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China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd (1719) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$405M

CI China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd 1719 · HK
PriceHK$0.2650
Fair ValueHK$0.3373
Upside+27.3%
Quality59/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 2.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.1533 – HK$0.3986 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.2200 to HK$0.3373 (+53.3%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −3.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 27% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.1533 to HK$0.3986). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.16 HK$0.2350 Fair Value HK$0.3373 Nov 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2350 – HK$1.16 · fair‑value band HK$0.1533 – HK$0.3986 · the HK$0.2650 price screens below the HK$0.3373 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd (1719) currently trades at HK$0.2650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3373, implying the stock looks roughly 27.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$408M at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.5%. Net debt stands at HK$162M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1533 (bear case) to HK$0.3986 (bull case); at HK$0.2650, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 27%, 1719 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.3400 HK$0.5500 HK$0.8500 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3000 HK$0.4900 HK$0.7400 74
ROIC Compounder HK$0.2000 HK$0.2200 HK$0.2400 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.3500 HK$0.5900 HK$0.9700 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.2200 HK$0.3600 HK$0.5800 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3000 HK$0.4900 HK$0.7600 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.3800 HK$0.6700 HK$1.03 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.2000 HK$0.2900 HK$0.3900 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3000 HK$0.4900 HK$0.7700 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.3600 HK$0.6100 HK$0.9900 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.2500 HK$0.3500 HK$0.4800 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0400 HK$0.2200 HK$0.3000 54
Lynch FV HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 46
EPV HK$0.2000 HK$0.2200 HK$0.2400 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1300 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1300 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.3700 HK$0.4800 HK$0.6000 53
EV/EBITDA HK$0.4300 HK$0.5600 HK$0.7000 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.2700 HK$0.3700 HK$0.4800 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2300 HK$0.3100 HK$0.4700 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.3400 HK$0.5500 HK$0.8500 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3000 HK$0.4900 HK$0.7400 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.3000 HK$0.2800 HK$0.1900 61
ROIC Compounder HK$0.2000 HK$0.2200 HK$0.2400 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.0900 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.4900) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$408M
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.6%
Net margin 2.7%
Return on equity 1.5%
Free cash flow HK$52.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 23.5 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 4.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -8.4%
Net debt HK$162M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd., an investment holding company, develops, operates, and manages container and other ports in the People's Republic of China. It operates through four segments: Property Business, Terminal & Related Business, Integrated Logistics Business, and Supply Chain Management and Trading Business segments.

Full company description

China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd., an investment holding company, develops, operates, and manages container and other ports in the People's Republic of China. It operates through four segments: Property Business, Terminal & Related Business, Integrated Logistics Business, and Supply Chain Management and Trading Business segments. The Property Business segment engages in the port and warehouse leasing activities. The Terminal & Related Business segment provides terminal, container handling, storage and other, and general and bulk cargo handling services. The Integrated Logistics Business segment offers agency and logistics services, including freight forwarding, customs clearance, transportation of containers, and logistics management. The Supply Chain Management and Trading Business segment provides sourcing, procurement, and trading of commodity services. The company provides port related integrated logistics and leases warehouses, supply chain management, and trading and other services. In addition, it involves in port construction and operations; provide customs clearance; and logistics consultation. The company was formerly known as CIG Yangtze Ports PLC. China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd. is a subsidiary of Hubei Port Group Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$408M in FY2025 versus HK$248M in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$10.9M in FY2025, compounding −21.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$408M
Latest YoY
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.1%
Revenue +13.3%/yr
FY21 HK$248M
FY22 HK$320M
FY23 HK$361M
FY24 HK$397M
FY25 HK$408M
Net income −21.0%/yr
FY21 HK$28.0M
FY22 HK$20.8M
FY23 HK$15.4M
FY24 HK$12.7M
FY25 HK$10.9M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −13.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.4 pp

of which total revenue +8.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.7 pp

EBIT margin −13.3 pp
Tax rate −4.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1719

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 232 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +27% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 70 · sector 22
FUTURE 23 · sector 20
PAST 6 · sector 27
HEALTH 98 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd (1719) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3373 versus a price of HK$0.2650, about +27% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1719?
Our model-based fair value for China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd is HK$0.3373 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2650.
What is the quality score of 1719?
China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd (1719)?
China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$408M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1719?
The net profit margin of China Infrastructure & Logistics Group Ltd is about 2.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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