Lumina Group (1162) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$113M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +5.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 44% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0700 to HK$0.1400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1020 – HK$0.4350 · fair‑value band HK$0.0700 – HK$0.1400 · the HK$0.1980 price screens above the HK$0.1100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Lumina Group (1162) currently trades at HK$0.1980, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1100, implying the stock looks roughly 44.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Lumina Group generated revenue of HK$45.4M at a net margin of -28.3%. Revenue grew 91.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -21.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$16.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0700 (bear case) to HK$0.1400 (bull case); at HK$0.1980, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -44%, 1162 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Notify me when 1162 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lumina Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides fire safety services in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Fire Safety System Installation Services; Repair and Maintenance Services; and Production of Short Videos and Animation segments.
Full company description
Lumina Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides fire safety services in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Fire Safety System Installation Services; Repair and Maintenance Services; and Production of Short Videos and Animation segments. It offers services related to the design, supply, and installation of fire safety systems, such as evacuation and electrical fire alarm systems, water and gas suppression systems, and portable fire equipment for newly built and existing buildings; and repair and maintenance services in fire safety systems. The company also trades in equity securities. It serves property owners and tenants, construction contractors, property managers, government-related organizations, and non-governmental organizations. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Tai Kok Tsui, Hong Kong. Lumina Group Limited is a subsidiary of Foxfire Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lumina Group reported revenue of HK$32.4M in FY2025 versus HK$57.6M in FY2021, a compound −13.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$13.6M in FY2025.
1162 screens 44% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 112 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 360.50 | kr 269.97 | -25% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €9.33 | €12.40 | +33% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $166.11 | $127.80 | -23% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 147.90 | kr 186.34 | +26% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.46 | ¥31.47 | +91% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $192.04 | $116.42 | -39% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.31 | $16.68 | +128% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $113.96 | $121.18 | +6% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $95.12 | $72.32 | -24% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $31.45 | $25.50 | -19% |
Compare Lumina Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Lumina Group (1162) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 1162?
What is the quality score of 1162?
What is the revenue of Lumina Group (1162)?
What is the net profit margin of 1162?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Lumina Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.