Saudi Tadawul Group (1111) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · SA · Market cap 14.2B SAR
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 40.17 SAR to 42.86 SAR (+6.7%) since Jul 31, 2026. Share price −8.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (53.57 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range 113.73 SAR – 269.51 SAR · fair‑value band 32.14 SAR – 53.57 SAR · the 115.90 SAR price screens above the 42.86 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Saudi Tadawul Group (1111) currently trades at 115.90 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 42.86 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 63.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Saudi Tadawul Group generated revenue of 1.2B SAR at a net margin of 26.5%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. Net debt stands at 484M SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 32.14 SAR (bear case) to 53.57 SAR (bull case); at 115.90 SAR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -63%, 1111 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (52.15 SAR) versus Asset-Based (19.22 SAR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Saudi Tadawul Group Holding Company, through its subsidiaries, offers listing services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Capital Markets, Data and Technology Services, and Post Trade Services segments. The company creates and manages the mechanisms of trading of securities.
Full company description
Saudi Tadawul Group Holding Company, through its subsidiaries, offers listing services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Capital Markets, Data and Technology Services, and Post Trade Services segments. The company creates and manages the mechanisms of trading of securities. It also engages in providing depository and registration services for securities ownership; clearing of securities trades; and dissemination of securities information. In addition, the company provides financial technology solutions, financial content, and capital market solutions, as well as products for stakeholders. Further, it is involved in trading commission for securities and derivative markets; registration of investment portfolios in the filing and settlement system; and trading data, reference data, market indices, and financial information to the financial community, financial technology solutions, research and development in the field of engineering and technology. Saudi Tadawul Group Holding Company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Saudi Tadawul Group reported revenue of 1.4B SAR in FY2025 versus 1.2B SAR in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was 396M SAR in FY2025, compounding −9.4%/yr from FY2021.
1111 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Mirae Asset Securities Co →
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 426 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,050 KRW | 18,009 KRW | -53% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 118,600 KRW | 52,717 KRW | -56% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 200,500 KRW | 189,335 KRW | -6% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 28,550 KRW | 22,396 KRW | -22% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 93,100 KRW | 75,573 KRW | -19% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 299,000 KRW | 214,812 KRW | -28% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 25,300 VND | 17,375 VND | -31% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 294.30 ARS | -6% |
| Daishin Securities Co 003540 | 26,950 KRW | 48,790 KRW | +81% |
| SK Securities Co 001515 | 4,285 KRW | 1,395 KRW | -67% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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