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Seera Holding (1810) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · SA · Market cap 5.1B SAR

SH Seera Holding 1810 · SR
Price20.64 SAR
Fair Value4.65 SAR
Upside-77.5%
Quality34/100
Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 23/100
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Evidence: Medium Range 3.06 SAR – 7.92 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 4, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −1.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (7.92 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (3.06 SAR to 7.92 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

38.70 SAR 1.73 SAR Fair Value 4.65 SAR Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.73 SAR – 38.70 SAR · fair‑value band 3.06 SAR – 7.92 SAR · the 20.64 SAR price screens above the 4.65 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.

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Analysis

Seera Holding (1810) currently trades at 20.64 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.65 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 77.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Seera Holding generated revenue of 4.7B SAR at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue declined 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. Net debt stands at 1.6B SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 4, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 3.06 SAR (bear case) to 7.92 SAR (bull case); at 20.64 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -77%, 1810 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 2.44 SAR 4.26 SAR 7.18 SAR 80
Residual Income 15.51 SAR 14.50 SAR 10.16 SAR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 6.35 SAR 12.19 SAR 19.67 SAR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2.47 SAR 4.47 SAR 7.80 SAR 38
Owner Earnings 25.14 SAR 44.29 SAR 76.13 SAR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 6.35 SAR 12.45 SAR 20.91 SAR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 20.23 SAR 40.94 SAR 67.39 SAR 41
5Y P/E Exit 2.41 SAR 4.36 SAR 6.57 SAR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 4.67 SAR 9.93 SAR 18.27 SAR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 13.94 SAR 30.28 SAR 56.14 SAR 37
10Y P/E Exit 2.40 SAR 4.15 SAR 6.59 SAR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.26 SAR 5.77 SAR 7.92 SAR 54
Lynch FV 1.51 SAR 2.16 SAR 2.81 SAR 50
PEG = 1.0 1.51 SAR 2.16 SAR 2.81 SAR 46
EPV 7.17 SAR 8.34 SAR 9.34 SAR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3.68 SAR 7.34 SAR 11.12 SAR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 3.68 SAR 6.34 SAR 7.75 SAR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2.78 SAR 3.71 SAR 4.64 SAR 63
P/S Multiple 2.37 SAR 3.16 SAR 3.95 SAR 58
P/B Multiple 2.37 SAR 3.16 SAR 3.95 SAR 55
EV/EBIT 12.62 SAR 16.89 SAR 21.16 SAR 53
EV/EBITDA 31.80 SAR 42.46 SAR 53.12 SAR 54
EV/Revenue 8.45 SAR 12.15 SAR 15.85 SAR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 11.52 SAR 15.44 SAR 23.05 SAR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2.44 SAR 4.26 SAR 7.18 SAR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 6.35 SAR 12.19 SAR 19.67 SAR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 15.51 SAR 14.50 SAR 10.16 SAR 76
ROIC Compounder 7.17 SAR 8.34 SAR 9.34 SAR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2.37 SAR 3.39 SAR 4.40 SAR 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (15.44 SAR) versus Earnings-Based (2.16 SAR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.7B SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.4%
Net margin 1.1%
Return on equity 1.7%
Free cash flow 54.4M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 108.4
More key figures
Operating margin 7.9%
EPS (TTM) 0.1900 SAR
EPS growth (YoY) +16.0%
Net debt 1.6B SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Seera Holding Group, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of travel and tourism services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the United Kingdom, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, and Kuwait. The company operates through five segments: Ticketing, Tourism, Transportation, Hospitality, and Property Rentals.

Full company description

Seera Holding Group, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of travel and tourism services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the United Kingdom, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, and Kuwait. The company operates through five segments: Ticketing, Tourism, Transportation, Hospitality, and Property Rentals. It offers air, ferry, and train ticketing services; hotel booking and package holidays services, and room rental; transportation, Hajj and Umrah, education, furnished suites and hotels, and shipping services; and property rental, car rental, and other services, as well as chartered flights and delivery of shipments, and rooms and food and beverages services. It also provides telecommunications and call centre services. Further, the company offers events management information technology support, advertising, drivers professional fee, insurance brokerage, triptyque, and international driving license services. The company was formerly known as Al Tayyar Travel Group Holding Company and changed its name to Seera Holding Group in April 2019. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Seera Holding reported revenue of 4.7B SAR in FY2025 versus 1.3B SAR in FY2021, a compound +37.3%/yr. Reported net income was 46.4M SAR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.7B SAR
Latest YoY
+14.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+27.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+39.1%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
−2.1%
Revenue +37.3%/yr
FY21 1.3B SAR
FY22 2.3B SAR
FY23 3.3B SAR
FY24 4.1B SAR
FY25 4.7B SAR
Net income
FY21 −378M SAR
FY22 −45.7M SAR
FY23 257M SAR
FY24 −199M SAR
FY25 46.4M SAR

1810 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Booking Holdings →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Seera Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1810.SR

Peer Group

Travel Services · 90 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.14× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 108.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.24× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.29× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 25.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 2.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 18
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 7 · sector 36
HEALTH 93 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 4, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Booking Holdings BKNG $182.80 $152.94 -16%
Airbnb, Inc ABNB $148.62 $57.47 -61%
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL $286.96 $215.19 -25%
Viking Holdings VIK $100.69 $43.51 -57%
Carnival Corporation CCL $26.41 $31.36 +19%
Expedia Group EXPE $268.77 $248.63 -7%
Trip.com Group TCOM $42.45 $88.82 +109%
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH $19.46 $20.28 +4%
Global Business Travel Group GBTG $9.40 $4.17 -56%
Travel + Leisure Co TNL $73.27 $27.29 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Seera Holding (1810) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.65 SAR versus a price of 20.64 SAR, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1810?
Our model-based fair value for Seera Holding is 4.65 SAR (as of Aug 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 20.64 SAR.
What is the quality score of 1810?
Seera Holding has a Quality Score of 34/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Seera Holding (1810)?
Seera Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.7B SAR (latest available figure, as of Aug 4, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1810?
The net profit margin of Seera Holding is about 1.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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