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Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd stock A$0.07, price A$0.04, upside +78.0%, quality 24 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Energy AU · ISIN AU0000216889

AE Aurora Energy Metals Ltd logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Aurora Energy Metals Ltd

1AE · AU
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 44% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value A$0.0730 · Strongly undervalued
Highly profitable · 77.8% net margin (FY2025)
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 41% above the price (A$0.0578).
Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
Quality 24/100
Weak Growth (revenue YoY −75.5 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 34/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.3750 A$0.0350 Fair Value A$0.0730 May 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

54‑month range A$0.0350 – A$0.3750 · fair‑value band A$0.0578 – A$0.0844 · the A$0.0410 price screens below the A$0.0730 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Aurora Energy Metals Limited engages in the mineral exploration activities in the United States and Australia. The company primarily explores for uranium and lithium deposits. Its flagship project is the Aurora Uranium Project located in southeast Oregon, the United States.

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Aurora Energy Metals Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Stock analysis

Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE) currently trades at A$0.0410, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0730, implying the stock looks roughly 44% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0578 (bear) to A$0.0844 (bull), the price of A$0.0410 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Aurora Energy Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$28.1K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$1.8M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$7.3M (≈ $5.1M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −9.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −52.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin 2,141% · Revenue (TTM) A$38.0K · Revenue growth (YoY) −11.8% · EPS growth (YoY) +36.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at 78%, 1AE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0578 Fair Value A$0.0730 Bull A$0.0844
Price A$0.0410 · Upside +78.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0900 A$0.1300 A$0.1600 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0900 A$0.1300 A$0.1600 52

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 78
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 37
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 13
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 53
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Uranium · 24 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/6 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +78.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −7.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 77.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −11.8% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Uranium median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.31× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 0

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
enCore Energy Corp EU $0.6300 $0.7900 +25% vs 1AE
Boss Energy Limited BOE A$1.55 A$0.9600 −38% vs 1AE
Centrus Energy Corp LEU $104.60 $55.95 −47% vs 1AE
Uranium Royalty Corp UROY $3.04 $1.62 −47% vs 1AE
CGN Mining Company 1164 HK$2.09 HK$1.08 −48% vs 1AE
Atha Energy Corp SASK C$0.8800 C$0.3485 −60% vs 1AE
Deep Yellow Limited DYL A$0.8350 A$0.1900 −77% vs 1AE
Ur-Energy Inc URG $0.7431 $0.1300 −83% vs 1AE
Berkeley Energia Limited BKY A$0.8100 A$0.1400 −83% vs 1AE
Cameco Corporation CCJ $71.30 $10.06 −86% vs 1AE

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Aurora Energy Metals Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aurora Energy Metals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1AE

Frequently asked questions

Is Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0730 versus a price of A$0.0410, about +78% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1AE?
Our model-based fair value for Aurora Energy Metals Ltd is A$0.0730 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0410.
What is the quality score of 1AE?
Aurora Energy Metals Ltd has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0730 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0578, optimistic scenario A$0.0844. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aurora Energy Metals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0730, about +78% upside versus a price of A$0.0410 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0578, optimistic scenario A$0.0844. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
Aurora Energy Metals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$38.0K (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aurora Energy Metals Ltd it is A$0.0730 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.0410. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Aurora Energy Metals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, 1AE trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0410, fair value A$0.0730, a gap of about +78% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1AE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0410); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0730). For Aurora Energy Metals Ltd the two are A$0.0320 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aurora Energy Metals Ltd worth?
The market values Aurora Energy Metals Ltd at about A$7.3M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0410; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0730 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1AE?
Our models span a range for Aurora Energy Metals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0578, base A$0.0730, optimistic A$0.0844 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price A$0.0410). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −9.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1AE from its 52-week high?
Aurora Energy Metals Ltd trades at A$0.0410, about 73% below its 52-week high of A$0.1500 and 14% above the low of A$0.0360 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0730 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aurora Energy Metals Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Cameco Corporation, CGN Mining Company, Centrus Energy Corp, Uranium Royalty Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aurora Energy Metals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price A$0.0410, calculated fair value A$0.0730 (+78%), Quality Score 24/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1AE calculated?
We run Aurora Energy Metals Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0730 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Aurora Energy Metals Ltd currently trades 44% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.0410. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0730, about +78% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aurora Energy Metals Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (24/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0578). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
The market capitalisation of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd is A$7.3M (≈ $5.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
Earnings per share at Aurora Energy Metals Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd is −9.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd is −52.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
The operating margin of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd is 2,141% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
Revenue at Aurora Energy Metals Ltd is growing −11.8% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE)?
Earnings per share at Aurora Energy Metals Ltd are growing +36.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE) generate?
The free cash flow of Aurora Energy Metals Ltd is −A$240K (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Aurora Energy Metals Ltd (1AE) hold?
Aurora Energy Metals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$742K net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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