Chen Lin Education Group (1593) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$1.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 67% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.02 – HK$2.91 · fair‑value band HK$0.2600 – HK$0.3500 · the HK$1.04 price screens above the HK$0.3400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
Chen Lin Education Group (1593) currently trades at HK$1.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3400, implying the stock looks roughly 67.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Chen Lin Education Group generated revenue of HK$601M at a net margin of -73.2%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -69.2%. Net debt stands at HK$2.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2600 (bear case) to HK$0.3500 (bull case); at HK$1.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at -67%, 1593 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$1.26) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.3000). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
Notify me when 1593 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chen Lin Education Group Holdings Limited provides private tertiary education services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates Jiangxi Institute of Applied Science and Technology, a private university that offers undergraduate and junior college programs, as well as diverse education related services.
Full company description
Chen Lin Education Group Holdings Limited provides private tertiary education services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates Jiangxi Institute of Applied Science and Technology, a private university that offers undergraduate and junior college programs, as well as diverse education related services. It also operates Jiangxi Wenli Jishi College, a full-time vocational college; Guizhou Vocational College of Industry and Trade, a higher vocational college; and Chen Lin High School, a private high school. In addition, the company is involved in investment related activities. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Nanchang, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Chen Lin Education Group reported revenue of HK$594M in FY2025 versus HK$327M in FY2021, a compound +16.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$408M in FY2025.
1593 screens 67% overvalued. Compare with New Oriental Education & Technology Group →
Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 897.37 MXN | -7% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $10.24 | $15.60 | +52% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $36.45 | $41.45 | +14% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹131.59 | ₹14.81 | -89% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $149.00 | $152.01 | +2% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $116.22 | $135.45 | +17% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $83.39 | $139.45 | +67% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $40.33 | $21.35 | -47% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $31.66 | $41.45 | +31% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $84.18 | $105.48 | +25% |
Compare Chen Lin Education Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Chen Lin Education Group (1593) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 1593?
What is the quality score of 1593?
What is the revenue of Chen Lin Education Group (1593)?
What is the net profit margin of 1593?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Chen Lin Education Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.