Cinese International Group Holdings Ltd (1620) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$121M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +13.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.0400 to HK$0.1700). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0370 – HK$0.3250 · fair‑value band HK$0.0400 – HK$0.1700 · the HK$0.1220 price screens above the HK$0.0600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Cinese International Group Holdings Ltd (1620) currently trades at HK$0.1220, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0600, implying the stock looks roughly 50.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Cinese International Group Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$62.4M at a net margin of 17.6%. Revenue declined 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$2.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0400 (bear case) to HK$0.1700 (bull case); at HK$0.1220, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at -51%, 1620 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$0.1500) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cinese International Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides private extracurricular coordination services in the People's Republic of China. It offers private extracurricular coordination services for kindergarten students. The company was formerly known as CTEH. INC.
Full company description
Cinese International Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides private extracurricular coordination services in the People's Republic of China. It offers private extracurricular coordination services for kindergarten students. The company was formerly known as CTEH. INC. and changed its name to Cinese International Group Holdings Limited in November 2021. Cinese International Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cinese International Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$62.4M in FY2025 versus HK$55.8M in FY2021, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$11.0M in FY2025.
of which total revenue −6.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
1620 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Booking Holdings →
Peer Group
Travel Services · 92 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booking Holdings BKNG | $212.26 | $152.94 | -28% |
| Airbnb, Inc ABNB | $180.10 | $85.66 | -52% |
| Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL | $307.15 | $215.19 | -30% |
| Viking Holdings VIK | $104.19 | $43.68 | -58% |
| Carnival Corporation CCL | $27.67 | $31.36 | +13% |
| Expedia Group EXPE | $325.57 | $248.63 | -24% |
| Trip.com Group TCOM | $45.58 | $89.04 | +95% |
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH | $18.92 | $20.28 | +7% |
| Global Business Travel Group GBTG | $9.44 | $5.04 | -47% |
| Travel + Leisure Co TNL | $74.68 | $26.57 | -64% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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