Aurora Energy Metals Limited (1AE) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · AU · Market cap A$9.3M
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price −3.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 49% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0256). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
51‑month range A$0.0350 – A$0.3750 · the A$0.0500 price screens above the A$0.0255 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Aurora Energy Metals Limited (1AE) currently trades at A$0.0500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0255, implying the stock looks roughly 49.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$11.8K. Revenue grew 101.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -34.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$1.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -63% fair-value upside, at -49%, 1AE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (A$0.0100) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when 1AE reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Aurora Energy Metals Limited engages in the mineral exploration activities in the United States and Australia. The company primarily explores for uranium and lithium deposits. Its flagship project is the Aurora Uranium Project located in southeast Oregon, the United States.
Full company description
Aurora Energy Metals Limited engages in the mineral exploration activities in the United States and Australia. The company primarily explores for uranium and lithium deposits. Its flagship project is the Aurora Uranium Project located in southeast Oregon, the United States. Aurora Energy Metals Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Aurora Energy Metals Limited reported revenue of A$28.1K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was A$21.9K in FY2025.
1AE screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Cameco Corporation →
Peer Group
Uranium · 26 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Uranium median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cameco Corporation CCJ | $95.99 | $9.62 | -90% |
| China National Uranium Co 001280 | ¥56.66 | ¥11.54 | -80% |
| NexGen Energy Ltd NXE | $9.25 | $1.04 | -89% |
| Sprott Physical Uranium Trust Fund UU | $18.61 | $29.76 | +60% |
| Centrus Energy Corp LEU | $156.05 | $58.25 | -63% |
| CGN Mining Company 1164 | HK$2.42 | HK$1.01 | -58% |
| Deep Yellow Limited DYL | A$1.23 | A$0.3000 | -76% |
| IsoEnergy Ltd ISOU | $10.01 | $1.78 | -82% |
| Bannerman Energy Ltd BMN | A$3.51 | A$3.63 | +3% |
| Uranium Royalty Corp UROY | $2.76 | $1.62 | -41% |
Compare Aurora Energy Metals Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Energy stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Aurora Energy Metals Limited (1AE) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 1AE?
What is the quality score of 1AE?
What is the revenue of Aurora Energy Metals Limited (1AE)?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Aurora Energy Metals Limited and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.