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Weifu High-Technology Group (200581) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap HK$13.0B

WH Weifu High-Technology Group 200581 · SHE
PriceHK$11.67
Fair ValueHK$18.62
Upside+59.6%
Quality55/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 8.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.94% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range HK$14.41 – HK$22.83 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from HK$18.33 to HK$18.62 (+1.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −6.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$14.41). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$15.34 HK$6.69 Fair Value HK$18.62 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$6.69 – HK$15.34 · fair‑value band HK$14.41 – HK$22.83 · the HK$11.67 price screens below the HK$18.62 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Weifu High-Technology Group (200581) currently trades at HK$11.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$18.62, implying the stock looks roughly 59.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Weifu High-Technology Group generated revenue of HK$12.2B at a net margin of 8.9%. Revenue grew 5.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$14.41 (bear case) to HK$22.83 (bull case); at HK$11.67, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 60%, 200581 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$2.47 HK$2.90 HK$3.60 80
Residual Income HK$15.96 HK$16.25 HK$15.89 76
ROIC Compounder HK$5.86 HK$6.54 HK$7.12 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$2.47 HK$2.92 HK$3.65 38
Owner Earnings HK$12.52 HK$19.96 HK$32.20 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$4.83 HK$7.58 HK$11.31 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$8.68 HK$15.20 HK$23.29 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$13.09 HK$23.93 HK$36.09 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.86 HK$6.20 HK$9.75 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$6.51 HK$11.65 HK$19.38 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$9.39 HK$17.91 HK$29.68 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$7.51 HK$29.88 HK$40.60 54
Lynch FV HK$7.41 HK$10.58 HK$13.76 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$7.41 HK$10.58 HK$13.76 46
EPV HK$5.86 HK$6.54 HK$7.12 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$18.23 HK$24.31 HK$30.38 63
P/S Multiple HK$11.19 HK$14.92 HK$18.66 58
P/B Multiple HK$14.09 HK$18.78 HK$23.48 55
EV/EBIT HK$8.18 HK$10.30 HK$12.42 53
EV/EBITDA HK$12.78 HK$16.43 HK$20.07 54
EV/Revenue HK$6.11 HK$7.95 HK$9.78 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$10.30 HK$13.80 HK$20.60 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$2.47 HK$2.90 HK$3.60 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$15.96 HK$16.25 HK$15.89 76
ROIC Compounder HK$5.86 HK$6.54 HK$7.12 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$13.44 HK$19.21 HK$24.97 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$19.21) versus Growth DCF (HK$2.90). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$12.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.7%
Net margin 8.9%
Return on equity 5.3%
Free cash flow HK$50.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.3
More key figures
Operating margin 4.6%
EPS (TTM) HK$1.31
Dividend yield 5.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.3%
Net cash HK$1.7B FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Weifu High-Technology Group Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells automotive products in the People's Republic of China. It operates through four segments: energy saving and emission reduction, intelligent electric drive, green hydrogen energy, and industry and others.

Full company description

Weifu High-Technology Group Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells automotive products in the People's Republic of China. It operates through four segments: energy saving and emission reduction, intelligent electric drive, green hydrogen energy, and industry and others. The company offers fuel injection system, including high pressure oil pump, high pressure oil rail, injector, filter, and other products; exhaust post-treatment system that includes diesel purifier, gasoline purifier, natural gas purifier, muffler, catalyst, and other products; intake system, such as diesel turbocharger, gasoline turbocharger, natural gas turbocharger, and other products; and hydrogen energy and fuel cell parts, which includes membrane electrode, bipolar plate, catalyst, valves, pumps, air compressor, critical parts, hydrogen storage bottles, and other products. It also offers motor shaft, end cover, and water jacket; electronic oil pump, electronic water pump, thermostat, and water cooling plate; car seat assembly, seat skeleton, electric long slide, and shock absorber; 4D imaging radar, forward radar, angle radar, cabin radar, and road brake radar; forklift hydraulic system, motor pump, internal gear pump, motor controller, and piston parts; and mechanical vacuum pump and other parts. It also exports its products to the Americas, Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and internationally. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Wuxi, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Weifu High-Technology Group reported revenue of HK$12.0B in FY2025 versus HK$13.7B in FY2021, a compound −3.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.1B in FY2025, compounding −19.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 33/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$12.0B
Latest YoY
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (33Y)
+14.2%
Revenue −3.2%/yr
FY21 HK$13.7B
FY22 HK$12.7B
FY23 HK$11.1B
FY24 HK$11.2B
FY25 HK$12.0B
Net income −19.7%/yr
FY21 HK$2.6B
FY22 HK$119M
FY23 HK$1.8B
FY24 HK$1.7B
FY25 HK$1.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Weifu High-Technology Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/200581

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.65× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.07× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 32.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 18.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.51× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 17
FUTURE 29 · sector 23
PAST 21 · sector 26
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Weifu High-Technology Group (200581) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$18.62 versus a price of HK$11.67, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 200581?
Our model-based fair value for Weifu High-Technology Group is HK$18.62 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$11.67.
What is the quality score of 200581?
Weifu High-Technology Group has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Weifu High-Technology Group (200581)?
Weifu High-Technology Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$12.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 200581?
The net profit margin of Weifu High-Technology Group is about 8.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Weifu High-Technology Group pay a dividend?
Weifu High-Technology Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.94% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 7, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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