Best Food Holding Co Ltd (1488) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$1.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +19.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 41% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.5000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2700 to HK$0.5000) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.5000 – HK$1.29 · fair‑value band HK$0.2700 – HK$0.5000 · the HK$0.8500 price screens above the HK$0.5000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Best Food Holding Co Ltd (1488) currently trades at HK$0.8500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5000, implying the stock looks roughly 41.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Best Food Holding Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$410M at a net margin of -1.3%. Revenue declined 10.6% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$657M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2700 (bear case) to HK$0.5000 (bull case); at HK$0.8500, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 93% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at -41%, 1488 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.2100) versus DCF Models (HK$0.0600). Highest evidence: Rev-Margin DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Best Food Holding Company Limited, an investment holding company, operates a chain of restaurants in the People's Republic of China. The company operates Chinese fast food and hot pot chain restaurants.
Full company description
Best Food Holding Company Limited, an investment holding company, operates a chain of restaurants in the People's Republic of China. The company operates Chinese fast food and hot pot chain restaurants. It also provides technical consultation, wholesale and retail, leasing and business, consulting, and catering management services; and manufactures condiments. The company was formerly known as Lee & Man Handbags Holding Limited and changed its name to Best Food Holding Company Limited in October 2016. The company was founded in 1976 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. Best Food Holding Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Sonic Tycoon Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Best Food Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$410M in FY2025 versus HK$753M in FY2021, a compound −14.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$5.2M in FY2025.
1488 screens 41% overvalued. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →
Peer Group
Restaurants · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $108.49 | $35.83 | -67% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $32.00 | $17.92 | -44% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $150.34 | $58.17 | -61% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.50 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $218.90 | $173.68 | -21% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $47.90 | $54.27 | +13% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $214.28 | $104.89 | -51% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $51.02 | $12.80 | -75% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $353.72 | $227.31 | -36% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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