Weifu High Tech Group (200581) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Weifu High Tech Group HK$15.32, price HK$12.94, upside +18.4%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Weifu High Tech Group for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$6.69 – HK$15.34 · fair‑value band HK$9.36 – HK$25.29 · the HK$12.94 price screens below the HK$15.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow Weifu High Tech in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Weifu High Tech is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Weifu High-Technology Group Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells automotive products in the People's Republic of China. It operates through four segments: energy saving and emission reduction, intelligent electric drive, green hydrogen energy, and industry and others.
Show more
Weifu High-Technology Group Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells automotive products in the People's Republic of China. It operates through four segments: energy saving and emission reduction, intelligent electric drive, green hydrogen energy, and industry and others. The company offers fuel injection system, including high pressure oil pump, high pressure oil rail, injector, filter, and other products; exhaust post-treatment system that includes diesel purifier, gasoline purifier, natural gas purifier, muffler, catalyst, and other products; intake system, such as diesel turbocharger, gasoline turbocharger, natural gas turbocharger, and other products; and hydrogen energy and fuel cell parts, which includes membrane electrode, bipolar plate, catalyst, valves, pumps, air compressor, critical parts, hydrogen storage bottles, and other products. It also offers motor shaft, end cover, and water jacket; electronic oil pump, electronic water pump, thermostat, and water cooling plate; car seat assembly, seat skeleton, electric long slide, and shock absorber; 4D imaging radar, forward radar, angle radar, cabin radar, and road brake radar; forklift hydraulic system, motor pump, internal gear pump, motor controller, and piston parts; and mechanical vacuum pump and other parts. It also exports its products to the Americas, Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and internationally. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Wuxi, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Weifu High Tech Group (200581) currently trades at HK$12.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$15.32, implying the stock looks roughly 15.5% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$19.21 per share, and 12 of the 23 models we run sit above the HK$12.94 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at HK$3.33, and 11 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: HK$9.36 (bear) to HK$25.29 (bull), the price of HK$12.94 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Weifu High Tech Group reported revenue of 12.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 13.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −3.2%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B CNY in FY2025, compounding −19.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$12.5B (≈ $1.6B) · P/E ratio 10.3 · P/S ratio 0.91 · EPS (TTM) HK$1.31 · Dividend yield 6.2% · Net margin 8.9% · Return on equity 5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 18%, 200581 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$9.36Fair Value HK$15.32Bull HK$25.29
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.3731 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.33/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.7% a year
Revenue growth 33 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−9.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−16% vs −3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+51.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +48.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 663 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside+18% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)6.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Weifu High Tech Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/200581
Frequently asked questions
Is Weifu High Tech Group (200581) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$15.32 versus a price of HK$12.94, about +18% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 200581?
Our model-based fair value for Weifu High Tech Group is HK$15.32 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$12.94.
What is the quality score of 200581?
Weifu High Tech Group has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Weifu High Tech Group (200581)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$15.32 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$9.36, optimistic scenario HK$25.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Weifu High Tech Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$15.32, about +18% upside versus a price of HK$12.94 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$9.36, optimistic scenario HK$25.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Weifu High Tech Group (200581)?
Weifu High Tech Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$12.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Weifu High Tech Group pay a dividend?
Weifu High Tech Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.18% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Weifu High Tech Group (200581)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Weifu High Tech Group would have to grow free cash flow by +51.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 200581 use?
Our models discount Weifu High Tech Group at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.46, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Weifu High Tech Group that is +51.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Weifu High Tech Group (200581) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Weifu High Tech Group grew -1.4 % a year. The price currently implies +51.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Weifu High Tech Group (200581) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Weifu High Tech Group (+51.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Weifu High Tech Group (200581)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.41 %: that much free cash flow Weifu High Tech Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Weifu High Tech Group (200581)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Weifu High Tech Group it is HK$15.32 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$12.94. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Weifu High Tech Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 200581 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$12.94, fair value HK$15.32, a gap of about +18% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 200581?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$12.94); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$15.32). For Weifu High Tech Group the two are HK$2.38 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Weifu High Tech Group worth?
The market values Weifu High Tech Group at about HK$12.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$12.94; our models calculate a fair value of HK$15.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 200581?
Our models span a range for Weifu High Tech Group: cautious scenario HK$9.36, base HK$15.32, optimistic HK$25.29 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$12.94). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 200581?
Weifu High Tech Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$15.32 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 0.6, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 18.1.
What is the PEG ratio of 200581?
The PEG ratio of Weifu High Tech Group is 0.51 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Weifu High Tech Group (200581)?
Balance-sheet figures for Weifu High Tech Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.3%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 200581 from its 52-week high?
Weifu High Tech Group trades at HK$12.94, about 16% below its 52-week high of HK$15.34 and 12% above the low of HK$11.60 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$15.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Weifu High Tech Group?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Weifu High Tech Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$12.94, calculated fair value HK$15.32 (+18%), Quality Score 55/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 200581 calculated?
We run Weifu High Tech Group through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$15.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Weifu High Tech Group currently trades 18 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Weifu High Tech Group (200581)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was HK$12.94. Our model-based fair value is HK$15.32, about +18% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Weifu High Tech Group right now?
The model range is unusually wide (HK$9.36 to HK$25.29). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Weifu High Tech Group (200581) come from?
Earnings per share at Weifu High Tech Group grew −2.3 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.1 %, EBIT margin −9.0 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Weifu High Tech Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Weifu High Tech Group (200581)?
The market capitalisation of Weifu High Tech Group is HK$12.5B (≈ $1.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Weifu High Tech Group (200581)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Weifu High Tech Group is 0.91 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Weifu High Tech Group (200581)?
Earnings per share at Weifu High Tech Group are HK$1.31 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Weifu High Tech Group (200581)?
The dividend yield of Weifu High Tech Group is 6.2% (payout 61.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Weifu High Tech Group (200581)?
The net margin of Weifu High Tech Group is 8.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Weifu High Tech Group (200581)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Weifu High Tech Group is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Weifu High Tech Group (200581)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Weifu High Tech Group is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Weifu High Tech Group (200581)?
The operating margin of Weifu High Tech Group is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Weifu High Tech Group (200581)?
Revenue at Weifu High Tech Group is growing +5.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Weifu High Tech Group (200581)?
Earnings per share at Weifu High Tech Group are growing +8.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Weifu High Tech Group (200581) hold?
Weifu High Tech Group holds more cash than debt, HK$1.7B net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Weifu High Tech Group in the live analysis
One click puts Weifu High Tech Group on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
