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Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$143M

SH Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd 1663 · HK
PriceHK$0.0500
Fair ValueHK$0.0710
Upside+42.0%
Quality56/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -29.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/10)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.0515 – HK$0.0793 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0671 to HK$0.0710 (+5.9%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −3.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 42% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0515). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.2320 HK$0.0440 Fair Value HK$0.0710 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0440 – HK$0.2320 · fair‑value band HK$0.0515 – HK$0.0793 · the HK$0.0500 price screens below the HK$0.0710 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663) currently trades at HK$0.0500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0710, implying the stock looks roughly 42.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$432M at a net margin of -29.3%. Revenue grew 157.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.9%. Net debt stands at HK$462M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0515 (bear case) to HK$0.0793 (bull case); at HK$0.0500, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at 42%, 1663 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.2400 HK$0.4400 HK$0.7900 80
Residual Income HK$0.4400 HK$0.3900 HK$0.2400 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2700 HK$0.6200 HK$1.28 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.2600 HK$0.4200 HK$0.8600 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2600 HK$0.5200 HK$1.08 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4100 HK$0.8200 HK$1.63 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2500 HK$0.6500 HK$0.9000 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.3500 HK$0.9200 HK$1.90 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1600 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1600 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.5100 HK$0.7200 HK$0.9300 53
EV/EBITDA HK$0.4800 HK$0.6800 HK$0.8800 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.2300 HK$0.3800 HK$0.5300 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3600 HK$0.4800 HK$0.7100 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.2400 HK$0.4400 HK$0.7900 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2700 HK$0.6200 HK$1.28 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.4400 HK$0.3900 HK$0.2400 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.6500) versus Multiples (HK$0.3800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$432M
Revenue growth (YoY) +157%
Net margin -29.3%
Return on equity -6.9%
Free cash flow HK$78.1M FY2025
Operating margin -75.8%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -76.5%
Net debt HK$462M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 2
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sino Harbour Holdings Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the development of properties in the People's Republic of China. The company develops residential properties, detached houses, apartments, retail spaces, and commercial properties.

Full company description

Sino Harbour Holdings Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the development of properties in the People's Republic of China. The company develops residential properties, detached houses, apartments, retail spaces, and commercial properties. It is also involved in the pharmaceutical inspection, commercial management, dental, and CMC related services. The company was formerly known as Sino Harbour Property Group Limited and changed its name to Sino Harbour Holdings Group Limited in September 2015. Sino Harbour Holdings Group Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Nanchang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$526M in FY2025 versus HK$427M in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$18.9M in FY2025, compounding −24.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$526M
Latest YoY
−41.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−32.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.7%
Revenue +5.4%/yr
FY21 HK$427M
FY22 HK$1.7B
FY23 HK$247M
FY24 HK$892M
FY25 HK$526M
Net income −24.3%/yr
FY21 HK$57.5M
FY22 HK$259M
FY23 HK$18.6M
FY24 HK$52.5M
FY25 HK$18.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1663

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 529 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +40% · Above median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -29% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -76% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 157% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.23× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 87 · sector 34
FUTURE 100 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 16
HEALTH 88 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 59

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,989 CLP 4,571 CLP +15%
PT Solusi Tunas Pratama Tbk SUPR 43,850 IDR 15,049 IDR -66%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,412 CLP 2,976 CLP +23%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 392.00 IDR 1,012 IDR +158%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 22,000 IDR 19,160 IDR -13%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,610 IDR 3,464 IDR -4%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 2,990 ARS +20%
PT Plaza Indonesia Realty Tbk PLIN 2,510 IDR 2,698 IDR +7%
PT MNC Tourism Indonesia Tbk, KPIG 74.00 IDR 122.12 IDR +65%
PT Indonesian Paradise Property Tbk INPP 770.00 IDR 291.52 IDR -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0710 versus a price of HK$0.0500, about +42% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1663?
Our model-based fair value for Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0710 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0500.
What is the quality score of 1663?
Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663)?
Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$432M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1663?
The net profit margin of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd is about -29.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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