Zhaojin Mining Industry Company (1818) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$61.6B
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price +29.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$12.34 to HK$31.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$5.15 – HK$40.55 · fair‑value band HK$12.34 – HK$31.83 · the HK$23.92 price screens above the HK$20.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
Zhaojin Mining Industry Company (1818) currently trades at HK$23.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$20.20, implying the stock looks roughly 15.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zhaojin Mining Industry Company generated revenue of HK$19.5B at a net margin of 21.3%. Revenue grew 46.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.2%. Net debt stands at HK$21.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$12.34 (bear case) to HK$31.83 (bull case); at HK$23.92, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -16%, 1818 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$24.74) versus Dividend Discount (HK$3.94). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zhaojin Mining Industry Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in exploration, mining, processing, smelting, and sale of gold and other metallic products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates in three segments: Gold Operations, Copper Operations, and Others.
Full company description
Zhaojin Mining Industry Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in exploration, mining, processing, smelting, and sale of gold and other metallic products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates in three segments: Gold Operations, Copper Operations, and Others. The company offers Au9999 and Au 9995 gold bullions under the Zhaojin brand name. It also engages in copper mining and smelting; processing of sulphur ore; engineering design and development; land exploration; and material trading activities. In addition, the company provides technical advisory, financial, and catering services. Zhaojin Mining Industry Company Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Zhaoyuan, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zhaojin Mining Industry Company reported revenue of HK$18.1B in FY2025 versus HK$6.9B in FY2021, a compound +27.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$3.6B in FY2025, compounding +221.8%/yr from FY2021.
1818 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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