GC Construction Holdings Ltd (1489) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$1.3B
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 24, 2026, revised from HK$0.0100 to HK$0.4100 (+4,000.0%) since Aug 20, 2026. Share price +136.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 68% overvalued on our models.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.5500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2800 to HK$0.5500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
46‑month range HK$0.3000 – HK$1.35 · fair‑value band HK$0.2800 – HK$0.5500 · the HK$1.28 price screens above the HK$0.4100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
Analysis
GC Construction Holdings Ltd (1489) currently trades at HK$1.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4100, implying the stock looks roughly 67.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, GC Construction Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$260M at a net margin of -23.4%. Revenue declined 60.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -25.1%. Net debt stands at HK$30.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2800 (bear case) to HK$0.5500 (bull case); at HK$1.28, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 340% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -68%, 1489 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.5000) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
GC Construction Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a wet trades contractor in Hong Kong. The company undertakes plastering, tile laying, brick laying, floor screeding, and marble works for public or private residential and commercial properties. The company was formerly known as Chan Kiu Engineering Holdings Limited.
Full company description
GC Construction Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a wet trades contractor in Hong Kong. The company undertakes plastering, tile laying, brick laying, floor screeding, and marble works for public or private residential and commercial properties. The company was formerly known as Chan Kiu Engineering Holdings Limited. GC Construction Holdings Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
GC Construction Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$260M in FY2026 versus HK$456M in FY2022, a compound −13.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$60.8M in FY2026.
1489 screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 836 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quanta Services, Inc PWR | $678.02 | $143.92 | -79% |
| Vinci SA DG | €119.95 | €185.62 | +55% |
| Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX | $1,739 | $519.97 | -70% |
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹4,072 | ₹2,196 | -46% |
| Ferrovial N.V FER | €57.28 | €19.17 | -67% |
| HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT | €427.60 | €203.87 | -52% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 357,500 KRW | 261,411 KRW | -27% |
| ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS | €110.70 | €75.04 | -32% |
| EMCOR Group EME | $833.40 | $549.47 | -34% |
| MasTec, Inc MTZ | $281.11 | $100.00 | -64% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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