Mog Holdings Ltd (1942) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$115M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 66% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0220). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0696 – HK$91.52 · the HK$0.0750 price screens above the HK$0.0255 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Mog Holdings Ltd (1942) currently trades at HK$0.0750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0255, implying the stock looks roughly 66.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Mog Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$839M at a net margin of -10.6%. Revenue declined 48.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$26.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -66%, 1942 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.3600) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
MOG Digitech Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides digital payment solutions, e-commerce, and financing services in the People's Republic of China and Malaysia. It operates through Digital Payment Solutions Related Business; Optical product retail, franchise and license management; E-commerce; and Financing Services segments.
Full company description
MOG Digitech Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides digital payment solutions, e-commerce, and financing services in the People's Republic of China and Malaysia. It operates through Digital Payment Solutions Related Business; Optical product retail, franchise and license management; E-commerce; and Financing Services segments. The company offers a range of optical products, which include lenses, frames, contact lenses, spectacles, and sunglasses. It also engages in the wholesale and retail of optical and other related products; and optometrists business; and trades and deals in spectacle, frames, lens, and related eye care products and chemicals, as well as optical apparatus and related accessories. In addition, the company provides professional event management and marketing services, as well as engages in the e-commerce activities for optical products. Further, the company involved in acquiring and holding franchises dealing in optical products; trading of electronic hardware; administrative support; provision of accounts receivable financing services; and providing services to insurance companies, intermediates, and other insurance participants. The company was formerly known as MOG Holdings Limited and changed its name to MOG Digitech Holdings Limited in April 2023. MOG Digitech Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Nanchang, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Mog Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$839M in FY2026 versus HK$350M in FY2022, a compound +24.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$89.0M in FY2026.
1942 screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 369 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $506.06 | $365.74 | -28% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$7.22 | C$2.34 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.84 | $61.46 | -62% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €358.00 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$111.01 | A$70.69 | -36% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥67.70 | ¥30.89 | -54% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,679 | ₹6,897 | -41% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.58 | ¥1.05 | -89% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,610 | ₹241.68 | -85% |
| PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk GOTO | 50.00 IDR | 20.41 IDR | -59% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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