1853 (1853) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · Market cap HK$588M

1 1853 1853 · HK

PriceHK$1.26

Fair ValueHK$3.64

Upside+188.9%

Quality43/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$2.73 – HK$4.55

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price +1.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$1.16 – HK$2.16 · fair‑value band HK$2.73 – HK$4.55 · the HK$1.26 price screens below the HK$3.64 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1853 (1853) currently trades at HK$1.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.64 — implying the stock looks roughly 188.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 1853 generated revenue of HK$1.7B at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue declined 14.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$827M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.7B

Revenue growth (YoY) -14.4%

Net margin 4.8%

Return on equity 7.6%

Free cash flow HK$90.6M FY2025

P/E ratio 6.0

More key figures

Operating margin -3.8%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.2300

Dividend yield 2.6%

EPS growth (YoY) -27.8%

Net cash HK$827M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1853 reported revenue of HK$1.7B in FY2025 versus HK$1.6B in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$81.7M in FY2025, compounding −9.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +0.8%/yr

FY21 HK$1.6B

FY22 HK$1.7B

FY23 HK$1.7B

FY24 HK$1.8B

FY25 HK$1.7B

Net income −9.7%/yr

FY21 HK$123M

FY22 HK$115M

FY23 HK$121M

FY24 HK$99.9M

FY25 HK$81.7M

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Similar stocks

6 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Constellation Energy Corporation CEG	$272.65	$79.23	-71%
Vistra Corp VST	$167.26	$43.45	-74%
Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER	₹232.60	₹54.94	-76%
CGN Power Co 003816	¥4.33	¥2.85	-34%
Gulf Development Public Company GULF	63.75 THB	40.44 THB	-37%
NRG Energy, Inc NRG	$137.66	$56.02	-59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1853 (1853) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.64 versus a price of HK$1.26 — about +189% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 1853?

Our model-based fair value for 1853 is HK$3.64 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.26.

What is the quality score of 1853?

1853 has a Quality Score of 43/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 1853 (1853)?

1853 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1853?

The net profit margin of 1853 is about 4.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 1853 pay a dividend?

1853 currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.59% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.