Towngas China Co Ltd (1083) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Towngas China Co Ltd HK$5.16, price HK$2.93, upside +76.0%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Towngas China Co Ltd
1083 · HKCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$2.26 – HK$5.56 · fair‑value band HK$3.86 – HK$6.44 · the HK$2.93 price screens below the HK$5.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Company profile
Towngas Smart Energy Company Limited, an investment holding company, sells piped gas, renewable energy, and other types of energy in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Sales of Piped Gas Business; Gas Connection; Renewable Energy Business; and Extended Business.
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Towngas Smart Energy Company Limited, an investment holding company, sells piped gas, renewable energy, and other types of energy in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Sales of Piped Gas Business; Gas Connection; Renewable Energy Business; and Extended Business. It engages in the construction of gas pipelines; provision of photovoltaic power, and other related energy and services; sale of gas related household appliances; and other value-added services. The company also offers smart energy solutions, financing, and engineering works services, and upstream and midstream project services; provides natural gas distributed energy; engages in the procurement of natural gas sources; and operates vehicle gas refilling stations. The company was formerly known as Towngas China Company Limited and changed its name to Towngas Smart Energy Company Limited in December 2021. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in North Point, Hong Kong. Towngas Smart Energy Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Hong Kong & China Gas (China) Limited.
Stock analysis
Towngas China Co Ltd (1083) currently trades at HK$2.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$5.16, implying the stock looks roughly 43.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$8.40 per share, and 12 of the 15 models we run sit above the HK$2.93 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at HK$3.06, and 3 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$3.86 (bear) to HK$6.44 (bull), the price of HK$2.93 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Towngas China Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$20.9B in FY2025 versus HK$17.1B in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.6B in FY2025, compounding +6.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$11.5B (≈ $1.5B) · P/E ratio 7.4 · P/S ratio 0.56 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.3959 · Dividend yield 6.5% · Net margin 7.6% · Return on equity 6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 76%, 1083 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 15 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Revenue & earnings trend
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Compare Towngas China Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Gas · 103 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Utilities sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Utilities
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naturgy Energy Group NTGY | €29.10 | €32.79 | +13% |
| Atmos Energy Corporation ATO | $157.21 | $77.00 | −51% |
| Uniper SE UN0 | €45.25 | €45.97 | +2% |
| NiSource Inc NI | $39.42 | $19.90 | −50% |
| The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 | HK$7.08 | HK$4.79 | −32% |
| GAIL (India) Limited GAIL | ₹172.70 | ₹132.97 | −23% |
| Italgas S.p.A IG | €8.35 | €9.19 | +10% |
| ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 | ¥18.54 | ¥36.99 | +100% |
| UGI Corporation UGI | $36.24 | $32.74 | −10% |
| ENN Energy Holdings 2688 | HK$48.76 | HK$107.85 | +121% |
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Key figures of Towngas China Co Ltd
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