Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust HK$0.69, price HK$0.31, upside +122.6%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3100 – HK$1.49 · the HK$0.3100 price screens below the HK$0.6900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Regal Real Estate Investment Trust is a Hong Kong collective investment scheme authorized under section 104 of the Securities and Futures Ordinance (Chapter 571 of the Laws of Hong Kong) and its units (the Units) were listed on The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited on 30th March 2007.
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Regal Real Estate Investment Trust is a Hong Kong collective investment scheme authorized under section 104 of the Securities and Futures Ordinance (Chapter 571 of the Laws of Hong Kong) and its units (the Units) were listed on The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited on 30th March 2007. Regal REIT is governed by a trust deed dated 11th December 2006 (as amended and restated by the first amending and restating deed dated 23rd March 2021 and the second amending and restating deed dated 31st January 2024) constituting Regal REIT (the Trust Deed) and the REIT Code. The principal activity of Regal REIT and its subsidiaries (collectively, the Group) is to own and invest in income-producing hotels, serviced apartments or commercial properties (including office premises) with the objectives of producing stable and growing distributions to Unitholders and to achieve long-term growth in the net asset value per Unit attributable to Unitholders. Regal Real Estate Investment Trust was incorporated in 2006 in Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881) currently trades at HK$0.3100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6900, implying the stock looks roughly 55.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$2.61 per share, and 4 of the 5 models we run sit above the HK$0.3100 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$1.45, and 1 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Regal Real Estate Investment Trust reported revenue of HK$714M in FY2025 versus HK$594M in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$172M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.0B (≈ $129M) · P/E ratio 6.3 · P/S ratio 1.45 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin −24.1% · Return on equity 1.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% · Operating margin 71.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 123%, 1881 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.6900Fair Value HK$0.6900Bull HK$0.6900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.3% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−176.7% (2019) → 82.2% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+60.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +56.7% a year for the price.
Compare Regal Real Estate Investment Trust with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Hotel & Motel · 36 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside+122.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1.0% · Below median
Return on assets1.5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)17.2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)71.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−0.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.42× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Hotel & Motel median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Regal Real Estate Investment Trust Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1881
Frequently asked questions
Is Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.6900 versus a price of HK$0.3100, about +123% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1881?
Our model-based fair value for Regal Real Estate Investment Trust is HK$0.6900 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3100.
What is the quality score of 1881?
Regal Real Estate Investment Trust has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.6900 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 8 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Regal Real Estate Investment Trust stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.6900, about +123% upside versus a price of HK$0.3100 (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881)?
Regal Real Estate Investment Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$708M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Regal Real Estate Investment Trust pay a dividend?
Regal Real Estate Investment Trust currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.84% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Regal Real Estate Investment Trust would have to grow free cash flow by +60.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.9 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1881 use?
Our models discount Regal Real Estate Investment Trust at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.56, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Regal Real Estate Investment Trust that is +60.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Regal Real Estate Investment Trust grew -3.9 % a year. The price currently implies +60.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (+60.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.41 %: that much free cash flow Regal Real Estate Investment Trust produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Regal Real Estate Investment Trust it is HK$0.6900 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3100. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Regal Real Estate Investment Trust stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1881 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3100, fair value HK$0.6900, a gap of about +123% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1881?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3100); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.6900). For Regal Real Estate Investment Trust the two are HK$0.3800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Regal Real Estate Investment Trust worth?
The market values Regal Real Estate Investment Trust at about HK$1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3100; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.6900 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of 1881?
Regal Real Estate Investment Trust trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.3 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.6900 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 11.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881)?
Balance-sheet figures for Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 1.0%, debt of 0.42 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1881 from its 52-week high?
Regal Real Estate Investment Trust trades at HK$0.3100, about 25% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4112 and at the low of HK$0.3100 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.6900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Regal Real Estate Investment Trust?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc, Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc, COVH, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Regal Real Estate Investment Trust stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.3100, calculated fair value HK$0.6900 (+123%), Quality Score 52/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1881 calculated?
We run Regal Real Estate Investment Trust through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.6900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Regal Real Estate Investment Trust currently trades 55 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.3100. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.6900, about +123% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Regal Real Estate Investment Trust right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.6900). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust
How large is the market capitalisation of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881)?
The market capitalisation of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust is HK$1.0B (≈ $129M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust is 1.45 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881)?
The dividend yield of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust is 2.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881)?
The net margin of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust is −24.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881)?
The operating margin of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust is 71.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881)?
Revenue at Regal Real Estate Investment Trust is growing −0.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881)?
Earnings per share at Regal Real Estate Investment Trust are growing −49.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881) carry?
The net debt of Regal Real Estate Investment Trust is HK$10.2B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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