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MIE Holdings Corp (1555) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · HK · Market cap HK$84.7M

MH MIE Holdings Corp 1555 · HK
PriceHK$0.0240
Fair ValueHK$0.0494
Upside+105.8%
Quality38/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -71.2% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 11/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.0470 – HK$0.0494 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0513 to HK$0.0494 (−3.6%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −11.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 106% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0470). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.0470 to HK$0.0494), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.1520 HK$0.0150 Fair Value HK$0.0494 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0150 – HK$0.1520 · fair‑value band HK$0.0470 – HK$0.0494 · the HK$0.0240 price screens below the HK$0.0494 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

MIE Holdings Corp (1555) currently trades at HK$0.0240, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0494, implying the stock looks roughly 105.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, MIE Holdings Corp generated revenue of HK$706M at a net margin of -71.2%. Revenue declined 21.9% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$3.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0470 (bear case) to HK$0.0494 (bull case); at HK$0.0240, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 106%, 1555 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.0900 80
Gordon GGM HK$0.1300 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1500 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1300 HK$0.1500 HK$0.1700 61
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.1200 38
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1300 41
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.1300 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1500 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1300 HK$0.1500 HK$0.1700 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$0.0700 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.0900 80

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$706M
Revenue growth (YoY) -21.9%
Net margin -71.2%
Free cash flow HK$255M FY2025
Operating margin -6.2%
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0400
More key figures
Net debt HK$3.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 11
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MIE Holdings Corporation explores, develops, produces, and sells crude oil and other petroleum products under Daan Oilfield production sharing contracts located in northeast China. The company holds a 100% interest in the Daan project covering an area of 62,518 acres located in Songliao Basin, DaanJilin Province.

Full company description

MIE Holdings Corporation explores, develops, produces, and sells crude oil and other petroleum products under Daan Oilfield production sharing contracts located in northeast China. The company holds a 100% interest in the Daan project covering an area of 62,518 acres located in Songliao Basin, DaanJilin Province. MIE Holdings Corporation was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MIE Holdings Corp reported revenue of HK$688M in FY2025 versus HK$1.0B in FY2021, a compound −9.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$490M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 37/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$688M
Latest YoY
−23.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.1%
Revenue −9.3%/yr
FY21 HK$1.0B
FY22 HK$1.4B
FY23 HK$1.0B
FY24 HK$898M
FY25 HK$688M
Net income
FY21 −HK$338M
FY22 HK$2.4B
FY23 −HK$158M
FY24 −HK$329M
FY25 −HK$490M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MIE Holdings Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1555

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 314 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Below median
Fair Value upside +108% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -71% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Below median
Revenue growth -22% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 11
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 87
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥32.85 ¥32.55 -1%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $125.92 $90.15 -28%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.57 $31.14 -35%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $143.14 $130.19 -9%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $58.55 $30.06 -49%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $201.71 $105.24 -48%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $44.86 $27.06 -40%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$32.55 A$20.71 -36%
EQT Corporation EQT $54.06 $42.85 -21%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $342.77 $77.26 -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MIE Holdings Corp (1555) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0494 versus a price of HK$0.0240, about +106% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1555?
Our model-based fair value for MIE Holdings Corp is HK$0.0494 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0240.
What is the quality score of 1555?
MIE Holdings Corp has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MIE Holdings Corp (1555)?
MIE Holdings Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$706M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1555?
The net profit margin of MIE Holdings Corp is about -71.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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