1811 (1811) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · Market cap HK$9.3B

1 1811 1811 · HK

PriceHK$2.14

Fair ValueHK$0.7900

Upside-63.1%

Quality43/100

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Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.6200 – HK$1.05

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated today

Share price −20.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$2.14 – HK$3.06 · fair‑value band HK$0.6200 – HK$1.05 · the HK$2.14 price screens above the HK$0.7900 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1811 (1811) currently trades at HK$2.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7900 — implying the stock looks roughly 63.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, 1811 generated revenue of HK$1.7B at a net margin of 16.3%. Revenue declined 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.1%. Net debt stands at HK$6.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.7B

Revenue growth (YoY) -13.7%

Net margin 16.3%

Return on equity 15.1%

Free cash flow −HK$110M FY2025

P/E ratio 4.3

More key figures

Operating margin 27.1%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.0400

Dividend yield 0.7%

EPS growth (YoY) +74.6%

Net debt HK$6.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1811 reported revenue of HK$1.7B in FY2025 versus HK$1.8B in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$276M in FY2025, compounding +3.1%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −1.1%/yr

FY21 HK$1.8B

FY22 HK$2.4B

FY23 HK$2.2B

FY24 HK$2.0B

FY25 HK$1.7B

Net income +3.1%/yr

FY21 HK$244M

FY22 HK$195M

FY23 HK$268M

FY24 HK$248M

FY25 HK$276M

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Similar stocks

6 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Constellation Energy Corporation CEG	$272.65	$79.23	-71%
Vistra Corp VST	$138.54	$23.27	-83%
Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER	₹232.60	₹54.94	-76%
CGN Power Co 003816	¥4.10	¥3.25	-21%
Gulf Development Public Company GULF	63.75 THB	40.44 THB	-37%
NRG Energy, Inc NRG	$138.91	$56.02	-60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1811 (1811) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.7900 versus a price of HK$2.14 — about −63% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 1811?

Our model-based fair value for 1811 is HK$0.7900 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.14.

What is the quality score of 1811?

1811 has a Quality Score of 43/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 1811 (1811)?

1811 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1811?

The net profit margin of 1811 is about 16.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 1811 pay a dividend?

1811 currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.74% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.