Renault SA (1RNO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Renault SA €143, price €25.50, upside +461.8%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €18.04 – €47.65 · fair‑value band €73.82 – €143.27 · the €25.50 price screens below the €143.27 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
Renault SA engages in the design, manufacture, sale, repair, maintenance, and leasing of motor vehicles in Europe, Eurasia, Africa, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas. The company operates through Automotive, Sales Financing, and Mobility Services segments.
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Renault SA engages in the design, manufacture, sale, repair, maintenance, and leasing of motor vehicles in Europe, Eurasia, Africa, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas. The company operates through Automotive, Sales Financing, and Mobility Services segments. The Automotive segment produces, sells, and distributes passenger cars and light commercial vehicles. The Sale Financing segment is involved in the sales financing, rental, maintenance, and service contracts under the Mobilize Financial Services trade name. The Mobility Services segment provides mobility and energy solutions for electric vehicle users under the Mobilize Beyond Automotive brand. It offers used vehicles and spare parts; and engages in the business-to-business powertrain activities, and research and advanced engineering activities. The company also engages in the design and production of parts and equipment used for manufacturing and operation of vehicles. It serves commercial, light commercial and passenger vehicles, tractors, farm machinery and construction equipment under the Renault, Dacia, and Alpine brands. The company was founded in 1898 and is based in Boulogne-Billancourt, France.
Stock analysis
Renault SA (1RNO) currently trades at €25.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €143.27, implying the stock looks roughly 82.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €275.49 per share, and 8 of the 8 models we run sit above the €25.50 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €29.40, and 0 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €73.82 (bear) to €143.27 (bull), the price of €25.50 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Renault SA reported revenue of €57.9B in FY2025 versus €46.3B in FY2022, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was −€10.9B in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €7.4B · P/S ratio 0.13 · EPS (TTM) €−39.99 · Dividend yield 8.6% · Net margin −18.9% · Return on equity −40.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% · Operating margin 6.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 462%, 1RNO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €73.82Fair Value €143.27Bull €143.27
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.29/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.7% (2022) → 6.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Renault SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1RNO
Frequently asked questions
Is Renault SA (1RNO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €143.27 versus a price of €25.50, about +462% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1RNO?
Our model-based fair value for Renault SA is €143.27 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €25.50.
What is the quality score of 1RNO?
Renault SA has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Renault SA (1RNO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €143.27 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario €73.82, optimistic scenario €143.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Renault SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €143.27, about +462% upside versus a price of €25.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €73.82, optimistic scenario €143.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Renault SA (1RNO)?
Renault SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €57.9B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Renault SA pay a dividend?
Renault SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.63% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Renault SA (1RNO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Renault SA it is €143.27 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of €25.50. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Renault SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 1RNO trades below its calculated fair value: price €25.50, fair value €143.27, a gap of about +462% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1RNO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€25.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€143.27). For Renault SA the two are €117.77 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Renault SA worth?
The market values Renault SA at about €7.4B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is €25.50; our models calculate a fair value of €143.27 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1RNO?
Our models span a range for Renault SA: cautious scenario €73.82, base €143.27, optimistic €143.27 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price €25.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 1RNO from its 52-week high?
Renault SA trades at €25.50, about 27% below its 52-week high of €34.90 and 2% above the low of €25.00 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €143.27 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Renault SA?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, General Motors Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Renault SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price €25.50, calculated fair value €143.27 (+462%), Quality Score 39/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1RNO calculated?
We run Renault SA through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €143.27, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Renault SA currently trades 82 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Renault SA (1RNO)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €25.50. Our model-based fair value is €143.27, about +462% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Renault SA right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (€73.82). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€73.82 to €143.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Renault SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Renault SA (1RNO)?
The market capitalisation of Renault SA is €7.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Renault SA (1RNO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Renault SA is 0.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Renault SA (1RNO)?
Earnings per share at Renault SA are €−39.99. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Renault SA (1RNO)?
The dividend yield of Renault SA is 8.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Renault SA (1RNO)?
The net margin of Renault SA is −18.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Renault SA (1RNO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Renault SA is −40.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Renault SA (1RNO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Renault SA is 3.0% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Renault SA (1RNO)?
The operating margin of Renault SA is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Renault SA (1RNO)?
Revenue at Renault SA is growing +3.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Renault SA (1RNO)?
Earnings per share at Renault SA are growing −39.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Renault SA (1RNO) generate?
The free cash flow of Renault SA is −€705M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Renault SA (1RNO) carry?
The net debt of Renault SA is €49.4B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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