Wynn Macau, Limited (1128) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$26.5B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +11.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 19% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (HK$4.73 to HK$9.67) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from HK$4.73 (bear) to HK$9.67 (bull), base HK$6.84. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 55/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$2.69 – HK$13.69 · fair‑value band HK$4.73 – HK$9.67 · the HK$5.76 price screens below the HK$6.84 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Wynn Macau, Limited (1128) currently trades at HK$5.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$6.84, implying the stock looks roughly 18.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Wynn Macau, Limited generated revenue of HK$29.0B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue grew 9.7% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$38.0B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 16.3 (as of Jul 2, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$4.73 (bear case) to HK$9.67 (bull case); at HK$5.76, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 19%, 1128 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$9.11) versus Earnings-Based (HK$4.92). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Wynn Macau, Limited owns, develops, and operates integrated destination casino resorts in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through two segments, Wynn Palace and Wynn Macau.
Full company description
Wynn Macau, Limited owns, develops, and operates integrated destination casino resorts in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through two segments, Wynn Palace and Wynn Macau. It offers table games and slot machines or similar gaming devices; 24-hour gaming services; a range of games comprising private gaming salons and sky casinos; a hotel with rooms, suites, and villas; operates food and beverage outlets; a food hall, which includes a variety of stand-alone restaurants and other food offerings; brand-name retail shopping arenas; recreation and leisure facilities, including a cable car ride through SkyCab, health club, spa, salon, and pool; and a meeting and convention spaces. The company also provides poker pit games and public entertainment attractions, including a performance lake and rotunda show featuring a Chinese zodiac-inspired ceiling along with gold tree of prosperity. In addition, it is involved in the development, design, and preconstruction activities and offers technical consultancy, administrative, and management and support services. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Macau. Wynn Macau, Limited operates as a subsidiary of WM Cayman Holdings Limited I.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Wynn Macau, Limited reported revenue of HK$29.0B in FY2025 versus HK$11.7B in FY2021, a compound +25.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.6B in FY2025.
of which total revenue +1.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch 1128: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Wynn Macau (WYNMY) Upgraded to Buy: Here's What You Should Know
- Is Wynn Resorts Stock Underperforming the Nasdaq?
- Wynn Returns as Official Host Partner of Asia's 50 Best Bars 2026 in Landmark 20th Anniversary Year
- Will Macau Momentum and UAE Expansion Shift Wynn Resorts' (WYNN) Luxury Gaming Narrative?
Peer Group
Resorts & Casinos · 75 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $45.68 | $51.60 | +13% |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 | HK$34.20 | HK$40.46 | +18% |
| Sands China Ltd 1928 | HK$14.34 | HK$2.05 | -86% |
| MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM | $43.98 | $17.73 | -60% |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN | $102.97 | $69.39 | -33% |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $63.09 | $18.01 | -71% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $82.98 | $151.24 | +82% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.74 | $80.92 | +172% |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6400 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +8% |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $148.36 | $132.94 | -10% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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