Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd stock HK$0.28, price HK$1.65, that is 83.0% below the price, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.02 – HK$2.68 · fair‑value band HK$0.2100 – HK$0.4200 · the HK$1.65 price screens above the HK$0.2800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Chen Lin Education Group Holdings Limited provides private tertiary education services in the People's Republic of China.
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The company operates Jiangxi Institute of Applied Science and Technology, a private university that offers undergraduate and junior college programs, as well as diverse education related services.
It also operates Jiangxi Wenli Jishi College, a full-time vocational college; Guizhou Vocational College of Industry and Trade, a higher vocational college; and Chen Lin High School, a private high school. In addition, the company is involved in investment related activities.
The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Nanchang, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593) currently trades at HK$1.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2800, 83% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.2100 (bear) to HK$0.4200 (bull), the price of HK$1.65 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 594M CNY in FY2025 versus 327M CNY in FY2021, a compound +16.1%/yr. Reported net income was −408M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.6B (≈ $203M) Micro · P/S ratio 1.96 · Net margin −68.7% · Return on equity −69.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin 4.6% · Revenue (TTM) 601M CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) +0.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 14 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 31% fair-value upside, at −83%, 1593 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$0.2100Fair Value HK$0.2800BullHK$0.4200
Price HK$1.65 · Downside -83.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.1% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
48.0% (2019) → 19.1% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 108 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−83.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−10.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−73.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)4.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)0.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.72× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
P/B3.11× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)2.28× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA20.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)1· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)14· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1593
Frequently asked questions
Is Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2800 versus a price of HK$1.65, about 83% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1593?
Our model-based fair value for Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2800 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.65.
What is the quality score of 1593?
Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2800 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2100, optimistic scenario HK$0.4200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2800, about 83% lower versus a price of HK$1.65 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2100, optimistic scenario HK$0.4200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593)?
Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 601M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.2800 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of HK$1.65. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, 1593 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.65, fair value HK$0.2800, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1593?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2800). For Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd the two are HK$1.37 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd at about HK$1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.65; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1593?
Our models span a range for Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2100, base HK$0.2800, optimistic HK$0.4200 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price HK$1.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −69.2%, debt of 1.72 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1593 from its 52-week high?
Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd trades at HK$1.65, about 1% below its 52-week high of HK$1.67 and 62% above the low of HK$1.02 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Covista Inc, Physicswallah Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price HK$1.65, calculated fair value HK$0.2800 (−83%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1593 calculated?
We run Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.2800 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was HK$1.65. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2800, about 83% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.4200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2100 to HK$0.4200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593) come from?
Earnings per share at Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd grew −3.6 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +18.6 %, EBIT margin −8.1 %, tax rate +1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −13.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593)?
The market capitalisation of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd is HK$1.6B (≈ $203M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd is 1.96 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593)?
The net margin of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd is −68.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd is −69.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd is 1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593)?
The operating margin of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593)?
Revenue at Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd is growing +0.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593)?
Earnings per share at Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd are growing +182% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593) generate?
The free cash flow of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd is −40.6M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd (1593) carry?
The net debt of Chen Lin Education Grp Holdings Ltd is 2.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 4, 2026