Precious Dragon Technology Holdings Ltd (1861) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$676M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −10.4% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 100% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (78/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$3.38). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.7477 – HK$4.22 · fair‑value band HK$3.38 – HK$5.79 · the HK$2.24 price screens below the HK$4.49 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Precious Dragon Technology Holdings Ltd (1861) currently trades at HK$2.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.49, implying the stock looks roughly 100.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Precious Dragon Technology Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$656M at a net margin of 9.0%. Revenue declined 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$157M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$3.38 (bear case) to HK$5.79 (bull case); at HK$2.24, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 96% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at 100%, 1861 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$4.51) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.6000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when 1861 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Precious Dragon Technology Holdings Limited engages in the design, development, manufacturing, and sale of aerosol and non-aerosol products for applications in automotive beauty and maintenance products. The company operates through two segments, Automotive Beauty and Maintenance Products; and Personal Care Products.
Full company description
Precious Dragon Technology Holdings Limited engages in the design, development, manufacturing, and sale of aerosol and non-aerosol products for applications in automotive beauty and maintenance products. The company operates through two segments, Automotive Beauty and Maintenance Products; and Personal Care Products. Its automotive beauty and maintenance products, including auto cleaning and maintenance products, such as auto interior decoration cleaning products, and tyre and wheel cleaning and care products; paint and coating products comprising chrome aerosol spray; refrigerant and cold cranking agents; and air-fresheners. The company also offers personal care products, including foaming facial wash, sunscreens, moisturizer, deodorizer, sanitizer, and hand wash; household products, such as paint and floor polish; and packaging materials. In addition, it engages in the content filling of aerosol cans; sale of contract manufacturing service and original brand manufacturing products; production and sale of ethanol; and trading of aerosol and non-aerosol products. The company sells its original brand manufacturing products under the BOTNY, ATM, ETOMAN, NISSEI, WIN, FOX-D, PISCIS, and PARLUX brand names. It sells its products through a network of distributors, including wholesalers, retailers and end-users and online retail stores, such as at Tmall and JD.com. The company operates in the Mainland China, Japan, Asia, the Middle East, the United States, and internationally. Precious Dragon Technology Holdings Limited was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Precious Dragon Technology Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$656M in FY2025 versus HK$610M in FY2021, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$58.8M in FY2025, compounding +34.3%/yr from FY2021.
Watch 1861: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 223 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$93.19 | C$75.00 | -20% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $839.03 | $398.90 | -52% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $245.15 | $162.63 | -34% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $531.89 | $475.40 | -11% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $202.66 | $181.10 | -11% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.00 | $108.04 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥54.97 | ¥40.40 | -27% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $36.43 | $35.52 | -2% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $544.22 | $423.35 | -22% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 109.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -26% |
Compare Precious Dragon Technology Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Precious Dragon Technology Holdings Ltd (1861) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 1861?
What is the quality score of 1861?
What is the revenue of Precious Dragon Technology Holdings Ltd (1861)?
What is the net profit margin of 1861?
Does Precious Dragon Technology Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Precious Dragon Technology Holdings Ltd and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.