Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd TWD 12.02, price TWD 12.90, upside -6.8%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Chih Lien Industrial Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture, processing, trading, and sale of steel wires and bars in Taiwan, China, Indonesia, Malaysia, and internationally.
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Chih Lien Industrial Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture, processing, trading, and sale of steel wires and bars in Taiwan, China, Indonesia, Malaysia, and internationally. The company offers steel wires, including high and low carbon steel, free cutting steel, bearing steel, steel for CHQ, alloy steel, and spring steel, as well as tool, alloy, and stainless steel. Its products are used in the industrial machinery, precision parts, bicycle, motorcycle, automobile, tool, household, electronic, OA machine, spring, furniture, and construction applications. The company was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024) currently trades at 12.90 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.02 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 7.3% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 7.66 TWD per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the 12.90 TWD price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 2.92 TWD, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 8.35 TWD (bear) to 15.24 TWD (bull), the price of 12.90 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd reported revenue of 989M TWD in FY2025 versus 1.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −5.9M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.4B TWD (≈ $43.0M) · P/S ratio 1.41 · EPS (TTM) −0.0600 TWD · Net margin −0.6% · Return on equity 0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3% · Operating margin 2.4% · Revenue (TTM) 969M TWD.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −7%, 2024 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 8.35 TWDFair Value 12.02 TWDBull 15.24 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.3% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.6% (2020) → 0.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.6% a year for the price.
Compare Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 411 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Above median
Fair Value upside−7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.18× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2024
Frequently asked questions
Is Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 12.02 TWD versus a price of 12.90 TWD, about −7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 2024?
Our model-based fair value for Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd is 12.02 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 12.90 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2024?
Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 12.02 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 8.35 TWD, optimistic scenario 15.24 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 12.02 TWD, about −7% upside versus a price of 12.90 TWD (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 8.35 TWD, optimistic scenario 15.24 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024)?
Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 969M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +11.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2024 use?
Our models discount Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.19, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd that is +11.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd grew -3.5 % a year. The price currently implies +11.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (+11.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.05 %: that much free cash flow Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd it is 12.02 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 12.90 TWD. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2024 trades above its calculated fair value: price 12.90 TWD, fair value 12.02 TWD, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2024?
No. The price is what the market pays today (12.90 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (12.02 TWD). For Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd the two are 0.8800 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd worth?
The market values Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd at about 1.4B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 12.90 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 12.02 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2024?
Our models span a range for Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd: cautious scenario 8.35 TWD, base 12.02 TWD, optimistic 15.24 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 12.90 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 2024?
The PEG ratio of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd is 1.21 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.6%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2024 from its 52-week high?
Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd trades at 12.90 TWD, about 33% below its 52-week high of 19.30 TWD and 1% above the low of 12.80 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 12.02 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, Tata Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 12.90 TWD, calculated fair value 12.02 TWD (−7%), Quality Score 52/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2024 calculated?
We run Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 12.02 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 12.90 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 12.02 TWD, about −7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (8.35 TWD to 15.24 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024)?
The market capitalisation of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd is 1.4B TWD (≈ $43.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd is 1.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024)?
Earnings per share at Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd are −0.0600 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024)?
The net margin of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd is −0.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd is 0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024)?
The operating margin of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd is 2.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024)?
Revenue at Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd is growing −8.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024)?
Earnings per share at Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd are growing +433% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd (2024) carry?
The net debt of Chih Lien Industrial Co Ltd is 301M TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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