Sterling Group Holdings Ltd (1825) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$44.8M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +426.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$2.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.6500 – HK$36.20 · fair‑value band HK$1.84 – HK$2.33 · the HK$5.69 price screens above the HK$2.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sterling Group Holdings Ltd (1825) currently trades at HK$5.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.10, implying the stock looks roughly 63.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sterling Group Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$383M at a net margin of -4.4%. Revenue declined 34.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -59.0%. Net debt stands at HK$94.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.84 (bear case) to HK$2.33 (bull case); at HK$5.69, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside, at -63%, 1825 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$8.60) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.4900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sterling Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in apparel products in Hong Kong, the United States, and Europe.
Full company description
Sterling Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in apparel products in Hong Kong, the United States, and Europe. The company offers outerwear, including jackets, coats, and blazers; bottoms, such as pants, shorts, and skirts; tops comprising shirts, blouses, and tank tops; and other products that include dresses, suits, gowns, scarfs, jumpsuits, sleepwear, masks, and vests. It also licenses trademarks. The company serves international apparel brand customers. Sterling Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in San Po Kong, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sterling Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$478M in FY2025 versus HK$371M in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$6.1M in FY2025.
1825 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB →
Peer Group
Apparel Manufacturing · 214 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB | kr 174.25 | kr 165.47 | -5% |
| LPP SA LPP | 22,220 PLN | 17,754 PLN | -20% |
| Bosideng International Holdings 3998 | HK$4.65 | HK$5.92 | +27% |
| Youngor Fashion Co 600177 | ¥7.78 | ¥5.59 | -28% |
| Page Industries Limited PAGEIND | ₹38,295 | ₹12,395 | -68% |
| Hla Group 600398 | ¥6.07 | ¥9.92 | +63% |
| Youngone Corporation 111770 | 85,200 KRW | 188,736 KRW | +122% |
| F&F Co 383220 | 68,800 KRW | 179,500 KRW | +161% |
| Youngone Holdings 009970 | 188,300 KRW | 697,038 KRW | +270% |
| Wiselink Co 8932 | 105.00 TWD | 37.95 TWD | -64% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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