gumi Inc (1G9) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of gumi Inc stock €2.52, price €1.04, upside +142.6%, quality 27 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?Yes
Good quality?No
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.04 – €8.41 · fair‑value band €1.77 – €3.23 · the €1.04 price screens below the €2.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 21, 2026.
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gumi Inc. provides mobile online games in Japan and internationally. It operates in Neo Media Entertainment Business and Neo Crypto Business. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
gumi Inc (1G9) currently trades at €1.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.52, implying the stock looks roughly 58.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €2.61 per share, and 7 of the 10 models we run sit above the €1.04 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €0.4100, and 3 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €1.77 (bear) to €3.23 (bull), the price of €1.04 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
gumi Inc reported revenue of ¥9.2B in FY2026 versus ¥18.9B in FY2022, a compound −16.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.5B in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap €56.0M Micro · P/E ratio 6.5 · P/S ratio 1.03 · EPS (TTM) €0.1600 · Net margin 15.8% · Return on equity −10.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.0% · Operating margin −11.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 21 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 57% fair-value upside, at 143%, 1G9 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€1.77Fair Value €2.52Bull€3.23
Price €1.04 · Upside +142.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0789 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.20/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.9%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+33.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+33.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−12% → 1%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 143 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "gumi Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1G9
Frequently asked questions
Is gumi Inc (1G9) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.52 versus a price of €1.04, about +143% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1G9?
Our model-based fair value for gumi Inc is €2.52 (as of Oct 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.04.
What is the quality score of 1G9?
gumi Inc has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for gumi Inc (1G9)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €2.52 (as of Oct 21, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.77, optimistic scenario €3.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the gumi Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €2.52, about +143% upside versus a price of €1.04 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €1.77, optimistic scenario €3.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of gumi Inc (1G9)?
gumi Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥9.5B (latest available figure, as of Oct 21, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of gumi Inc (1G9)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For gumi Inc it is €2.52 per share (as of Oct 21, 2026), against a price of €1.04. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is gumi Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 21, 2026, 1G9 trades below its calculated fair value: price €1.04, fair value €2.52, a gap of about +143% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1G9?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€2.52). For gumi Inc the two are €1.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is gumi Inc worth?
The market values gumi Inc at about €56.0M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 21, 2026). Per share that is €1.04; our models calculate a fair value of €2.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1G9?
Our models span a range for gumi Inc: cautious scenario €1.77, base €2.52, optimistic €3.23 per share (as of Oct 21, 2026, price €1.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1G9?
gumi Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.5 (as of Oct 21, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €2.52 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 7.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of gumi Inc (1G9)?
Balance-sheet figures for gumi Inc (as of Oct 21, 2026): return on equity −10.1%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1G9 from its 52-week high?
gumi Inc trades at €1.04, about 57% below its 52-week high of €2.40 and 10% above the low of €0.9450 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €2.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to gumi Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, Zhejiang Century Huatong Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is gumi Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 21, 2026: price €1.04, calculated fair value €2.52 (+143%), Quality Score 27/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1G9 calculated?
We run gumi Inc through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €2.52, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. gumi Inc currently trades 59 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of gumi Inc (1G9)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was €1.04. Our model-based fair value is €2.52, about +143% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with gumi Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (27/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (€1.77). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (€1.77 to €3.23) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of gumi Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of gumi Inc (1G9)?
The market capitalisation of gumi Inc is €56.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of gumi Inc (1G9)?
The price-to-sales ratio of gumi Inc is 1.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of gumi Inc (1G9)?
Earnings per share at gumi Inc are €0.1600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of gumi Inc (1G9)?
The net margin of gumi Inc is 15.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of gumi Inc (1G9)?
The return on equity (ROE) of gumi Inc is −10.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of gumi Inc (1G9)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of gumi Inc is −7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of gumi Inc (1G9)?
The operating margin of gumi Inc is −11.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at gumi Inc (1G9)?
Revenue at gumi Inc is growing +20.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at gumi Inc (1G9)?
Earnings per share at gumi Inc are growing −50.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does gumi Inc (1G9) generate?
The free cash flow of gumi Inc is −¥2.8B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does gumi Inc (1G9) carry?
The net debt of gumi Inc is ¥1.4B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 21, 2026