Mog Holdings Ltd (1942) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Mog Holdings Ltd HK$0.02, price HK$0.06, upside -60.2%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0610 – HK$91.52 · fair‑value band HK$0.0243 – HK$0.0301 · the HK$0.0610 price screens above the HK$0.0243 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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MOG Digitech Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides digital payment solutions, e-commerce, and financing services in the People's Republic of China and Malaysia. It operates through Digital Payment Solutions Related Business; Optical product retail, franchise and license management; E-commerce; and Financing Services segments.
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MOG Digitech Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides digital payment solutions, e-commerce, and financing services in the People's Republic of China and Malaysia. It operates through Digital Payment Solutions Related Business; Optical product retail, franchise and license management; E-commerce; and Financing Services segments. The company offers a range of optical products, which include lenses, frames, contact lenses, spectacles, and sunglasses. It also engages in the wholesale and retail of optical and other related products; and optometrists business; and trades and deals in spectacle, frames, lens, and related eye care products and chemicals, as well as optical apparatus and related accessories. In addition, the company provides professional event management and marketing services, as well as engages in the e-commerce activities for optical products. Further, the company involved in acquiring and holding franchises dealing in optical products; trading of electronic hardware; administrative support; provision of accounts receivable financing services; and providing services to insurance companies, intermediates, and other insurance participants. The company was formerly known as MOG Holdings Limited and changed its name to MOG Digitech Holdings Limited in April 2023. MOG Digitech Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Nanchang, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Mog Holdings Ltd (1942) currently trades at HK$0.0610, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0243, 60.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.0243 (bear) to HK$0.0301 (bull), the price of HK$0.0610 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Mog Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 839M CNY in FY2026 versus 350M CNY in FY2022, a compound +24.5%/yr. Reported net income was −89.0M CNY in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap HK$115M (≈ $14.7M) · P/S ratio 0.14 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin −10.6% · Return on equity −12.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.3% · Operating margin −19.3% · Revenue (TTM) 839M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 86% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −60%, 1942 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.0243Fair Value HK$0.0243Bull HK$0.0301
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−33.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+53.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.0% (2021) → −9.7% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 365 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−60.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−5.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−10.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−19.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−48.9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.02× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 53
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)13· sector 36
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Mog Holdings Ltd (1942) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0243 versus a price of HK$0.0610, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1942?
Our model-based fair value for Mog Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0243 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0610.
What is the quality score of 1942?
Mog Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mog Holdings Ltd (1942)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0243 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0243, optimistic scenario HK$0.0301. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mog Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0243, about −60% upside versus a price of HK$0.0610 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0243, optimistic scenario HK$0.0301. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mog Holdings Ltd (1942)?
Mog Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 839M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Mog Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Mog Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.66% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mog Holdings Ltd (1942)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mog Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.0243 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0610. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mog Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1942 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0610, fair value HK$0.0243, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1942?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0610); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0243). For Mog Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0367 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mog Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Mog Holdings Ltd at about HK$115M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0610; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0243 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1942?
Our models span a range for Mog Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0243, base HK$0.0243, optimistic HK$0.0301 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.0610). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mog Holdings Ltd (1942)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mog Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −12.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1942 from its 52-week high?
Mog Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.0610, about 86% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4267 and at the low of HK$0.0610 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0243 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mog Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mog Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.0610, calculated fair value HK$0.0243 (−60%), Quality Score 26/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1942 calculated?
We run Mog Holdings Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0243, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Mog Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mog Holdings Ltd (1942)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.0610. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0243, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mog Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0301). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Mog Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Mog Holdings Ltd (1942)?
The market capitalisation of Mog Holdings Ltd is HK$115M (≈ $14.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mog Holdings Ltd (1942)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mog Holdings Ltd is 0.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Mog Holdings Ltd (1942)?
The dividend yield of Mog Holdings Ltd is 0.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mog Holdings Ltd (1942)?
The net margin of Mog Holdings Ltd is −10.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mog Holdings Ltd (1942)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mog Holdings Ltd is −12.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mog Holdings Ltd (1942)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mog Holdings Ltd is −8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mog Holdings Ltd (1942)?
The operating margin of Mog Holdings Ltd is −19.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mog Holdings Ltd (1942)?
Revenue at Mog Holdings Ltd is growing −48.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mog Holdings Ltd (1942)?
Earnings per share at Mog Holdings Ltd are growing −3.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Mog Holdings Ltd (1942) generate?
The free cash flow of Mog Holdings Ltd is −112M CNY (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Mog Holdings Ltd (1942) hold?
Mog Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, 26.0M CNY net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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