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1600 (1600) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · Market cap HK$2.6B

1 1600 1600 · HK
PriceHK$2.73
Fair ValueHK$1.28
Upside-53.1%
Quality49/100
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Evidence: High Range HK$0.8000 – HK$2.02

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −4.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$4.96 HK$2.67 Fair Value HK$1.28 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$2.67 – HK$4.96 · fair‑value band HK$0.8000 – HK$2.02 · the HK$2.73 price screens above the HK$1.28 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1600 (1600) currently trades at HK$2.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.28 — implying the stock looks roughly 53.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 1600 generated revenue of HK$7.9B at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue declined 6.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. Net debt stands at HK$5.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$7.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.3%
Net margin 0.5%
Return on equity 0.9%
Free cash flow HK$381M FY2025
P/E ratio 54.6
More key figures
Operating margin 2.1%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.1200
Dividend yield 3.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -9.0%
Net debt HK$5.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1600 reported revenue of HK$7.9B in FY2025 versus HK$7.7B in FY2021, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$38.6M in FY2025, compounding −55.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +0.9%/yr
FY21 HK$7.7B
FY22 HK$7.5B
FY23 HK$7.7B
FY24 HK$7.8B
FY25 HK$7.9B
Net income −55.7%/yr
FY21 HK$1.0B
FY22 HK$445M
FY23 HK$480M
FY24 HK$301M
FY25 HK$38.6M

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Similar stocks

6 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group GASNY $6.50 $7.20 +11%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $169.27 $87.09 -49%
Snam S.p.A SRG €6.19 €4.95 -20%
Uniper SE UN0 €45.35 €49.99 +10%
NiSource Inc NI $47.63 $20.56 -57%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company HOKCY $0.8537 $0.4100 -52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1600 (1600) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.28 versus a price of HK$2.73 — about −53% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 1600?
Our model-based fair value for 1600 is HK$1.28 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.73.
What is the quality score of 1600?
1600 has a Quality Score of 49/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 1600 (1600)?
1600 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$7.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1600?
The net profit margin of 1600 is about 0.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does 1600 pay a dividend?
1600 currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.75% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.