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Yuen Chang Stainless Steel Co (2069) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TW · Market cap 3.1B TWD

YC Yuen Chang Stainless Steel Co 2069 · TW
Price19.95 TWD
Fair Value23.07 TWD
Upside+15.6%
Quality57/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.33% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: High Range 17.30 TWD – 28.83 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 23, 2026, revised from 27.56 TWD to 23.07 TWD (−16.3%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +9.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 16% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from 17.30 TWD (bear) to 28.83 TWD (bull), base 23.07 TWD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 57/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

37.94 TWD 13.70 TWD Fair Value 23.07 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 13.70 TWD – 37.94 TWD · fair‑value band 17.30 TWD – 28.83 TWD · the 19.95 TWD price screens below the 23.07 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Yuen Chang Stainless Steel Co (2069) currently trades at 19.95 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 23.07 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 15.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Yuen Chang Stainless Steel Co generated revenue of 9.7B TWD at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue declined 13.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.2%. Net debt stands at 4.0B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 17.30 TWD (bear case) to 28.83 TWD (bull case); at 19.95 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 16%, 2069 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 41.09 TWD 55.90 TWD 81.62 TWD 80
Residual Income 19.67 TWD 20.35 TWD 20.80 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 23.32 TWD 33.40 TWD 46.47 TWD 74
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 39.35 TWD 54.62 TWD 83.55 TWD 38
5Y Revenue Exit 23.32 TWD 32.33 TWD 45.72 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 30.52 TWD 44.63 TWD 63.79 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 25.45 TWD 35.97 TWD 48.98 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 28.91 TWD 36.92 TWD 45.38 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 33.72 TWD 44.63 TWD 56.33 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 30.70 TWD 39.20 TWD 47.35 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 11.02 TWD 16.07 TWD 18.96 TWD 54
EPV 12.45 TWD 15.29 TWD 17.74 TWD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 25.54 TWD 34.05 TWD 42.56 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 20.67 TWD 27.56 TWD 34.45 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 20.67 TWD 27.56 TWD 34.45 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 22.50 TWD 31.84 TWD 41.19 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 29.71 TWD 41.47 TWD 53.22 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 14.47 TWD 23.05 TWD 31.62 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12.50 TWD 16.75 TWD 25.00 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 41.09 TWD 55.90 TWD 81.62 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 23.32 TWD 33.40 TWD 46.47 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 19.67 TWD 20.35 TWD 20.80 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 12.45 TWD 15.29 TWD 17.74 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 18.03 TWD 25.76 TWD 33.49 TWD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (39.20 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (15.29 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 9.7B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.8%
Net margin 3.1%
Return on equity 7.2%
Free cash flow 792M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 12.3
More key figures
Operating margin 6.0%
EPS (TTM) 1.62 TWD
Dividend yield 5.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +52.0%
Net debt 4.0B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yuen Chang Stainless Steel Co., Ltd. engages in the processing, manufacturing, and selling of stainless steel products in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers stainless steel coils, sheets, plates, and strips; and metal calculator. It also involves in the slitting, cut to length, and surface polishing services.

Full company description

Yuen Chang Stainless Steel Co., Ltd. engages in the processing, manufacturing, and selling of stainless steel products in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers stainless steel coils, sheets, plates, and strips; and metal calculator. It also involves in the slitting, cut to length, and surface polishing services. Its products are used in food industry, construction, kitchen appliances, etc. Yuen Chang Stainless Steel Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yuen Chang Stainless Steel Co reported revenue of 10.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 14.3B TWD in FY2021, a compound −8.3%/yr. Reported net income was 270M TWD in FY2025, compounding −22.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
10.1B TWD
Latest YoY
−5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Revenue −8.3%/yr
FY21 14.3B TWD
FY22 14.0B TWD
FY23 11.8B TWD
FY24 10.7B TWD
FY25 10.1B TWD
Net income −22.3%/yr
FY21 741M TWD
FY22 192M TWD
FY23 −149M TWD
FY24 225M TWD
FY25 270M TWD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +1.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share −0.5 pp

of which total revenue +3.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.6 pp

EBIT margin +0.4 pp
Tax rate +1.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yuen Chang Stainless Steel Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2069

Peer Group

Steel · 378 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +16% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth -14% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.3% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.75× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.32× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 54 · sector 19
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 29 · sector 15
HEALTH 85 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yuen Chang Stainless Steel Co (2069) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 23.07 TWD versus a price of 19.95 TWD, about +16% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2069?
Our model-based fair value for Yuen Chang Stainless Steel Co is 23.07 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 19.95 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2069?
Yuen Chang Stainless Steel Co has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yuen Chang Stainless Steel Co (2069)?
Yuen Chang Stainless Steel Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.7B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2069?
The net profit margin of Yuen Chang Stainless Steel Co is about 3.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yuen Chang Stainless Steel Co pay a dividend?
Yuen Chang Stainless Steel Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.33% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 23, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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