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Sinomax Group Ltd (1418) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$289M (≈ $36.8M) · ISIN KYG8191A1022

What is Sinomax Group Ltd really worth?

SG Sinomax Group Ltd 1418 · HK
PriceHK$0.1300
Fair ValueHK$0.7600
Upside+484.6%
Quality48/100

Below-average quality, trading 83% below our fair value of HK$0.7600.

As of Aug 19, 2026, the fair value of Sinomax Group Ltd is HK$0.7600 per share against a price of HK$0.1300, so the fair value sits 485% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +7.8 %/yr)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/12)

Risks

!Thin margins · 1.3% net margin
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·7.69% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.5700 – HK$0.9500

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −3.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.5700). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.3764 HK$0.0387 Fair Value HK$0.7600 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0387 – HK$0.3764 · fair‑value band HK$0.5700 – HK$0.9500 · the HK$0.1300 price screens below the HK$0.7600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Sinomax Group Ltd (1418) currently trades at HK$0.1300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7600, implying the stock looks roughly 82.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$1.00 per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.1300 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.3000, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sinomax Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$4.7B at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue grew 34.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.2%. Net debt stands at HK$690M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.5700 (bear case) to HK$0.9500 (bull case); at HK$0.1300, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at 485%, 1418 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.0068 per share, which is 1.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence HK$0.5000 HK$0.6400 HK$0.8200 82
Growth DCF HK$0.5000 HK$0.6200 HK$0.7700 80
Owner Earnings HK$1.00 HK$1.37 HK$1.86 77
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence HK$0.5000 HK$0.6400 HK$0.8200 82
Owner Earnings HK$1.00 HK$1.37 HK$1.86 77
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.8100 HK$1.28 HK$1.90 72
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.28 HK$2.19 HK$3.30 74
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.6300 HK$0.9200 HK$1.24 71
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.6500 HK$1.00 HK$1.52 66
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.9300 HK$1.55 HK$2.46 67
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.5700 HK$0.7800 HK$1.07 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.2300 HK$0.8800 HK$1.19 64
Lynch FV HK$0.2100 HK$0.3000 HK$0.3900 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.2100 HK$0.3000 HK$0.3900 57
EPV HK$0.8000 HK$0.8700 HK$0.9300 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.5700 HK$0.7600 HK$0.9500 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.4400 HK$0.5900 HK$0.7300 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.4400 HK$0.5900 HK$0.7300 55
EV/EBIT HK$1.50 HK$1.93 HK$2.36 66
EV/EBITDA HK$2.05 HK$2.67 HK$3.28 67
EV/Revenue HK$1.08 HK$1.45 HK$1.83 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2900 HK$0.4000 HK$0.5900 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.5000 HK$0.6200 HK$0.7700 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.8100 HK$1.27 HK$1.82 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.4200 HK$0.4100 HK$0.3600 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.8400 HK$0.9700 HK$1.11 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.4000 HK$0.5800 HK$0.7500 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$1.00) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.3000). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 5.5 as of Jul 2, 2026
P/S ratio 0.07 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0200 price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.5
Dividend yield 7.7% payout 50.0%
Net margin 1.3% FY2025
Return on equity 8.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 3.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$4.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +34.3% 3y avg +14.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −56.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$58.0M FY2025
Net debt HK$690M FY2025 · ≈ 11.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Sinomax Group Limited, an investment holding company, develops, manufactures, and sells health and wellness products. The company offers visco-elastic pillows, mattress toppers, and polyurethane foam mattresses under the SINOMAX, Spa Supreme, ComforZen, Dream Serenity, Zeopedic, Customizer, Dormeo Octaspring, Kids Pedic, Design, XCOR, Cradlez, Zleepy, …

Full company description

Sinomax Group Limited, an investment holding company, develops, manufactures, and sells health and wellness products. The company offers visco-elastic pillows, mattress toppers, and polyurethane foam mattresses under the SINOMAX, Spa Supreme, ComforZen, Dream Serenity, Zeopedic, Customizer, Dormeo Octaspring, Kids Pedic, Design, XCOR, Cradlez, Zleepy, Sharper Image, Awaken, Homedics, and Tung Ah brand names. It also engages in the retail and wholesale of health and household products; and provision of treasury management services. It sells its products through self-operated stand-alone retail shops and concession counters in department stores, as well as Internet. The company operates in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Macau; the United States, and other North American countries; and Europe and internationally. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong. Sinomax Group Limited is a subsidiary of Sinomax Enterprises Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sinomax Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$4.7B in FY2025 versus HK$4.3B in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$60.3M in FY2025, compounding +40.9%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 71/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$4.7B
Latest YoY
+14.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (14Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+28.4% · in HKD
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+20.7%
Dividend yield7.7%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 10.3% vs 10Y −10.2%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1.7% (2020) → 3.6% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop646% (2019) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in HKD
Revenue +2.5%/yr
FY21 HK$4.3B
FY22 HK$3.2B
FY23 HK$3.6B
FY24 HK$4.1B
FY25 HK$4.7B
Net income +40.9%/yr
FY21 HK$15.3M
FY22 −HK$36.0M
FY23 HK$62.6M
FY24 HK$138M
FY25 HK$60.3M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −6.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.1 %

of which total revenue +3.6 % · buybacks/dilution −0.5 %

EBIT margin −2.5 %
Tax rate −1.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −6.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Sinomax Group Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.7600 +83%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sinomax Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1418.HK

Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 317 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 34% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.7% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.28× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 21
FUTURE100 · sector 0
PAST33 · sector 19
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND100 · sector 58

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

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Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 ¥173.26 ¥38.83 −78%
SharkNinja, Inc SN $181.24 $89.07 −51%
Somnigroup International Inc SGI $63.65 $31.69 −50%
Mohawk Industries, Inc MHK $131.70 $119.26 −9%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Sinomax Group Ltd (1418) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.7600 versus a price of HK$0.1300, about +485% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1418?
Our model-based fair value for Sinomax Group Ltd is HK$0.7600 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1300.
What is the quality score of 1418?
Sinomax Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sinomax Group Ltd (1418)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.7600 (as of Aug 19, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.5700, optimistic scenario HK$0.9500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sinomax Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.7600, about +485% upside versus a price of HK$0.1300 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.5700, optimistic scenario HK$0.9500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sinomax Group Ltd (1418)?
Sinomax Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$4.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1418?
The net profit margin of Sinomax Group Ltd is about 1.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sinomax Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Sinomax Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.69% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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