TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd HK$2.79, price HK$2.06, upside +35.4%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.61 – HK$4.09 · fair‑value band HK$2.10 – HK$2.79 · the HK$2.06 price screens below the HK$2.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Tsann Kuen (China) Enterprise Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, manufactures, and sells small home appliances of gourmet cooking, home helper, tea, and coffee in Australia, Africa, the United States, Europe, and Asia. It designs and manufactures molds for related products; and provides after-sales services.
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Tsann Kuen (China) Enterprise Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, manufactures, and sells small home appliances of gourmet cooking, home helper, tea, and coffee in Australia, Africa, the United States, Europe, and Asia. It designs and manufactures molds for related products; and provides after-sales services. The company also provides coffee academy services and recipes; tea makers; espresso coffee machines, drip coffee makers, electric kettles, and conical burr coffee grinders; professional steak grills, snack makers, and rotary waffle makers; blenders; and circulators and steam irons. In addition, it offers real estate development, property, and trading services. The company was formerly known as TsannKuen China (Xiamen) Ltd. and changed its name to Tsann Kuen (China) Enterprise Co., Ltd. in June 1993. Tsann Kuen (China) Enterprise Co., Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is based in Zhangzhou, China.
Stock analysis
TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512) currently trades at HK$2.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.79, implying the stock looks roughly 26.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$3.94 per share, and 11 of the 14 models we run sit above the HK$2.06 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$1.06, and 3 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$2.10 (bear) to HK$2.79 (bull), the price of HK$2.06 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd reported revenue of 1.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −13.0%/yr. Reported net income was 23.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding −33.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$465M (≈ $59.3M) · P/E ratio 206.0 · P/S ratio 3.61 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Dividend yield 8.2% · Net margin 1.8% · Return on equity −0.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 35%, 200512 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$2.10Fair Value HK$2.79Bull HK$2.79
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0073 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.7% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−19.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−27.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−28% vs −7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 317 stocks
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Is TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.79 versus a price of HK$2.06, about +35% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 200512?
Our model-based fair value for TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd is HK$2.79 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$2.06.
What is the quality score of 200512?
TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.79 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$2.10, optimistic scenario HK$2.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$2.79, about +35% upside versus a price of HK$2.06 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$2.10, optimistic scenario HK$2.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512)?
TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.19% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd it is HK$2.79 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$2.06. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 200512 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$2.06, fair value HK$2.79, a gap of about +35% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 200512?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$2.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$2.79). For TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd the two are HK$0.7300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd worth?
The market values TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd at about HK$465M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$2.06; our models calculate a fair value of HK$2.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 200512?
Our models span a range for TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd: cautious scenario HK$2.10, base HK$2.79, optimistic HK$2.79 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$2.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 200512?
TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 206.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$2.79 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 0.1, P/S 0.0.
What is the PEG ratio of 200512?
The PEG ratio of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd is 0.96 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512)?
Balance-sheet figures for TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.2%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 200512 from its 52-week high?
TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd trades at HK$2.06, about 34% below its 52-week high of HK$3.13 and 28% above the low of HK$1.61 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$2.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, King Slide Works Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$2.06, calculated fair value HK$2.79 (+35%), Quality Score 44/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 200512 calculated?
We run TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$2.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd currently trades 35 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$2.06. Our model-based fair value is HK$2.79, about +35% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512) come from?
Earnings per share at TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd grew +3.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.7 %, EBIT margin +7.3 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512)?
The market capitalisation of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd is HK$465M (≈ $59.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd is 3.61 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512)?
Earnings per share at TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd are HK$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 206.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512)?
The dividend yield of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd is 8.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512)?
The net margin of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd is 1.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd is −0.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512)?
The operating margin of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd is −5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512)?
Revenue at TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd is growing −18.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512)?
Earnings per share at TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd are growing −98.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512) generate?
The free cash flow of TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd is −HK$98.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd (200512) hold?
TsannKuen (China) Enterprise Co. Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$59.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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