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Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$86.2M

YW Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd 1536 · HK
PriceHK$0.2600
Fair ValueHK$0.0510
Upside-80.4%
Quality39/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -2.5% net margin
generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0425 – HK$0.0680 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +71.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0680). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.3350 HK$0.0720 Fair Value HK$0.0510 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0720 – HK$0.3350 · fair‑value band HK$0.0425 – HK$0.0680 · the HK$0.2600 price screens above the HK$0.0510 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536) currently trades at HK$0.2600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0510, implying the stock looks roughly 80.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$178M at a net margin of -2.5%. Revenue declined 38.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$3.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0425 (bear case) to HK$0.0680 (bull case); at HK$0.2600, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 192% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -80%, 1536 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.0800 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1100 72
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 67
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1200 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2500 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1100 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1200 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.0900 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1200 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1200 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.0800 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1100 72
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 67

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.1700) versus Growth DCF (HK$0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$178M
Revenue growth (YoY) -38.6%
Net margin -2.5%
Return on equity -2.9%
Free cash flow HK$2.0M FY2025
Operating margin -9.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0400
EPS growth (YoY) -91.6%
Net cash HK$3.2M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 8
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yuk Wing Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in down-the-hole (DTH) rock drilling tools in Hong Kong, Scandinavia, Macau, the People's Republic of China, Germany, and internationally.

Full company description

Yuk Wing Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in down-the-hole (DTH) rock drilling tools in Hong Kong, Scandinavia, Macau, the People's Republic of China, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through Manufacturing and Trading of DTH Rockdrilling Tools; and Trading of Piling and Drilling Machineries and Rockdrilling Equipment segments. It offers DTH hammers, casing systems, button bits and bit openers, drill pipes, cluster drills, and casing tubes. The company also trades in piling and drilling machineries, and rock drilling equipment. Its products are used in building foundation and piling on construction sites, mining and quarrying, water well drilling, utility linings, micro-tunneling, and overburden drilling. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. Yuk Wing Group Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Colour Shine Investments Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$178M in FY2026 versus HK$142M in FY2022, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$4.4M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$178M
Latest YoY
−17.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.8%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.4%
Revenue +5.9%/yr
FY22 HK$142M
FY23 HK$157M
FY24 HK$148M
FY25 HK$217M
FY26 HK$178M
Net income
FY22 −HK$454K
FY23 −HK$3.5M
FY24 −HK$18.7M
FY25 −HK$12.5M
FY26 −HK$4.4M

1536 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1536

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -39% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.5× · Pricier than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €899.80 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €281.75 €91.93 -67%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.75 -28%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 210.00 kr 112.59 -46%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 358.60 kr 193.01 -46%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥39.17 ¥22.68 -42%
ABB India Limited ABB ₹7,645 ₹1,322 -83%
Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND ₹5,315 ₹1,355 -75%
Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL ₹421.70 ₹96.51 -77%
Siemens Limited SIEMENS ₹4,019 ₹746.83 -81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0510 versus a price of HK$0.2600, about −80% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1536?
Our model-based fair value for Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0510 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2600.
What is the quality score of 1536?
Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd (1536)?
Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$178M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1536?
The net profit margin of Yuk Wing Group Holdings Ltd is about -2.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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