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Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd HK$0.10, price HK$0.06, upside +83.1%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · HK · ISIN BMG8188W1091

SH Thin data Sep 29, 2026

Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd

1663 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$0.1007 · Strongly undervalued (+83.1%)
!Quality 56/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.2 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -29.3% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 3.6%
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (6/10)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.2320 HK$0.0440 Fair Value HK$0.1007 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0440 – HK$0.2320 · fair‑value band HK$0.0636 – HK$0.1689 · the HK$0.0550 price screens below the HK$0.1007 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Sino Harbour Holdings Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the development of properties in the People's Republic of China. The company develops residential properties, detached houses, apartments, retail spaces, and commercial properties.

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Sino Harbour Holdings Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the development of properties in the People's Republic of China. The company develops residential properties, detached houses, apartments, retail spaces, and commercial properties. It is also involved in the pharmaceutical inspection, commercial management, dental, and CMC related services. The company was formerly known as Sino Harbour Property Group Limited and changed its name to Sino Harbour Holdings Group Limited in September 2015. Sino Harbour Holdings Group Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Nanchang, China.

Stock analysis

Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663) currently trades at HK$0.0550, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1007, implying the stock looks roughly 45.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.8800 per share, and 14 of the 14 models we run sit above the HK$0.0550 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$0.3800, and 0 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.0636 (bear) to HK$0.1689 (bull), the price of HK$0.0550 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$526M in FY2025 versus HK$427M in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$18.9M in FY2025, compounding −24.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$136M (≈ $17.3M) · P/S ratio 0.33 · Net margin 3.6% · Return on equity −6.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% · Operating margin −75.8% · Revenue (TTM) HK$432M · Revenue growth (YoY) +157%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 83%, 1663 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.0636 Fair Value HK$0.1007 Bull HK$0.1689
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$0.4800 HK$0.4400 HK$0.4300 76
FCF DCF HK$0.4500 HK$0.7500 HK$1.69 74
Growth DCF HK$0.4100 HK$0.8300 HK$1.65 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.4500 HK$0.7500 HK$1.69 74
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3200 HK$0.6300 HK$1.26 68
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4900 HK$0.9600 HK$1.89 71
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3500 HK$0.8800 HK$1.20 65
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4800 HK$1.23 HK$2.53 63
Multiples
P/S Multiple HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1600 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1600 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.5100 HK$0.7200 HK$0.9300 65
EV/EBITDA HK$0.4800 HK$0.6800 HK$0.8800 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.2300 HK$0.3800 HK$0.5300 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3600 HK$0.4800 HK$0.7100 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.4100 HK$0.8300 HK$1.65 74
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3300 HK$0.7300 HK$1.50 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.4800 HK$0.4400 HK$0.4300 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−41.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−32.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.5% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−19.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−19.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−19.8% vs −15.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 18%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 540 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +83.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −1.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −29.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −75.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 157.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.23× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 45
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)88 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 63

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CBRE Group CBRE $134.55 $91.06 −32%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$42.92 HK$17.16 −60%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €23.99 €23.94 +0%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.32 HK$13.39 −45%
Vonovia SE VNA €17.17 €36.55 +113%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $321.91 $540.65 +68%
Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 HK$30.54 HK$27.42 −10%
CoStar Group CSGP $26.95 $6.19 −77%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$37.00 HK$56.36 +52%
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.60 SGD 0.5600 SGD −78%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1663

Frequently asked questions

Is Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1007 versus a price of HK$0.0550, about +83% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1663?
Our model-based fair value for Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.1007 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0550.
What is the quality score of 1663?
Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1007 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0636, optimistic scenario HK$0.1689. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1007, about +83% upside versus a price of HK$0.0550 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0636, optimistic scenario HK$0.1689. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663)?
Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$432M (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.1007 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0550. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 1663 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0550, fair value HK$0.1007, a gap of about +83% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1663?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0550); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1007). For Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0457 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$136M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0550; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1007 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1663?
Our models span a range for Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0636, base HK$0.1007, optimistic HK$0.1689 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price HK$0.0550). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity −6.9%, debt of 0.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1663 from its 52-week high?
Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.0550, about 41% below its 52-week high of HK$0.0940 and 25% above the low of HK$0.0440 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1007 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price HK$0.0550, calculated fair value HK$0.1007 (+83%), Quality Score 56/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1663 calculated?
We run Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1007, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd currently trades 45 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.0550. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1007, about +83% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0636). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.0636 to HK$0.1689). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663)?
The market capitalisation of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd is HK$136M (≈ $17.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd is 0.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663)?
The net margin of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd is 3.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd is −6.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663)?
The operating margin of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd is −75.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663)?
Revenue at Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd is growing +157% versus a year earlier (3y avg −32.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663)?
Earnings per share at Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd are growing −76.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663) generate?
The free cash flow of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd is HK$78.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd (1663) carry?
The net debt of Sino Harbour Group Holdings Ltd is HK$462M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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