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Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd HK$2.39, price HK$0.36, upside +573.2%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · HK · ISIN BMG8000T1027

HK Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd

1001 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$2.39 · Strongly undervalued (+573.2%)
!Quality 58/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −8.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (11/14)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 17 out of 100
!Weak on past: 29 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.4500 HK$0.1538 Fair Value HK$2.39 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1538 – HK$0.4500 · fair‑value band HK$1.78 – HK$3.22 · the HK$0.3550 price screens below the HK$2.39 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution and processing of construction materials in Hong Kong and Mainland China. It operates through three segments: Steels Distribution and Processing Business; Building Products Distribution Business; and Property Investment and Fund Management Business.

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Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution and processing of construction materials in Hong Kong and Mainland China. It operates through three segments: Steels Distribution and Processing Business; Building Products Distribution Business; and Property Investment and Fund Management Business. The company distributes construction materials, such as reinforcing steel, H-piles/H-beams, and cut and bend reinforcement rebars; and offers integrated rebar processing, automated bending from bar and coil, traceability, and supply chain services. It also distributes and processes industrial steel, such as pre-painted galvanized, galvanized, cold roll, hot roll, electro galvanized, and silicon steel products. In addition, the company engages in property investment and fund management businesses; trading of sanitary wares and kitchen cabinets; and operation of land. Further, it provides management, consultation and design, logistics, technical support, investment advisory, investment and asset management, and kitchen installation services. The company was formerly known as Van Shung Chong Holdings Limited and changed its name to Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Limited in December 2015. The company was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001) currently trades at HK$0.3550, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.39, implying the stock looks roughly 85.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$3.83 per share, and 22 of the 22 models we run sit above the HK$0.3550 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$1.05, and 0 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$1.78 (bear) to HK$3.22 (bull), the price of HK$0.3550 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.

Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.1B in FY2025 versus HK$2.1B in FY2021, a compound +0.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$89.6M in FY2025, compounding +170.5%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap HK$274M (≈ $34.9M) · P/E ratio 3.1 · P/S ratio 0.13 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.1300 · Net margin 4.2% · Return on equity 7.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5% · Operating margin 8.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at 573%, 1001 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.78 Fair Value HK$2.39 Bull HK$3.22
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.1300 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$3.99 HK$5.53 HK$8.30 80
Growth DCF HK$4.17 HK$5.66 HK$8.11 79
Owner Earnings HK$2.40 HK$3.35 HK$5.07 76
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$3.99 HK$5.53 HK$8.30 80
Owner Earnings HK$2.40 HK$3.35 HK$5.07 76
5Y Revenue Exit HK$2.70 HK$3.72 HK$5.19 73
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.92 HK$4.10 HK$5.67 76
5Y P/E Exit HK$2.61 HK$3.55 HK$4.70 71
10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.14 HK$3.93 HK$4.75 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.33 HK$4.16 HK$5.02 70
10Y P/E Exit HK$3.14 HK$3.83 HK$4.47 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.9600 HK$1.17 HK$1.32 67
EPV HK$1.80 HK$2.12 HK$2.40 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$2.22 HK$2.96 HK$3.70 63
P/S Multiple HK$1.80 HK$2.39 HK$2.99 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.80 HK$2.39 HK$2.99 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.93 HK$3.98 HK$5.02 66
EV/EBITDA HK$2.62 HK$3.56 HK$4.51 67
EV/Revenue HK$2.03 HK$2.99 HK$3.95 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.7900 HK$1.05 HK$1.57 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$4.17 HK$5.66 HK$8.11 79
Rev-Margin DCF HK$2.70 HK$3.82 HK$5.23 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.34 HK$1.46 HK$1.64 76
ROIC Compounder HK$1.80 HK$2.18 HK$2.58 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.57 HK$2.24 HK$2.91 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+63.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+63.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.63.5% vs −5.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 6.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 402 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7.1% · Above median
Return on assets 4.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4.1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 3.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.32× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.27× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 1.2× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)17 · sector 33
PAST (return on equity)29 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 51

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nucor Corporation NUE $236.24 $116.49 −51%
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €59.82 €35.15 −41%
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $230.39 $127.93 −44%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,233 ₹1,095 −11%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹178.00 ₹147.10 −17%
Reliance, Inc RS $393.04 $211.55 −46%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.84 ¥8.07 +38%
POSCO Holdings 005490 311,000 KRW 155,270 KRW −50%
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 ¥2.09 ¥0.5300 −75%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,165 ₹516.27 −56%

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HK$2.39 +85%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1001

Frequently asked questions

Is Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.39 versus a price of HK$0.3550, about +573% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1001?
Our model-based fair value for Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd is HK$2.39 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3550.
What is the quality score of 1001?
Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.39 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.78, optimistic scenario HK$3.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$2.39, about +573% upside versus a price of HK$0.3550 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.78, optimistic scenario HK$3.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001)?
Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd it is HK$2.39 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3550. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1001 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3550, fair value HK$2.39, a gap of about +573% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1001?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3550); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$2.39). For Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd the two are HK$2.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd at about HK$274M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3550; our models calculate a fair value of HK$2.39 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1001?
Our models span a range for Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.78, base HK$2.39, optimistic HK$3.22 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$0.3550). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1001?
Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$2.39 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 2.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.1%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1001 from its 52-week high?
Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.3550, about 21% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4500 and 4% above the low of HK$0.3427 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$2.39 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$0.3550, calculated fair value HK$2.39 (+573%), Quality Score 58/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1001 calculated?
We run Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$2.39, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd currently trades 85 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$0.3550. Our model-based fair value is HK$2.39, about +573% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.78). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$1.78 to HK$3.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001) come from?
Earnings per share at Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd grew −6.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −6.5 %, EBIT margin +2.5 %, tax rate +4.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −6.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001)?
The market capitalisation of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd is HK$274M (≈ $34.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd is 0.13 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001)?
Earnings per share at Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd are HK$0.1300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 3.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001)?
The net margin of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd is 4.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd is 5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001)?
The operating margin of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd is 8.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001)?
Revenue at Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd is growing +3.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001)?
Earnings per share at Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd are growing −3.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001) generate?
The free cash flow of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd is HK$224M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd (1001) carry?
The net debt of Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings Ltd is HK$953M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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