Hebei Yichen Industrial Group Corp Ltd (1596) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$328M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.4160 to HK$0.3966 (−4.7%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +1.5% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 20% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2600 to HK$0.5743) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from HK$0.2600 (bear) to HK$0.5743 (bull), base HK$0.3966. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 77/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2850 – HK$5.19 · fair‑value band HK$0.2600 – HK$0.5743 · the HK$0.3300 price screens below the HK$0.3966 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Hebei Yichen Industrial Group Corp Ltd (1596) currently trades at HK$0.3300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3966, implying the stock looks roughly 20.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hebei Yichen Industrial Group Corp Ltd generated revenue of HK$1.7B at a net margin of 17.1%. Revenue grew 101.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.3%. Net debt stands at HK$280M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2600 (bear case) to HK$0.5743 (bull case); at HK$0.3300, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 20%, 1596 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$5.75) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.4300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hebei Yichen Industrial Group Corporation Limited engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and sales of rail fastening system, welding wire, and railway sleeper products in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong.
Full company description
Hebei Yichen Industrial Group Corporation Limited engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and sales of rail fastening system, welding wire, and railway sleeper products in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company offers high-speed railway fastening systems, track, urban railway transportation, and heavy-haul railway series products, as well as solid and flux-cored wire products to the shipbuilding industry. Hebei Yichen Industrial Group Corporation Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Shijiazhuang, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hebei Yichen Industrial Group Corp Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.7B in FY2025 versus HK$1.4B in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$284M in FY2025, compounding +3.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Railroads · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $293.73 | $141.29 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $50.08 | $12.62 | -75% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.69 | $34.23 | -63% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNR | C$176.01 | C$92.68 | -47% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $335.41 | $114.55 | -66% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $295.54 | $144.80 | -51% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥5.04 | ¥5.65 | +12% |
| MTR Corporation 0066 | HK$32.30 | HK$17.85 | -45% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.98 | ¥9.53 | +59% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.72 | ¥6.22 | +32% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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