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Vivendi SE (1VIV) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Vivendi SE €1.53, price €1.43, upside +7.4%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Oct 2, 2026
Vivendi SE
1VIV · MILow PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.
·Fair value €1.53 · Fairly valued (+7.4%)
!Quality 49/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −68.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!2.8% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns
!Narrow moat 25/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.41 – €29.52 · fair‑value band €1.26 – €1.96 · the €1.43 price screens below the €1.53 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
Company profile
Vivendi SE operates in the content, media, and entertainment industries in Europe, North America, Asia Pacific, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa.
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Vivendi SE operates in the content, media, and entertainment industries in Europe, North America, Asia Pacific, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa. The company creates and publishes video games for various digital devices, including mobile, PC, and consoles; and engages in the recorded music, music publishing, music-based merchandise, and audio-visual content businesses. It also provides online sports betting services; and media and education content in the Spanish and Spanish speaking markets, as well as creates, develops, sells, produces, and distributes content. In addition, the company is involved in publishing, media, and travel retail; commercial television broadcasting; and television, audiovisual production, and internet activities. The company was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in Paris, France.
Stock analysis
Vivendi SE (1VIV) currently trades at €1.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.53, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.9%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €3.16 per share, and 3 of the 8 models we run sit above the €1.43 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €0.1700, and 5 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €1.26 (bear) to €1.96 (bull), the price of €1.43 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Vivendi SE reported revenue of €307M in FY2025 versus €8.7B in FY2021, a compound −56.7%/yr. Reported net income was €20.0M in FY2025, compounding −83.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €2.3B · P/E ratio 71.3 · P/S ratio 4.64 · EPS (TTM) €0.0200 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 6.5% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at 7%, 1VIV screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (€0.1700 to €3.16). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear €1.26
Fair Value €1.53
Bull €1.96
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings
€1.53
€2.01
€2.89
74
Residual Income
€3.15
€2.93
€2.78
73
Graham-Dodd
€0.1400
€0.1700
€0.1900
65
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
€1.53
€2.01
€2.89
74
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
€0.1400
€0.1700
€0.1900
65
Multiples
P/E Multiple
€0.3300
€0.4400
€0.5500
63
P/S Multiple
€0.2600
€0.3400
€0.4300
58
P/B Multiple
€0.2600
€0.3400
€0.4300
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€2.36
€3.16
€4.72
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
€3.15
€2.93
€2.78
73
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
€0.2300
€0.3300
€0.4300
65
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
49/100
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14
Profitability
15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
85
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
20/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−68.3%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−72.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−75.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → −34%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 139 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
- Valuation of the Italy market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NetEase, Inc NTES | $121.82 | $254.16 | +109% |
| Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO | $203.62 | $75.29 | −63% |
| Roblox Corporation RBLX | $43.00 | $45.24 | +5% |
| Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 | ¥14.23 | ¥27.63 | +94% |
| International Games System Co 3293 | 761.00 TWD | 1,094 TWD | +44% |
| Giant Network Group 002558 | ¥23.62 | ¥31.97 | +35% |
| KRAFTON, Inc 259960 | 198,000 KRW | 410,472 KRW | +107% |
| CD Projekt S.A CDR | 244.60 PLN | 269.06 PLN | +10% |
| 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 | ¥17.38 | ¥39.02 | +125% |
| Kingnet Network Co 002517 | ¥16.17 | ¥22.00 | +36% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Vivendi SE (1VIV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.53 versus a price of €1.43, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 1VIV?
Our model-based fair value for Vivendi SE is €1.53 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.43.
What is the quality score of 1VIV?
Vivendi SE has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vivendi SE (1VIV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.53 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.26, optimistic scenario €1.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vivendi SE stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.53, about +7% upside versus a price of €1.43 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €1.26, optimistic scenario €1.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vivendi SE (1VIV)?
Vivendi SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €307M (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Vivendi SE pay a dividend?
Vivendi SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.81% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Vivendi SE (1VIV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vivendi SE it is €1.53 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of €1.43. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vivendi SE stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 1VIV trades below its calculated fair value: price €1.43, fair value €1.53, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1VIV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.53). For Vivendi SE the two are €0.1050 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vivendi SE worth?
The market values Vivendi SE at about €2.3B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is €1.43; our models calculate a fair value of €1.53 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1VIV?
Our models span a range for Vivendi SE: cautious scenario €1.26, base €1.53, optimistic €1.96 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price €1.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1VIV?
Vivendi SE trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 71.3 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €1.53 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.7, P/B 0.6, P/S 8.7.
What is the PEG ratio of 1VIV?
The PEG ratio of Vivendi SE is 1.72 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 2, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vivendi SE (1VIV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vivendi SE (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 0.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1VIV from its 52-week high?
Vivendi SE trades at €1.43, about 54% below its 52-week high of €3.11 and 1% above the low of €1.41 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.53 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vivendi SE?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, Zhejiang Century Huatong Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vivendi SE stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price €1.43, calculated fair value €1.53 (+7%), Quality Score 49/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1VIV calculated?
We run Vivendi SE through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €1.53, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Vivendi SE currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vivendi SE (1VIV)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €1.43. Our model-based fair value is €1.53, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vivendi SE right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Vivendi SE
How large is the market capitalisation of Vivendi SE (1VIV)?
The market capitalisation of Vivendi SE is €2.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vivendi SE (1VIV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vivendi SE is 4.64 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vivendi SE (1VIV)?
Earnings per share at Vivendi SE are €0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 71.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Vivendi SE (1VIV)?
The dividend yield of Vivendi SE is 2.8% (payout 200%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Vivendi SE (1VIV)?
The net margin of Vivendi SE is 6.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vivendi SE (1VIV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vivendi SE is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vivendi SE (1VIV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vivendi SE is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vivendi SE (1VIV)?
The operating margin of Vivendi SE is −36.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vivendi SE (1VIV)?
Revenue at Vivendi SE is growing +8.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −68.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vivendi SE (1VIV)?
Earnings per share at Vivendi SE are growing −80.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Vivendi SE (1VIV) generate?
The free cash flow of Vivendi SE is −€68.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Vivendi SE (1VIV) carry?
The net debt of Vivendi SE is €1.1B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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