Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd A$0.03, price A$0.06, upside -54.9%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
52‑month range A$0.0350 – A$0.3750 · the A$0.0570 price screens above the A$0.0257 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Aurora Energy Metals Limited engages in the mineral exploration activities in the United States and Australia. The company primarily explores for uranium and lithium deposits. Its flagship project is the Aurora Uranium Project located in southeast Oregon, the United States.
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Aurora Energy Metals Limited engages in the mineral exploration activities in the United States and Australia. The company primarily explores for uranium and lithium deposits. Its flagship project is the Aurora Uranium Project located in southeast Oregon, the United States. Aurora Energy Metals Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
Stock analysis
Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE) currently trades at A$0.0570, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0257, implying the stock looks roughly 121.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 7 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Aurora Energy Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$28.1K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was A$21.9K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$12.5M (≈ $8.8M) · Net margin 77.8% · Return on equity −34.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −87.4% · Operating margin −1,456% · Revenue (TTM) A$11.8K · Revenue growth (YoY) +102% · Free cash flow −A$130K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −63% fair-value upside, at −55%, 1AE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0257Fair Value A$0.0257Bull A$0.0257
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
Compare Aurora Energy Metals Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Uranium · 25 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/6 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Above median
Fair Value upside−55% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−20% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)78% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth102% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Uranium median · lower = cheaper
P/B4.49× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 0
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aurora Energy Metals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1AE
Frequently asked questions
Is Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0257 versus a price of A$0.0570, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1AE?
Our model-based fair value for Aurora Energy Metals Ltd is A$0.0257 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0570.
What is the quality score of 1AE?
Aurora Energy Metals Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0257 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aurora Energy Metals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0257, about −55% upside versus a price of A$0.0570 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
Aurora Energy Metals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$11.8K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aurora Energy Metals Ltd it is A$0.0257 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0570. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aurora Energy Metals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 1AE trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0570, fair value A$0.0257, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1AE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0570); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0257). For Aurora Energy Metals Ltd the two are A$0.0313 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aurora Energy Metals Ltd worth?
The market values Aurora Energy Metals Ltd at about A$12.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0570; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0257 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −34.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1AE from its 52-week high?
Aurora Energy Metals Ltd trades at A$0.0570, about 62% below its 52-week high of A$0.1500 and 27% above the low of A$0.0450 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0257 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aurora Energy Metals Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Cameco Corporation, China National Uranium Co, Centrus Energy Corp, CGN Mining Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aurora Energy Metals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0570, calculated fair value A$0.0257 (−55%), Quality Score 34/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1AE calculated?
We run Aurora Energy Metals Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0257, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Aurora Energy Metals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0570. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0257, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aurora Energy Metals Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0257). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
The market capitalisation of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd is A$12.5M (≈ $8.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the net margin of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
The net margin of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd is 77.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd is −34.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd is −87.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
The operating margin of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd is −1,456% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
Revenue at Aurora Energy Metals Ltd is growing +102% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE) generate?
The free cash flow of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd is −A$130K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE) hold?
Aurora Energy Metals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$1.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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