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Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd (1689) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$203M

HH Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd 1689 · HK
PriceHK$0.2750
Fair ValueHK$0.4400
Upside+60.0%
Quality66/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -22.9% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/10)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.3400 – HK$0.5300 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −3.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3400). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.94 HK$0.2700 Fair Value HK$0.4400 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2700 – HK$2.94 · fair‑value band HK$0.3400 – HK$0.5300 · the HK$0.2750 price screens below the HK$0.4400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd (1689) currently trades at HK$0.2750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4400, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$149M at a net margin of -22.9%. Revenue grew 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -18.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$84.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3400 (bear case) to HK$0.5300 (bull case); at HK$0.2750, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside, at 60%, 1689 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.4200 HK$0.4900 HK$0.6000 72
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3700 HK$0.4700 HK$0.5900 67
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2500 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.4200 HK$0.4900 HK$0.6100 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3700 HK$0.4600 HK$0.5800 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3900 HK$0.4500 HK$0.5100 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.3500 HK$0.4400 HK$0.5400 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.4200 HK$0.4900 HK$0.6000 72
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3700 HK$0.4700 HK$0.5900 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$0.4700) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$149M
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.5%
Net margin -22.9%
Return on equity -18.6%
Free cash flow HK$28.2M FY2026
Operating margin -37.2%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -5.5%
Net cash HK$84.6M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 84
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Huaxi Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of cigarette-related packaging materials in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Cigarette Packaging and Environmental Treatment Business segments.

Full company description

Huaxi Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of cigarette-related packaging materials in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Cigarette Packaging and Environmental Treatment Business segments. The company offers inner frames, cigarette box frames, and tipping papers, as well as cigarette trademark labels, and other products. It is also involved in the biological technology research and related products trading activities; provision of environmental treatment services, as well as environmental protection construction works; and design, printing, and sale of cigarette packages. Huaxi Holdings Company Limited was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$149M in FY2026 versus HK$405M in FY2022, a compound −22.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$34.0M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 29/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$149M
Latest YoY
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−16.8%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.3%
Revenue −22.1%/yr
FY22 HK$405M
FY23 HK$195M
FY24 HK$155M
FY25 HK$144M
FY26 HK$149M
Net income
FY22 HK$37.0M
FY23 −HK$53.4M
FY24 −HK$41.2M
FY25 −HK$111M
FY26 −HK$34.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1689

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -23% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -37% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.17× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 9
FUTURE 13 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 106.80 kr 125.82 +18%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥27.73 ¥20.16 -27%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 31.00 THB 16.12 THB -48%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 3,350 TWD 675.50 TWD -80%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,193 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 134.00 TWD 127.06 TWD -5%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹208.56 ₹161.42 -23%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹247.30 ₹111.65 -55%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 21,650 KRW 31,473 KRW +45%
PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, PBID 525.00 IDR 774.13 IDR +47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd (1689) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4400 versus a price of HK$0.2750, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1689?
Our model-based fair value for Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd is HK$0.4400 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2750.
What is the quality score of 1689?
Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd (1689)?
Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$149M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1689?
The net profit margin of Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd is about -22.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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