1576 (1576) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$3.1B

1 1576 1576 · HK

PriceHK$1.58

Fair ValueHK$3.69

Upside+133.5%

Quality45/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$2.77 – HK$4.61

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Share price −11.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$1.58 – HK$2.11 · fair‑value band HK$2.77 – HK$4.61 · the HK$1.58 price screens below the HK$3.69 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1576 (1576) currently trades at HK$1.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.69 — implying the stock looks roughly 133.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 1576 generated revenue of HK$2.4B at a net margin of 16.1%. Revenue declined 69.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. Net debt stands at HK$10.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.4B

Revenue growth (YoY) -69.0%

Net margin 16.1%

Return on equity 6.1%

Free cash flow −HK$342M FY2025

P/E ratio 7.4

More key figures

Operating margin 26.2%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.1000

Dividend yield 7.8%

EPS growth (YoY) -25.4%

Net debt HK$10.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1576 reported revenue of HK$2.3B in FY2025 versus HK$2.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$376M in FY2025, compounding −18.5%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +3.8%/yr

FY21 HK$2.0B

FY22 HK$2.9B

FY23 HK$5.6B

FY24 HK$7.0B

FY25 HK$2.3B

Net income −18.5%/yr

FY21 HK$853M

FY22 HK$782M

FY23 HK$525M

FY24 HK$485M

FY25 HK$376M

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Similar stocks

6 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings 001965	¥10.04	¥12.59	+25%
Jiangsu Expressway Company 600377	¥11.93	¥20.23	+70%
Shandong Hi-speed Company 600350	¥10.07	¥8.33	-17%
Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina, S.A. IDEALB1	43.00 MXN	48.63 MXN	+13%
Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. PUODY	$315.00	$744.49	+136%
0177 0177	HK$9.17	HK$17.60	+92%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1576 (1576) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.69 versus a price of HK$1.58 — about +134% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 1576?

Our model-based fair value for 1576 is HK$3.69 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.58.

What is the quality score of 1576?

1576 has a Quality Score of 45/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 1576 (1576)?

1576 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1576?

The net profit margin of 1576 is about 16.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 1576 pay a dividend?

1576 currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.83% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.