1488 (1488) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$1.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated today
Share price +20.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$0.5222 – HK$1.04 · fair‑value band HK$0.2700 – HK$0.4900 · the HK$0.9400 price screens above the HK$0.4900 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.
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1488 (1488) currently trades at HK$0.9400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4900 — implying the stock looks roughly 47.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, 1488 generated revenue of HK$410M at a net margin of -1.3%. Revenue declined 10.6% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$657M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
1488 reported revenue of HK$410M in FY2025 versus HK$753M in FY2021, a compound −14.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$5.2M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
6 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCD | 4,928 MXN | 1,948 MXN | -60% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | C$27.68 | C$7.44 | -73% |
| Compass Group CMPGF | $32.59 | $24.90 | -24% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMGS | C$12.49 | C$9.29 | -26% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $150.74 | $59.42 | -61% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | $72.66 | $34.01 | -53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.