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Scholar Education Group (1769) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$678M

SE Scholar Education Group 1769 · HK
PriceHK$0.8800
Fair ValueHK$1.04
Upside+18.2%
Quality30/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -9.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 1/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.8100 – HK$1.26 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −12.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 18% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • Our model range runs from HK$0.8100 (bear) to HK$1.26 (bull), base HK$1.04. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 30/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$7.61 HK$0.4002 Fair Value HK$1.04 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.4002 – HK$7.61 · fair‑value band HK$0.8100 – HK$1.26 · the HK$0.8800 price screens below the HK$1.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Scholar Education Group (1769) currently trades at HK$0.8800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.04, implying the stock looks roughly 18.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Scholar Education Group generated revenue of HK$786M at a net margin of -9.9%. Revenue declined 23.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$85.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.8100 (bear case) to HK$1.26 (bull case); at HK$0.8800, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 18%, 1769 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$1.55 HK$2.04 HK$2.75 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.47 HK$2.00 HK$2.67 74
Gordon GGM HK$0.4100 HK$0.7300 HK$1.01 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$1.56 HK$2.12 HK$2.98 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.47 HK$2.01 HK$2.72 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.36 HK$1.77 HK$2.27 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.48 HK$1.96 HK$2.69 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.43 HK$1.80 HK$2.35 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.4100 HK$0.7300 HK$1.01 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.4100 HK$0.6700 HK$0.7800 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$1.29 HK$1.49 HK$1.68 54
EV/Revenue HK$1.44 HK$1.76 HK$2.07 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.6000 HK$0.8000 HK$1.20 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.55 HK$2.04 HK$2.75 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.47 HK$2.00 HK$2.67 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$2.00) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.6700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$786M
Revenue growth (YoY) -23.6%
Net margin -9.9%
Return on equity -10.8%
Free cash flow HK$54.2M FY2025
Operating margin -34.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$0.1100
EPS growth (YoY) -24.3%
Net cash HK$85.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 9
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 2
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Scholar Education Group, together with its subsidiaries, provides private education services in China, Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan.

Full company description

Scholar Education Group, together with its subsidiaries, provides private education services in China, Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan. The company offers tutoring education services; liberal education courses, including art, sports, painting, performance art, calligraphy, scientific literacy, Le Xue, Guo Xe, logic training, and Miaowei international literacy, as well as international courses; after-school care services; and educational tour. It also engages in the internet and software technology development and services; investment activities; and e-commerce. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Scholar Education Group reported revenue of HK$786M in FY2025 versus HK$832M in FY2021, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$77.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 25/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$786M
Latest YoY
−7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.5%
Revenue −1.4%/yr
FY21 HK$832M
FY22 HK$402M
FY23 HK$571M
FY24 HK$852M
FY25 HK$786M
Net income
FY21 −HK$26.6M
FY22 HK$54.4M
FY23 HK$86.0M
FY24 HK$146M
FY25 −HK$77.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Scholar Education Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1769

Peer Group

Education & Training Services · 149 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +18% · Above median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -34% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -24% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.2% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.11× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.11× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 58 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 22
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 74

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 875.84 MXN -9%
TAL Education Group TAL $11.87 $15.60 +31%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.99 $41.45 +12%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹123.90 ₹14.81 -88%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $142.06 $152.01 +7%
Covista Inc CVSA $128.22 $135.45 +6%
Stride, Inc LRN $78.59 $139.45 +77%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $25.64 $20.98 -18%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $31.24 $40.65 +30%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $79.98 $105.48 +32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Scholar Education Group (1769) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.04 versus a price of HK$0.8800, about +18% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1769?
Our model-based fair value for Scholar Education Group is HK$1.04 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.8800.
What is the quality score of 1769?
Scholar Education Group has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Scholar Education Group (1769)?
Scholar Education Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$786M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1769?
The net profit margin of Scholar Education Group is about -9.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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