Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd TWD 23.90, price TWD 32.15, upside -25.7%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 10.47 TWD – 36.35 TWD · fair‑value band 18.98 TWD – 31.69 TWD · the 32.15 TWD price screens above the 23.90 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd manufactures and exports various kinds of fasteners and steel wires in Taiwan.
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Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd manufactures and exports various kinds of fasteners and steel wires in Taiwan. The company offers self-drilling, chipboard, roofing, drywall, self tapping, collated, concrete, decking, wood, furniture, window, stainless steel, machine, set, trilobular thread forming, socket cap, SEMS, and nail screws; carriage, flange, hex, and lag bolts; hex flange, cage, hex, wing, nylon, square, dome cap, and panel nuts; bonding, external tooth lock, flat, internal tooth lock, spring lock, and umbrella washers; alloy, stainless steel, and carbon steel wires; and nails, hose clamps, and rivets, as well as specialty screws. It also exports its products to Europe, the United States of America, Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and the Middle East. Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd was founded in 1992 and is based in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071) currently trades at 32.15 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 23.90 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 34.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 25.41 TWD per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the 32.15 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 7.63 TWD, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 18.98 TWD (bear) to 31.69 TWD (bull), the price of 32.15 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd reported revenue of 1.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 103M TWD in FY2025, compounding −5.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.2B TWD (≈ $69.7M) · P/E ratio 21.6 · P/S ratio 1.37 · EPS (TTM) 1.49 TWD · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin 6.3% · Return on equity 7.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 114% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −26%, 2071 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 18.98 TWDFair Value 23.90 TWDBull 31.69 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2129 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−2.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6% vs 5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 6.5%/yr over ~7Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.3% a year for the price.
Compare Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 124 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside−25% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−11% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.30× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)21.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.57× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.35× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF0.3× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA11.8× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 3
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)29· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)85· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)75· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2071
Frequently asked questions
Is Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 23.90 TWD versus a price of 32.15 TWD, about −26% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2071?
Our model-based fair value for Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd is 23.90 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 32.15 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2071?
Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 23.90 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 18.98 TWD, optimistic scenario 31.69 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 23.90 TWD, about −26% upside versus a price of 32.15 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 18.98 TWD, optimistic scenario 31.69 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071)?
Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd pay a dividend?
Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.73% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +7.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2071 use?
Our models discount Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd that is +7.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd grew -2.2 % a year. The price currently implies +7.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (+7.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.40 %: that much free cash flow Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd it is 23.90 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 32.15 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2071 trades above its calculated fair value: price 32.15 TWD, fair value 23.90 TWD, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2071?
No. The price is what the market pays today (32.15 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (23.90 TWD). For Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd the two are 8.25 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd worth?
The market values Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd at about 2.2B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 32.15 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 23.90 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2071?
Our models span a range for Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd: cautious scenario 18.98 TWD, base 23.90 TWD, optimistic 31.69 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 32.15 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2071?
Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 23.90 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 11.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.4%, debt of 0.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2071 from its 52-week high?
Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd trades at 32.15 TWD, about 11% below its 52-week high of 36.05 TWD and 114% above the low of 15.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 23.90 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, RBC Bearings Incorporated, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 32.15 TWD, calculated fair value 23.90 TWD (−26%), Quality Score 61/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2071 calculated?
We run Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 23.90 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 32.15 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 23.90 TWD, about −26% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The price sits above our optimistic bull case: the favourable scenario is already priced in. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071)?
The market capitalisation of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd is 2.2B TWD (≈ $69.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd is 1.37 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071)?
Earnings per share at Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd are 1.49 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071)?
The dividend yield of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd is 3.7% (payout 80.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071)?
The net margin of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd is 6.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071)?
The operating margin of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071)?
Revenue at Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd is growing −11.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071)?
Earnings per share at Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd are growing −31.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd (2071) carry?
The net debt of Chen Nan Iron Wire Co.,Ltd is 461M TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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