Saudi Ceramic Company (2040) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SA · Market cap 2.4B SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated today
Share price −9.9% over the past month.
What matters now
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (12.16 SAR to 27.71 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 23.74 SAR – 32.76 SAR · fair‑value band 12.16 SAR – 27.71 SAR · the 24.06 SAR price screens above the 14.23 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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Saudi Ceramic Company (2040) currently trades at 24.06 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 14.23 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 40.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Saudi Ceramic Company generated revenue of 1.5B SAR at a net margin of 12.2%. Revenue declined 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.2%. Net debt stands at 802M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 12.16 SAR (bear case) to 27.71 SAR (bull case); at 24.06 SAR, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -41%, 2040 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Saudi Ceramic Company engages in the production and sale of ceramic products, water heaters, and related component in Saudi Arabia and internationally.
Full company description
Saudi Ceramic Company engages in the production and sale of ceramic products, water heaters, and related component in Saudi Arabia and internationally. The company offers ceramic, porcelain, outdoor, and swimming pool tiles; sanitary ware products comprising wash basins, water closets, wall hangings, and above counters; bathroom furniture and accessories, including bathtubs, shower trays, taps, and seat covers; red bricks; bathroom fixtures and finishes; and industrial minerals, such as limestone, silica sands, kaolin, feldspar, clay, dolomite, and calcite. It also sells its products online. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Saudi Ceramic Company reported revenue of 1.5B SAR in FY2025 versus 1.5B SAR in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was 181M SAR in FY2025, compounding −6.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $456.84 | $192.91 | -58% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $148.21 | $39.05 | -74% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $67.97 | $16.28 | -76% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A CODGF | $89.95 | $106.78 | +19% |
| Daikin Industries,Ltd. DKILF | $149.65 | $113.38 | -24% |
| Geberit AG GBERF | $661.46 | $347.91 | -47% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $516.37 | $225.11 | -56% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €36.86 | -58% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | 1,559 MXN | 51.45 MXN | -97% |
| BELIMO Holding BLMOY | $11.78 | $3.43 | -71% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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