1653 (1653) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$679M

1 1653 1653 · HK

PriceHK$2.35

Fair ValueHK$0.9400

Upside-60.0%

Quality52/100

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Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.6200 – HK$1.25

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated today

Share price −24.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.3264 – HK$5.25 · fair‑value band HK$0.6200 – HK$1.25 · the HK$2.35 price screens above the HK$0.9400 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1653 (1653) currently trades at HK$2.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.9400 — implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, 1653 generated revenue of HK$115M at a net margin of -15.7%. Revenue grew 23.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.7%. Net debt stands at HK$89.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$115M

Revenue growth (YoY) +23.3%

Net margin -15.7%

Return on equity -13.7%

Free cash flow HK$14.2M FY2025

Operating margin -6.6%

More key figures

EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0200

EPS growth (YoY) -39.2%

Net debt HK$89.6M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

1653 reported revenue of HK$114M in FY2026 versus HK$166M in FY2022, a compound −8.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$18.1M in FY2026.

Revenue −8.9%/yr

FY22 HK$166M

FY23 HK$154M

FY24 HK$123M

FY25 HK$109M

FY26 HK$114M

Net income

FY22 HK$11.9M

FY23 HK$1.4M

FY24 HK$2.2M

FY25 −HK$3.4M

FY26 −HK$18.1M

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Similar stocks

6 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT	$491.59	$210.11	-57%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI	$148.21	$39.05	-74%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR	$67.97	$16.28	-76%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A CODGF	$91.30	$94.11	+3%
Daikin Industries,Ltd. DKILF	$149.65	$113.38	-24%
Geberit AG GBERF	$661.46	$347.91	-47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1653 (1653) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.9400 versus a price of HK$2.35 — about −60% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 1653?

Our model-based fair value for 1653 is HK$0.9400 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.35.

What is the quality score of 1653?

1653 has a Quality Score of 52/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 1653 (1653)?

1653 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$115M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1653?

The net profit margin of 1653 is about -15.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.