Hi-Lai Foods Co (1268) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 7.3B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price +11.8% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (128.99 TWD to 235.99 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 87.85 TWD – 185.00 TWD · fair‑value band 128.99 TWD – 235.99 TWD · the 185.00 TWD price screens above the 179.13 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
Hi-Lai Foods Co (1268) currently trades at 185.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 179.13 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 3.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hi-Lai Foods Co generated revenue of 6.5B TWD at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue grew 14.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.6%. Net debt stands at 2.0B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 128.99 TWD (bear case) to 235.99 TWD (bull case); at 185.00 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -3%, 1268 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (275.46 TWD) versus Asset-Based (36.55 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hi-Lai Foods Co., Ltd operates restaurants in Taiwan. It operates restaurants under the Hanlai Harbor, Island language, Hanlai vegetarian food, Hanlai Celebrity Hall, Dongfanglou, Gathering Place, Gathering Place, Hanlai Shanghai Soup Dumplings, Liuliu Sauerkraut Fish Specialty Store, Peking duck specialty store, Cuiyuan Cantonese Restaurant, Leshu, …
Full company description
Hi-Lai Foods Co., Ltd operates restaurants in Taiwan. It operates restaurants under the Hanlai Harbor, Island language, Hanlai vegetarian food, Hanlai Celebrity Hall, Dongfanglou, Gathering Place, Gathering Place, Hanlai Shanghai Soup Dumplings, Liuliu Sauerkraut Fish Specialty Store, Peking duck specialty store, Cuiyuan Cantonese Restaurant, Leshu, Hanlaixuan, flame, PAVO Restaurant & Bistro, Exquisite Seafood Hot Pot, Japanese Cuisine Benkei, Fu Yuan Taiwanese Seafood Restaurant, HI-LAI CAFÉ, Cake Shop, Daily Bakery, Kaohsiung Grand Lounge, Taipei Grand Lounge names. The company is also involved in wholesale and retail of aquatic products and food groceries, and professional investment business. Hi-Lai Foods Co., Ltd was founded in 1992 and is based in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hi-Lai Foods Co reported revenue of 6.2B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.9B TWD in FY2021, a compound +20.7%/yr. Reported net income was 427M TWD in FY2025, compounding +54.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Restaurants · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.49 | $35.83 | -66% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.63 | $18.43 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $163.54 | $59.66 | -64% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $195.74 | $173.68 | -11% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $43.90 | $55.10 | +26% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $197.03 | $104.89 | -47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $68.36 | $12.80 | -81% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $322.18 | $231.96 | -28% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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