Hydoo International Holdings (1396) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Hydoo International Holdings HK$1.71, price HK$10.25, upside -83.3%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0764 – HK$19.00 · fair‑value band HK$1.71 – HK$2.19 · the HK$10.25 price screens above the HK$1.71 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and sells residential properties, and commercial trade and logistics centers in Mainland China. The company develops and sells properties; and provides value-added business that includes property management and rental services.
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Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and sells residential properties, and commercial trade and logistics centers in Mainland China. The company develops and sells properties; and provides value-added business that includes property management and rental services. It is also involved in the provision of investment management and finance leasing services. The company was formerly known as Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited and changed its name to Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. in April 2026. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China. Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of China Guangdong " Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited.
Stock analysis
Hydoo International Holdings (1396) currently trades at HK$10.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.71, 83.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$3.45 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the HK$10.25 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$1.71, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$1.71 (bear) to HK$2.19 (bull), the price of HK$10.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Hydoo International Holdings reported revenue of 1.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 5.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound −34.9%/yr. Reported net income was 73.0M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$20.2B (≈ $2.6B) · P/E ratio 161.5 · P/S ratio 11.8 · EPS (TTM) HK$1.19 · Net margin 7.3% · Return on equity 2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.4% · Operating margin −94.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 127% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −83%, 1396 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$1.71Fair Value HK$1.71Bull HK$2.19
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.8998 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−61.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−31.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −10.9% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−3.3% vs −25.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−4% → −58%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.5%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +22.7% a year for the price.
Compare Hydoo International Holdings with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 575 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Below median
Fair Value upside−83.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2.8% · Below median
Return on assets−5.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)7.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−94.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−55.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)161.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.36× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)17.17× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF48.9× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 70
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)11· sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)92· sector 84
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hydoo International Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1396
Frequently asked questions
Is Hydoo International Holdings (1396) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.71 versus a price of HK$10.25, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1396?
Our model-based fair value for Hydoo International Holdings is HK$1.71 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$10.25.
What is the quality score of 1396?
Hydoo International Holdings has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hydoo International Holdings (1396)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.71 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.71, optimistic scenario HK$2.19. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hydoo International Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.71, about −83% upside versus a price of HK$10.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.71, optimistic scenario HK$2.19. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hydoo International Holdings (1396)?
Hydoo International Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hydoo International Holdings (1396)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hydoo International Holdings would have to grow free cash flow by +24.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -23.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1396 use?
Our models discount Hydoo International Holdings at 12.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 3.04, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hydoo International Holdings that is +24.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hydoo International Holdings (1396) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hydoo International Holdings grew -23.1 % a year. The price currently implies +24.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hydoo International Holdings (1396) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hydoo International Holdings (+24.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hydoo International Holdings (1396)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.69 %: that much free cash flow Hydoo International Holdings produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hydoo International Holdings (1396)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hydoo International Holdings it is HK$1.71 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$10.25. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hydoo International Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1396 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$10.25, fair value HK$1.71, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1396?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$10.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.71). For Hydoo International Holdings the two are HK$8.54 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hydoo International Holdings worth?
The market values Hydoo International Holdings at about HK$20.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$10.25; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.71 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1396?
Our models span a range for Hydoo International Holdings: cautious scenario HK$1.71, base HK$1.71, optimistic HK$2.19 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$10.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1396?
Hydoo International Holdings trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 161.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$1.71 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.4, P/S 17.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hydoo International Holdings (1396)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hydoo International Holdings (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.8%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1396 from its 52-week high?
Hydoo International Holdings trades at HK$10.25, about 46% below its 52-week high of HK$19.00 and 127% above the low of HK$4.51 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.71 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hydoo International Holdings?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hydoo International Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$10.25, calculated fair value HK$1.71 (−83%), Quality Score 39/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1396 calculated?
We run Hydoo International Holdings through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.71, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hydoo International Holdings itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hydoo International Holdings (1396)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$10.25. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.71, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hydoo International Holdings right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$2.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Hydoo International Holdings
How large is the market capitalisation of Hydoo International Holdings (1396)?
The market capitalisation of Hydoo International Holdings is HK$20.2B (≈ $2.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hydoo International Holdings (1396)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hydoo International Holdings is 11.8 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hydoo International Holdings (1396)?
Earnings per share at Hydoo International Holdings are HK$1.19 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 161.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hydoo International Holdings (1396)?
The net margin of Hydoo International Holdings is 7.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hydoo International Holdings (1396)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hydoo International Holdings is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hydoo International Holdings (1396)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hydoo International Holdings is −4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hydoo International Holdings (1396)?
The operating margin of Hydoo International Holdings is −94.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hydoo International Holdings (1396)?
Revenue at Hydoo International Holdings is growing −55.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −31.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hydoo International Holdings (1396)?
Earnings per share at Hydoo International Holdings are growing −32.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Hydoo International Holdings (1396) carry?
The net debt of Hydoo International Holdings is 3.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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