Saudi Arabian Mining Company (1211) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · SA · Market cap 225B SAR
Fair value as of: Aug 4, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price −1.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 42% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (45.95 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (21.56 SAR to 45.95 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 18.33 SAR – 79.50 SAR · fair‑value band 21.56 SAR – 45.95 SAR · the 58.05 SAR price screens above the 33.87 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.
Analysis
Saudi Arabian Mining Company (1211) currently trades at 58.05 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.87 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 41.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Saudi Arabian Mining Company generated revenue of 38.9B SAR at a net margin of 19.1%. Revenue grew 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. Net debt stands at 23.0B SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 4, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 21.56 SAR (bear case) to 45.95 SAR (bull case); at 58.05 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -42%, 1211 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (55.32 SAR) versus Asset-Based (10.63 SAR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden) operates as a mining and metals company in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Singapore, Korea, the United States, Europe, Australia, Brazil, Africa, Gulf Cooperation Council countries, and internationally.
Full company description
Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden) operates as a mining and metals company in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Singapore, Korea, the United States, Europe, Australia, Brazil, Africa, Gulf Cooperation Council countries, and internationally. The company operates through Phosphate Strategic Business Unit, Aluminium Strategic Business Unit, Base Metals and New Minerals Strategic Business Unit, and All other segments. It primarily mines for gold, phosphate rock, bauxite, kaolin, and magnesite, as well as copper, zinc, carbon, and silver concentrates. The company primarily holds interests in the e Mansourah-Massarah, Ar-Rjum, Mahd Ad-Dahab, Bulghah, Al-Amar, Sukhaybarat, As Suq, Ad Duwayhi, Al-Jalamid, Al-Khabra, Az Zabirah, Al-Ghazallah, and Al-Ba'itha mines. It also produces and sells phosphate fertilizers, ammonia, and industrial minerals, as well as alumina, aluminum, and flat rolled products directly to customers and through marketing agents. In addition, the company offers ingots, slabs, and billets; caustic soda and Ethylene Dichloride (EDC); and potassium fertilizers. Further, it is involved in procurement, marketing, project management and execution, exploration, funding and treasury management and other support activities; development and operation of smelters; and providing cooperative insurance, reinsurance, and related activities. Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden) was founded in 1997 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Saudi Arabian Mining Company reported revenue of 38.6B SAR in FY2025 versus 26.8B SAR in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was 7.3B SAR in FY2025, compounding +8.9%/yr from FY2021.
1211 screens 42% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 542 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 4, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
| Korea Zinc Company 010130 | 1,043,000 KRW | 646,063 KRW | -38% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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