03 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Aedas Homes, S.A reported revenue of €869M in FY2026 versus €766M in FY2022, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was €60.9M in FY2026, compounding −10.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap €1.0B · P/E ratio 0.1 · EPS (TTM) €1.39 · Net margin 7.0% · Return on equity 4.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1% · Operating margin 11.7% · Revenue (TTM) €368M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 11%, 0RV8 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €20.54
Fair Value €25.63
Bull €30.71
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.7083 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
€19.45
€24.44
€32.81
78
Growth DCF
€19.98
€24.71
€32.04
77
Residual Income
€15.75
€16.42
€17.61
73
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
€19.45
€24.44
€32.81
78
5Y Revenue Exit
€20.81
€29.01
€40.93
70
5Y EBITDA Exit
€25.30
€36.78
€51.97
72
10Y Revenue Exit
€19.65
€25.28
€31.29
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
€22.59
€29.66
€37.21
67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
€24.30
€26.19
€29.01
67
DDM Multi-Stage
€24.30
€28.92
€34.89
65
Multiples
P/S Multiple
€17.76
€23.68
€29.60
58
P/B Multiple
€17.76
€23.68
€29.60
55
EV/EBIT
€40.25
€52.66
€65.07
66
EV/EBITDA
€34.36
€44.81
€55.25
67
EV/Revenue
€23.55
€32.35
€41.15
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€10.18
€13.64
€20.36
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
€19.98
€24.71
€32.04
77
Rev-Margin DCF
€20.81
€29.44
€40.01
70
Economic Profit
Residual Income
€15.75
€16.42
€17.61
73
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
55/100
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Profitability
30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
96
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
75
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−24.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 11%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.2% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 575 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Real Estate sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Real Estate
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 | HK$107.10 | HK$155.14 | +45% |
| China Resources Land Limited 1109 | HK$28.64 | HK$71.60 | +150% |
| CK Asset Holdings 1113 | HK$45.90 | HK$71.49 | +56% |
| Hongkong Land Holdings H78 | $8.57 | $1.52 | −82% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹658.40 | ₹167.48 | −75% |
| China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 | HK$12.42 | HK$22.33 | +80% |
| Sino Land Company 0083 | HK$9.94 | HK$7.28 | −27% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,165 | ₹274.14 | −76% |
| Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 | ¥5.77 | ¥5.87 | +2% |
| China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 | ¥7.18 | ¥6.04 | −16% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €25.63 versus a price of €23.03, about +11% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0RV8?
Our model-based fair value for Aedas Homes, S.A is €25.63 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €23.03.
What is the quality score of 0RV8?
Aedas Homes, S.A has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €25.63 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario €20.54, optimistic scenario €30.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aedas Homes, S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €25.63, about +11% upside versus a price of €23.03 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €20.54, optimistic scenario €30.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8)?
Aedas Homes, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €368M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aedas Homes, S.A would have to grow free cash flow by +8.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +3.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0RV8 use?
Our models discount Aedas Homes, S.A at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.61, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aedas Homes, S.A that is +8.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Aedas Homes, S.A grew +3.2 % a year. The price currently implies +8.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aedas Homes, S.A (+8.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.91 %: that much free cash flow Aedas Homes, S.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aedas Homes, S.A it is €25.63 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €23.03. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aedas Homes, S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0RV8 trades below its calculated fair value: price €23.03, fair value €25.63, a gap of about +11% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0RV8?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€23.03); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€25.63). For Aedas Homes, S.A the two are €2.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aedas Homes, S.A worth?
The market values Aedas Homes, S.A at about €1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €23.03; our models calculate a fair value of €25.63 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0RV8?
Our models span a range for Aedas Homes, S.A: cautious scenario €20.54, base €25.63, optimistic €30.71 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €23.03). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0RV8?
Aedas Homes, S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €25.63 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aedas Homes, S.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.4%, debt of 0.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0RV8 from its 52-week high?
Aedas Homes, S.A trades at €23.03, about 4% below its 52-week high of €24.03 and 9% above the low of €21.18 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €25.63 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aedas Homes, S.A?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aedas Homes, S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €23.03, calculated fair value €25.63 (+11%), Quality Score 55/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0RV8 calculated?
We run Aedas Homes, S.A through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €25.63, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Aedas Homes, S.A currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €23.03. Our model-based fair value is €25.63, about +11% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aedas Homes, S.A right now?
As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Aedas Homes, S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8)?
The market capitalisation of Aedas Homes, S.A is €1.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8)?
Earnings per share at Aedas Homes, S.A are €1.39 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8)?
The net margin of Aedas Homes, S.A is 7.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aedas Homes, S.A is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aedas Homes, S.A is 7.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8)?
The operating margin of Aedas Homes, S.A is 11.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8)?
Revenue at Aedas Homes, S.A is growing −38.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8)?
Earnings per share at Aedas Homes, S.A are growing −68.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Aedas Homes, S.A (0RV8) carry?
The net debt of Aedas Homes, S.A is €324M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 4.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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