Trendzon Holdings Group Ltd (1865) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$669M (≈ $85.3M) · ISIN KYG9031S1057
What is Trendzon Holdings Group Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 875% above our fair value of HK$0.0400.
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated today
Share price −6.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0200 to HK$0.0500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0163 – HK$1.36 · fair‑value band HK$0.0200 – HK$0.0500 · the HK$0.3900 price screens above the HK$0.0400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
Trendzon Holdings Group Ltd (1865) currently trades at HK$0.3900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0400, implying the stock looks roughly 874.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 87/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Trendzon Holdings Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$58.0M at a net margin of −17.9%. Revenue declined 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −13.4%. Net debt stands at HK$17.7M. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0200 (bear case) to HK$0.0500 (bull case); at HK$0.3900, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −90%, 1865 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Pengo Holdings Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides infrastructural pipeline construction and related engineering services for gas, water, telecommunications, and power industries in Singapore and the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Construction Contracts and Engineering Services, and Trading of Building Materials.
Full company description
Pengo Holdings Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides infrastructural pipeline construction and related engineering services for gas, water, telecommunications, and power industries in Singapore and the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Construction Contracts and Engineering Services, and Trading of Building Materials. The company also engages in the money lending business; and provides engineering management and development consultation services, as well as offers infrastructural water and electricity pipeline construction and related engineering services. It serves government agencies and private companies. The company was formerly known as Trendzon Holdings Group Limited and changed its name to Pengo Holdings Group Limited in April 2025. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Trendzon Holdings Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$59.1M in FY2025 versus HK$43.5M in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$12.9M in FY2025.
1865 screens 875% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 817 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quanta Services, Inc PWR | $620.06 | $143.92 | −77% |
| Vinci SA DG | €114.35 | €185.62 | +62% |
| Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX | $1,615 | $519.97 | −68% |
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹4,072 | ₹2,196 | −46% |
| Ferrovial N.V FER | €57.28 | €19.17 | −67% |
| HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT | €426.40 | €203.87 | −52% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 373,000 KRW | 261,411 KRW | −30% |
| EMCOR Group EME | $775.04 | $549.47 | −29% |
| MasTec, Inc MTZ | $241.00 | $100.00 | −59% |
| Bouygues SA EN | €46.65 | €65.67 | +41% |
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