1596 (1596) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$328M

1 1596 1596 · HK

PriceHK$0.3700

Fair ValueHK$0.4200

Upside+13.5%

Quality57/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$0.2734 – HK$0.6102

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −30.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.3325 – HK$2.40 · fair‑value band HK$0.2734 – HK$0.6102 · the HK$0.3700 price screens below the HK$0.4200 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1596 (1596) currently trades at HK$0.3700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4200 — implying the stock looks roughly 13.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 1596 generated revenue of HK$1.7B at a net margin of 17.1%. Revenue grew 101.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.3%. Net debt stands at HK$280M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.7B

Revenue growth (YoY) +101%

Net margin 17.1%

Return on equity 11.3%

Free cash flow HK$233M FY2025

P/E ratio 1.0

More key figures

Operating margin 24.4%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.0500

Dividend yield 3.0%

EPS growth (YoY) -11.9%

Net debt HK$280M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1596 reported revenue of HK$1.7B in FY2025 versus HK$1.4B in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$284M in FY2025, compounding +3.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +5.2%/yr

FY21 HK$1.4B

FY22 HK$1.3B

FY23 HK$1.2B

FY24 HK$1.1B

FY25 HK$1.7B

Net income +3.7%/yr

FY21 HK$246M

FY22 HK$161M

FY23 HK$49.4M

FY24 −HK$50.8M

FY25 HK$284M

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Similar stocks

6 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
UNP UNP	4,617 MXN	2,349 MXN	-49%
Union Pacific Corporation UPAC34	R$348.19	R$152.01	-56%
CSX Corporation CSX	$46.41	$9.49	-80%
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP	$90.15	$21.86	-76%
Canadian National Railway Company CNI	$114.13	$92.95	-19%
Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC	$313.45	$81.84	-74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1596 (1596) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4200 versus a price of HK$0.3700 — about +14% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 1596?

Our model-based fair value for 1596 is HK$0.4200 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.3700.

What is the quality score of 1596?

1596 has a Quality Score of 57/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 1596 (1596)?

1596 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1596?

The net profit margin of 1596 is about 17.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 1596 pay a dividend?

1596 currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.97% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.