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Tianjin Tianbao Energy Ltd (1671) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · HK · Market cap HK$112M

TT Tianjin Tianbao Energy Ltd 1671 · HK
PriceHK$0.6700
Fair ValueHK$1.07
Upside+59.7%
Quality54/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.71% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.7500 – HK$1.33 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$1.06 to HK$1.07 (+0.9%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −1.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.7500). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.03 HK$0.3405 Fair Value HK$1.07 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.3405 – HK$1.03 · fair‑value band HK$0.7500 – HK$1.33 · the HK$0.6700 price screens below the HK$1.07 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Tianjin Tianbao Energy Ltd (1671) currently trades at HK$0.6700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.07, implying the stock looks roughly 59.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Tianjin Tianbao Energy Ltd generated revenue of HK$774M at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue declined 5.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. Net debt stands at HK$266M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.7500 (bear case) to HK$1.33 (bull case); at HK$0.6700, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at 60%, 1671 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$2.34 HK$3.26 HK$4.32 80
Residual Income HK$1.31 HK$1.24 HK$0.9000 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.61 HK$2.52 HK$3.58 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$2.33 HK$3.39 HK$4.69 38
Owner Earnings HK$1.82 HK$2.69 HK$3.77 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.61 HK$2.48 HK$3.55 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.59 HK$4.30 HK$6.26 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$1.08 HK$1.50 HK$1.92 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.86 HK$2.66 HK$3.64 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.43 HK$3.73 HK$5.40 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$1.61 HK$2.08 HK$2.59 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.3500 HK$1.03 HK$1.37 54
Lynch FV HK$0.2200 HK$0.3100 HK$0.4100 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.2200 HK$0.3100 HK$0.4100 46
EPV HK$0.5400 HK$0.6600 HK$0.7700 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.3400 HK$0.5600 HK$0.7300 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.3400 HK$0.5000 HK$0.6100 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.6900 HK$0.9200 HK$1.15 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.6500 HK$0.8700 HK$1.08 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.6500 HK$0.8700 HK$1.08 55
EV/EBIT HK$1.52 HK$2.20 HK$2.88 53
EV/EBITDA HK$3.25 HK$4.50 HK$5.75 54
EV/Revenue HK$1.14 HK$1.84 HK$2.54 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.01 HK$1.35 HK$2.02 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$2.34 HK$3.26 HK$4.32 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.61 HK$2.52 HK$3.58 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.31 HK$1.24 HK$0.9000 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.5400 HK$0.6600 HK$0.7700 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.5700 HK$0.8100 HK$1.06 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$2.66) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.3100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$774M
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.6%
Net margin 1.1%
Return on equity 2.5%
Free cash flow HK$55.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.2
More key figures
Operating margin 1.8%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0600
Dividend yield 3.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +453%
Net debt HK$266M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tianjin Tianbao Energy Co., Ltd. generates and supplies power in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Electricity Dispatch and Sale, Power Generation and Supply, Photovoltaic Power Generation and Selling, and Others segments.

Full company description

Tianjin Tianbao Energy Co., Ltd. generates and supplies power in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Electricity Dispatch and Sale, Power Generation and Supply, Photovoltaic Power Generation and Selling, and Others segments. It generates and supplies steam, heating, and cooling to industrial and commercial customers; and purchases, dispatches, and sells electricity. The company engages in construction, operation, and maintenance of industrial facilities; construction of electricity infrastructure; provision of wind power generation technology services; and construction, sales, and trading of electronic components, as well as generation and sale of photovoltaic power, contractual energy and energy conservation management, vehicle charging sales, and electric vehicle charging infrastructure operation. The company was formerly known as Tianjin Port Free Trade Zone Tianbao Power Company and changed its name to Tianjin Tianbao Energy Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Tianjin, the People's Republic of China. Tianjin Tianbao Energy Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Tianjin Tianbao Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tianjin Tianbao Energy Ltd reported revenue of HK$774M in FY2025 versus HK$617M in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$8.1M in FY2025, compounding +108.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$774M
Latest YoY
−6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.9%
Revenue +5.8%/yr
FY21 HK$617M
FY22 HK$714M
FY23 HK$785M
FY24 HK$824M
FY25 HK$774M
Net income +108.5%/yr
FY21 HK$431K
FY22 HK$7.9M
FY23 HK$258K
FY24 HK$4.5M
FY25 HK$8.1M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −25.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.5 pp

of which total revenue +5.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.4 pp

EBIT margin −15.0 pp
Tax rate −3.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −11.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Tianjin Tianbao Energy Ltd · Fair Value
HK$1.07 +60%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tianjin Tianbao Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1671

Peer Group

Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 77 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth -6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.49× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.35× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 19
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 10 · sector 30
HEALTH 76 · sector 70
DIVIDEND 74 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Constellation Energy Corporation CEG $278.68 $88.09 -68%
Vistra Corp VST $146.68 $50.39 -66%
Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER ₹206.10 ₹75.57 -63%
CGN Power Co 003816 ¥3.93 ¥2.79 -29%
NRG Energy, Inc NRG $120.66 $53.91 -55%
Gulf Development Public Company GULF 65.00 THB 39.25 THB -40%
Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL ₹1,583 ₹342.02 -78%
Talen Energy Corporation TLN $365.07 $43.55 -88%
Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 ¥6.29 ¥4.95 -21%
Power Assets Holdings 0006 HK$57.30 HK$30.76 -46%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tianjin Tianbao Energy Ltd (1671) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.07 versus a price of HK$0.6700, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1671?
Our model-based fair value for Tianjin Tianbao Energy Ltd is HK$1.07 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.6700.
What is the quality score of 1671?
Tianjin Tianbao Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tianjin Tianbao Energy Ltd (1671)?
Tianjin Tianbao Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$774M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1671?
The net profit margin of Tianjin Tianbao Energy Ltd is about 1.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tianjin Tianbao Energy Ltd pay a dividend?
Tianjin Tianbao Energy Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.71% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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